Warta Sieradz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#71.4:1.218:00Today1.0:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.74DAFX4.00DAF24.041XBMargin at best7.2%Books7Markets41Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.74	4.00	3.90	8.1%
BetVictor	1.70	3.90	4.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.66	3.85	4.04	11.0%
Betano	1.72	3.75	3.75	11.5%
Bet365	1.70	3.90	3.70	11.5%
Pinnacle	1.70	3.72	3.82	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.85	3.95	12.3%
Best of all books	1.74	4.00	4.04	7.2%
Average	1.69	3.85	3.88	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Warta SieradzLechia T. Mazowiecki

Last 10#7Table position#141.67Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4260Defence rating4071Form rating2971H2H rating2955Goals model4565Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 19:00 UTC

Warta Sieradz

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	A	Weszlo	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Pelikan Łowicz	2-2	D
21 Oct	A	Widzew II	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Wisła Płock II	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Olimpia Elbląg	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Swit	1-2	L

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

31 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	Widzew II	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Olimpia Zambrów	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Olimpia Elbląg	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Swit	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	2-4	L
5 Sep	H	Troszyn	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Jagiellonia II	1-1	D

Head to head

4Warta Sieradz wins

1draws

3Lechia T. Mazowiecki wins

8 meetings · goals 11:8 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Warta Sieradz

14 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Lechia T. Mazowiecki1-1Warta Sieradz
27 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz2-1Lechia T. Mazowiecki
3 May 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz4-0Lechia T. Mazowiecki
5 Oct 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Lechia T. Mazowiecki1-0Warta Sieradz
6 Apr 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Lechia T. Mazowiecki0-1Warta Sieradz
9 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz3-1Lechia T. Mazowiecki
25 Mar 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz0-1Lechia T. Mazowiecki
21 Aug 2022III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Lechia T. Mazowiecki3-0Warta Sieradz

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Warta Sieradz sit 7th with 25 points from 15 games, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 14th with 17 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	15	10	2	3	30:17	+13	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	15	9	4	2	30:15	+15	31
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	15	8	3	4	36:28	+8	27
4	Swit	15	8	2	5	28:22	+6	26
5	Ząbkovia Ząbki	15	7	4	4	29:23	+6	25
6	Wisła Płock II	15	7	4	4	29:24	+5	25
7	Warta Sieradz	15	7	4	4	25:22	+3	25
8	Pelikan Łowicz	15	7	3	5	25:22	+3	24
9	Olimpia Zambrów	15	6	3	6	31:31	0	21
10	Jagiellonia II	15	5	5	5	27:27	0	20
11	Widzew II	15	5	4	6	28:25	+3	19
12	ŁKS Łódź II	15	5	3	7	27:30	-3	18
13	Olimpia Elbląg	15	5	3	7	19:24	-5	18
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	15	5	2	8	25:30	-5	17
15	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	15	4	3	8	25:29	-4	15
16	Mławianka Mława	15	4	2	9	28:41	-13	14
17	Troszyn	15	3	5	7	17:30	-13	14
18	Łomża	15	0	4	11	16:35	-19	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X23%3.85223%3.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.69 -1.7%X3.86 → 3.85 -0.3%23.72 → 3.88 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.50	2.34	9.4%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.50	2.36	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.41	8.2%
Average	1.49	2.39	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warta Sieradz 45%Draw 45%Lechia T. Mazowiecki 10%

The statistical model rates Warta Sieradz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lechia T. Mazowiecki at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.85 | 3.88, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Warta Sieradz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Warta Sieradz are 7th (25 pts, 25-22 goals), Lechia T. Mazowiecki 14th (17 pts, 25-30).

Over their last five matches, Warta Sieradz averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Warta Sieradz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.85	3.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.94	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	2.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.38	4.17

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.79	3.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	14.8	32.0
HT X	4.85	6.57	8.92
HT 2	20.2	15.2	6.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	17.0	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.85
2.5	1.50	2.36
3.5	2.20	1.57
4.5	3.91	1.19
5.5	7.08	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.32	2.89
2.75	1.60	2.13
3	1.76	1.90
3.25	2.00	1.68
3.75	2.57	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
5	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.36
-1.25	2.46	1.44
-1	2.17	1.59
-0.75	1.87	1.82
-0.5	1.67	2.01
-0.25	1.48	2.36

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.55	1.13
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.29	3.03
+0.25	1.22	3.48
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.01	8.90

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

7 Nov	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – Mławianka Mława
7 Nov	Wisła Płock II – Swit
7 Nov	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – Troszyn
8 Nov	Widzew II – ŁKS Łódź II

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

30 Oct	Jagiellonia II 2-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
24 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 3-0 ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Weszlo
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Jagiellonia II