Nesebar vs 
CSKA Sofia II• Second League, Bulgaria
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:19 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 11.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 11.6% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 10.5% |
| Average | 2.77 | 3.27 | 2.23 | 11.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC
Nesebar
4W 3D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against
| 18 Oct | H | CSKA Sofia | 0-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | CSKA Sofia II | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Oct | A | Rodopa Smolyan | 3-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Vihren | 0-2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Beroe | 4-3 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Rilski Sportist | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Sep | A | Marek | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Yantra 2019 | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 7-0 | W |
CSKA Sofia II
6W 2D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against
| 10 Oct | A | Nesebar | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Sportist Svoge | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dobrudzha | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Montana | 4-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | Spartak Pleven | 5-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Fratria | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Ludogorets II | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Aug | H | Hebar 1918 | 4-3 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 0:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Nesebar
| 16 Mar 2025Second League | Second League | CSKA Sofia II2-0Nesebar |
| 1 Sep 2024Second League | Second League | Nesebar0-3CSKA Sofia II |
| 26 Feb 2017Second League | Second League | CSKA Sofia II2-0Nesebar |
| 21 Aug 2016Second League | Second League | Nesebar0-0CSKA Sofia II |
Second League tableB PFGupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC
In the Second League table, Nesebar sit 7th with 18 points from 12 games, while CSKA Sofia II are 1st with 24 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | Vihren | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:8 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Rilski Sportist | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 | Yantra 2019 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:11 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Beroe | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | +7 | 17 |
| 11 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Marek | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Spartak Pleven | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5:34 | -29 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.85 | 6.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Nesebar at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and CSKA Sofia II at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.78 | 3.28 | 2.23, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Second League table: Nesebar are 7th (18 pts, 20-17 goals), CSKA Sofia II 1st (24 pts, 23-9).
Over their last five matches, Nesebar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CSKA Sofia II averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CSKA Sofia II.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.78 | 3.28 | 2.23 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 1.36 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.10 | 1.67 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 2.10 | 2.84 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 10.0 | 1.83 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 1.78 | 2.02 |