Fratria vs Spartak Pleven• Second League, Bulgaria

#41.4:1.03-0FT27/09 · Albena Stadium1.0:2.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.35BTNX4.75B365210.91XBMargin at best4.3%Books5Markets53Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.23	4.85	11.2	10.8%
Betano	1.29	4.75	8.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.27	4.75	8.50	11.6%
Betfair	1.22	5.00	10.0	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.22	4.85	10.5	12.1%
Best of all books	1.29	5.00	11.2	6.4%
Average	1.25	4.84	9.64	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FratriaSpartak Pleven

Last 10#4Table position#131.83Points per game1.1711Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 52.458Attack rating4271Defence rating2960Form rating4050H2H rating5079Goals model2160Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Fratria

6W 4D 0L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

3 Oct	A	Balkan Botevgrad	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Spartak Pleven	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-1	W
15 Sep	A	Ludogorets II	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Hebar 1918	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	CSKA Sofia II	1-0	W
24 Aug	A	Vihren	2-2	D
14 Aug	H	Beroe	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	2-0	W

Spartak Pleven

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:22 · per match 0.9 for, 2.2 against

3 Oct	A	Levski Krumovgrad	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Fratria	0-3	L
21 Sep	H	Ludogorets II	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0-3	L
7 Sep	H	Hebar 1918	3-2	W
3 Sep	A	CSKA Sofia II	1-5	L
30 Aug	H	Vihren	0-2	L
25 Aug	A	Beroe	0-3	L
16 Aug	H	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	Rilski Sportist	2-2	D

Head to head

1Fratria wins

2draws

1Spartak Pleven wins

4 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Fratria

16 Apr 2026Second League	Second League	Spartak Pleven1-1Fratria
20 Oct 2025Second League	Second League	Fratria1-0Spartak Pleven
1 Mar 2025Second League	Second League	Fratria0-2Spartak Pleven
18 Aug 2024Second League	Second League	Spartak Pleven0-0Fratria

Second League tableB PFGupdated 12 Oct 19:20 UTC

In the Second League table, Fratria sit 4th with 22 points from 12 games, while Spartak Pleven are 13th with 14 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23:9	+14	24
2	Vihren	12	7	3	2	25:12	+13	24
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	12	7	3	2	21:8	+13	24
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14:10	+4	19
6	Yantra 2019	12	6	1	5	13:11	+2	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	+3	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18:15	+3	18
9	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9:10	-1	17
10	Hebar 1918	12	5	2	5	27:20	+7	17
11	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19:19	0	17
12	Marek	12	5	2	5	14:14	0	17
13	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12:23	-11	14
14	Ludogorets II	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
15	Montana	11	3	2	6	13:23	-10	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8:13	-5	10
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5:34	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.29X20%4.47210%8.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.29 +3.2%X4.84 → 4.47 -7.6%29.64 → 8.72 -9.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Betano	1.62	2.05	10.5%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.63	2.12	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.61	10.0%
Best of all books	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Average	2.09	1.62	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fratria 45%Draw 45%Spartak Pleven 10%

The statistical model rated Fratria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Spartak Pleven at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.29 | 4.47 | 8.72, which imply roughly 77.5% for a Fratria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Fratria are 4th (22 pts, 17-10 goals), Spartak Pleven 13th (14 pts, 12-23).

Over their last five matches, Fratria averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Spartak Pleven averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fratria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.25	4.84	9.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.27	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
1.70	2.45	8.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.26	13.3	4.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.16	4.10
2.5	1.63	2.12
3.5	2.52	1.41
4.5	4.65	1.12
5.5	9.00	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.26	3.20
2.25	1.45	2.45
2.75	1.77	1.86
3	2.02	1.64
3.25	2.30	1.51
3.75	3.04	1.29
4	3.92	1.18
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.62	1.38
-2	2.35	1.47
-1.75	1.99	1.67
-1.5	1.80	1.88
-1.25	1.58	2.15
-1	1.37	2.66

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	7.30	1.03
-3.5	5.65	1.08
-3.25	5.25	1.09
-3	4.85	1.11
-2.75	3.58	1.21
-2.5	2.92	1.31
-0.75	1.29	3.04
-0.25	1.12	4.70
0	1.01	8.50