Hebar 1918 vs Dobrudzha• Second League, Bulgaria

#102.6:1.21-2FT27/09 · Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik0.6:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.30PIN25.25B365Margin at best6.0%Books6Markets50Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	4.33	6.50	9.9%
Betano	1.44	4.15	5.80	10.8%
1xBet	1.39	4.15	6.74	10.9%
Bet365	1.42	4.10	6.00	11.5%
Betfair	1.36	4.40	6.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.15	6.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.44	4.40	6.74	7.0%
Average	1.40	4.21	6.32	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hebar 1918Dobrudzha

Last 10#10Table position#171.42Points per game0.759Form pts · last 572.6Goals for · last 50.61.2Goals against · last 51.881Attack rating1960Defence rating4080Form rating2064H2H rating3685Goals model1572Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Hebar 1918

5W 2D 3L · goals 26:14 · per match 2.6 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	A	Yambol 1915	5-0	W
27 Sep	H	Dobrudzha	1-2	L
21 Sep	A	Montana	5-0	W
14 Sep	H	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	4-1	W
7 Sep	A	Spartak Pleven	2-3	L
1 Sep	H	Fratria	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Ludogorets II	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1-0	W
18 Aug	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-2	W
11 Aug	A	CSKA Sofia II	3-4	L

Dobrudzha

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

4 Oct	A	Belasitsa	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Hebar 1918	2-1	W
21 Sep	H	CSKA Sofia II	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Vihren	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Beroe	2-2	D
3 Sep	A	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Rilski Sportist	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Marek	2-4	L
16 Aug	H	Yantra 2019	0-1	L
10 Aug	A	Nesebar	0-2	L

Head to head

2Hebar 1918 wins

1draws

1Dobrudzha wins

4 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Hebar 1918

30 Apr 2022Second League	Second League	Hebar 19182-0Dobrudzha
30 Oct 2021Second League	Second League	Dobrudzha0-1Hebar 1918
11 May 2021Second League	Second League	Hebar 19181-1Dobrudzha
29 Nov 2020Second League	Second League	Dobrudzha2-1Hebar 1918

Second League tableB PFGupdated 12 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Hebar 1918 sit 10th with 17 points from 12 games, while Dobrudzha are 17th with 9 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23:9	+14	24
2	Vihren	12	7	3	2	25:12	+13	24
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	7	3	2	21:8	+13	24
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14:10	+4	19
6	Yantra 2019	12	6	1	5	13:11	+2	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18:15	+3	18
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9:10	-1	17
10	Hebar 1918	12	5	2	5	27:20	+7	17
11	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19:19	0	17
12	Marek	12	5	2	5	14:14	0	17
13	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12:23	-11	14
14	Ludogorets II	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
15	Montana	11	3	2	6	13:23	-10	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8:13	-5	10
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.50X22%4.04219%4.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.50 +7.1%X4.21 → 4.04 -4.0%26.32 → 4.80 -24.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Betano	1.62	2.02	11.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.63	2.11	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Average	1.82	1.85	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hebar 1918 50%Draw 50%Dobrudzha 0%

The statistical model rated Hebar 1918 at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Dobrudzha at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.04 | 4.80, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Hebar 1918 win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Second League table: Hebar 1918 are 10th (17 pts, 27-20 goals), Dobrudzha 17th (9 pts, 12-21).

Over their last five matches, Hebar 1918 averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Dobrudzha averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Hebar 1918.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.21	6.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.58	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
1.90	2.35	6.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	13.3	3.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.17	3.95
2.5	1.63	2.11
3.5	2.49	1.42
4.5	4.40	1.14
5.5	7.90	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.09	5.35
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.27	3.14
2.25	1.45	2.45
2.75	1.78	1.85
3	2.00	1.65
3.25	2.28	1.52
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.78	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.45	1.08
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	3.04	1.29
-1.75	2.43	1.44
-1.5	2.10	1.59
-1.25	1.89	1.79
-1	1.67	1.99
-0.75	1.48	2.33

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.90	1.04
-3	6.25	1.06
-2.75	4.55	1.13
-2.5	3.58	1.21
-2.25	3.34	1.24
-0.25	1.25	3.28
0	1.11	4.95
+0.25	1.08	5.45
+0.75	1.02	7.90