Marek vs Beroe• Second League, Bulgaria

#121.0:1.23-2FT10/10 · Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa1.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.31DAFX3.10B36523.221XBMargin at best6.6%Books9Markets50Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.31	2.85	3.20	9.6%
Betfair	2.30	3.00	3.00	10.1%
BetVictor	2.30	2.90	3.10	10.2%
1xBet	2.27	2.80	3.22	10.8%
Betano	2.27	2.92	3.05	11.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.10	2.88	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.25	2.80	3.12	12.2%
Pinnacle	2.29	2.72	3.12	12.5%
William Hill	2.30	2.70	3.10	12.8%
Best of all books	2.31	3.10	3.22	6.6%
Average	2.28	2.87	3.09	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarekBeroe

Last 10#12Table position#81.42Points per game1.507Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5850Defence rating5047Form rating530H2H rating066Goals model3451Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Marek

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	H	Cherno More Varna	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Beroe	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Chavdar Troyan	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Rilski Sportist	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Yantra 2019	0-3	L
2 Sep	H	Nesebar	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Sportist Svoge	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Dobrudzha	4-2	W

Beroe

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Ludogorets	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Marek	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	FK Minyor Pernik	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Yantra 2019	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Nesebar	3-4	L
13 Sep	H	Sportist Svoge	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Dobrudzha	2-2	D
3 Sep	H	Montana	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	2-2	D
25 Aug	H	Spartak Pleven	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Marek and Beroe on record.

Second League tableB PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Marek sit 12th with 17 points from 12 games, while Beroe are 8th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23:9	+14	24
2	Vihren	12	7	3	2	25:12	+13	24
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	7	3	2	21:8	+13	24
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14:10	+4	19
6	Yantra 2019	12	6	1	5	13:11	+2	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18:15	+3	18
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9:10	-1	17
10	Hebar 1918	12	5	2	5	27:20	+7	17
11	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19:19	0	17
12	Marek	12	5	2	5	14:14	0	17
13	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12:12	0	15
14	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12:23	-11	14
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15:26	-11	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8:13	-5	10
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.28X31%2.87229%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.02 → 2.28 +12.9%X3.09 → 2.87 -7.1%23.40 → 3.09 -9.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.48	1.44	9.8%
Betano	2.32	1.50	9.8%
Best of all books	2.48	1.62	2.1%
Average	2.37	1.50	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.05	1.70	7.6%
Average	2.02	1.68	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marek 45%Draw 45%Beroe 10%

The statistical model rated Marek at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Beroe at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 2.87 | 3.09, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Marek win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Marek are 12th (17 pts, 14-14 goals), Beroe 8th (18 pts, 18-15).

Over their last five matches, Marek averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Beroe averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Marek or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	2.87	3.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.54	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	1.89	3.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	6.78	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.55
1.5	1.43	2.47
2.5	2.37	1.50
3.5	4.60	1.13
4.5	9.75	1.02
5.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.90
1	1.10	5.20
1.25	1.27	3.15
1.75	1.57	2.16
2	1.81	1.85
2.25	2.07	1.65
2.75	2.88	1.33
3	3.57	1.22
3.25	4.20	1.15
3.75	5.95	1.07
4	9.00	–
4.25	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.74	1.36
-0.5	2.20	1.56
-0.25	1.94	1.76
0	1.63	2.15
+0.25	1.39	2.62
+0.5	1.30	3.06

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2.25	8.25	1.02
-1.75	6.55	1.05
-1.5	4.90	1.11
-1.25	4.39	1.14
-1	3.84	1.19
+0.75	1.16	4.05
+1	1.05	6.55
+1.25	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.02	7.70
+1.75	1.01	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.41	2.60
8.5	1.62	2.10
9	1.84	1.82
9.5	2.13	1.61
10	2.60	1.41
10.5	2.96	1.32

Next Second League matches

23 Oct	CSKA Sofia II – Yantra 2019
23 Oct	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – Sportist Svoge
23 Oct	Vihren – Marek
23 Oct	Spartak Pleven – Etar Veliko Tarnovo
23 Oct	Beroe – Rilski Sportist
23 Oct	Hebar 1918 – Nesebar

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

13 Oct	Montana 2-3 Ludogorets II
10 Oct	Dobrudzha 0-3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
10 Oct	Rilski Sportist 0-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
10 Oct	Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Spartak Pleven
10 Oct	Nesebar 0-0 CSKA Sofia II
10 Oct	Sportist Svoge 1-3 Hebar 1918