Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar• Second League, Bulgaria

#103.0:1.415:00Today · Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik1.4:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX4.40BFR26.60MARMargin at best4.5%Books9Markets59Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.49	4.10	5.40	10.0%
BetVictor	1.45	4.10	5.75	10.7%
1xBet	1.46	4.00	5.76	10.9%
Betano	1.39	4.35	6.20	11.1%
Bet365	1.48	4.10	5.20	11.2%
William Hill	1.50	3.70	5.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.25	6.60	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.35	4.37	6.44	12.5%
Betfair	1.36	4.40	6.00	12.9%
Best of all books	1.50	4.40	6.60	4.5%
Average	1.43	4.15	5.87	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hebar 1918Nesebar

Last 10#10Table position#71.42Points per game1.5012Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.468Attack rating3250Defence rating5053Form rating470H2H rating068Goals model3260Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Hebar 1918

6W 2D 2L · goals 27:10 · per match 2.7 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	4-1	W
10 Oct	A	Sportist Svoge	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Yambol 1915	5-0	W
27 Sep	H	Dobrudzha	1-2	L
21 Sep	A	Montana	5-0	W
14 Sep	H	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	4-1	W
7 Sep	A	Spartak Pleven	2-3	L
1 Sep	H	Fratria	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Ludogorets II	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	1-0	W

Nesebar

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	CSKA Sofia	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	CSKA Sofia II	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Rodopa Smolyan	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Vihren	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Beroe	4-3	W
15 Sep	A	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Rilski Sportist	2-1	W
2 Sep	A	Marek	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Yantra 2019	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Pirin Blagoevgrad	7-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Hebar 1918 and Nesebar on record.

Second League tableB PFGupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Second League table, Hebar 1918 sit 10th with 17 points from 12 games, while Nesebar are 7th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23:9	+14	24
2	Vihren	12	7	3	2	25:12	+13	24
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	7	3	2	21:8	+13	24
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14:10	+4	19
6	Yantra 2019	12	6	1	5	13:11	+2	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18:15	+3	18
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9:10	-1	17
10	Hebar 1918	12	5	2	5	27:20	+7	17
11	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19:19	0	17
12	Marek	12	5	2	5	14:14	0	17
13	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12:12	0	15
14	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12:23	-11	14
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15:26	-11	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8:13	-5	10
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.43X22%4.15215%5.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.46 → 1.43 -2.1%X4.10 → 4.15 +1.2%25.50 → 5.87 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Betano	1.62	2.07	10.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.62	2.13	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hebar 1918 45%Draw 45%Nesebar 10%

The statistical model rates Hebar 1918 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nesebar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.43 | 4.15 | 5.87, which imply roughly 69.9% for a Hebar 1918 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Hebar 1918 are 10th (17 pts, 27-20 goals), Nesebar 7th (18 pts, 20-17).

Over their last five matches, Hebar 1918 averaged 3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nesebar averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hebar 1918 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.43	4.15	5.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.50	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.36	5.80

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.76	5.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.07	16.6	50.8
HT X	4.13	6.65	13.1
HT 2	20.4	17.5	10.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	14.6	3.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.5
1.5	1.17	4.19
2.5	1.62	2.13
3.5	2.53	1.43
4.5	4.67	1.13
5.5	8.77	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.25	1.08	5.58
1.75	1.21	3.63
2	1.27	3.18
2.25	1.43	2.49
2.75	1.78	1.89
3	2.01	1.67
3.25	2.26	1.53
3.75	2.97	1.31
4	3.93	1.17
4.25	4.28	1.15
4.75	5.78	1.07
5	8.05	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.47	1.44
-1.5	2.10	1.61
-1.25	1.90	1.77
-1	1.72	1.99
-0.75	1.49	2.34
-0.5	1.34	2.87

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.02
-3	7.20	1.04
-2.75	5.05	1.11
-2.5	3.96	1.17
-2.25	3.66	1.21
-2	3.11	1.29
-0.25	1.28	3.10
0	1.13	4.72
+0.25	1.10	5.25
+0.75	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.41	2.62
9.5	1.60	2.13
10	1.80	1.86
10.5	2.06	1.65
11	2.48	1.45
11.5	2.81	1.36

Next Second League matches

23 Oct	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – Sportist Svoge
23 Oct	CSKA Sofia II – Yantra 2019
23 Oct	Vihren – Marek
23 Oct	Beroe – Rilski Sportist
23 Oct	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 Oct	Spartak Pleven – Etar Veliko Tarnovo

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

13 Oct	Montana 2-3 Ludogorets II
10 Oct	Dobrudzha 0-3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
10 Oct	Rilski Sportist 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
10 Oct	Nesebar 0-0 CSKA Sofia II
10 Oct	Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Spartak Pleven
10 Oct	Sportist Svoge 1-3 Hebar 1918