Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#152.2:1.616:00Tomorrow1.0:1.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20DAFX3.70B36522.941XBMargin at best6.5%Books3Markets37Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.03	3.62	2.94	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.70	2.88	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.01	3.62	2.88	12.1%
Best of all books	2.03	3.70	2.94	10.3%
Average	2.01	3.65	2.90	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.Troszyn

Last 10#15Table position#171.00Points per game0.939Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.269Attack rating3143Defence rating5756Form rating440H2H rating069Goals model3159Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 01:01 UTC

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

30 Oct	A	Jagiellonia II	1-2	L
24 Oct	H	ŁKS Łódź II	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Mławianka Mława	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Łomża	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Weszlo	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Pelikan Łowicz	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Warta Sieradz	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Wigry Suwałki	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2-2	D

Troszyn

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Olimpia Elbląg	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Swit	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	1-1	D
14 Oct	A	Jagiellonia II	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Wisła Płock II	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	ŁKS Łódź II	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Mławianka Mława	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Łomża	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Weszlo	3-3	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Polonia Lidzbark Warm. and Troszyn on record.

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 15th with 15 points from 15 games, while Troszyn are 17th with 14 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	15	10	2	3	30:17	+13	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	15	9	4	2	30:15	+15	31
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	15	8	3	4	36:28	+8	27
4	Swit	15	8	2	5	28:22	+6	26
5	Ząbkovia Ząbki	15	7	4	4	29:23	+6	25
6	Wisła Płock II	15	7	4	4	29:24	+5	25
7	Warta Sieradz	15	7	4	4	25:22	+3	25
8	Pelikan Łowicz	15	7	3	5	25:22	+3	24
9	Olimpia Zambrów	15	6	3	6	31:31	0	21
10	Jagiellonia II	15	5	5	5	27:27	0	20
11	Widzew II	15	5	4	6	28:25	+3	19
12	ŁKS Łódź II	15	5	3	7	27:30	-3	18
13	Olimpia Elbląg	15	5	3	7	19:24	-5	18
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	15	5	2	8	25:30	-5	17
15	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	15	4	3	8	25:29	-4	15
16	Mławianka Mława	15	4	2	9	28:41	-13	14
17	Troszyn	15	3	5	7	17:30	-13	14
18	Łomża	15	0	4	11	16:35	-19	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.05X25%3.67231%2.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.52	2.30	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.41	10.0%
Best of all books	1.46	2.46	9.1%
Average	1.46	2.44	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 45%Draw 45%Troszyn 10%

The statistical model rates Polonia Lidzbark Warm. at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Troszyn at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.67 | 2.88, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 15th (15 pts, 25-29 goals), Troszyn 17th (14 pts, 17-30).

Over their last five matches, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Troszyn averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Polonia Lidzbark Warm..

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.01	3.65	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.61	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
2.53	2.34	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.35	2.67	3.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	13.0	27.0
HT X	5.80	6.00	7.00
HT 2	23.0	13.0	4.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	16.9	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.55
2.5	1.52	2.30
3.5	2.36	1.50
4.5	4.15	1.16
5.5	6.50	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.19	3.80
2.25	1.35	2.74
2.75	1.63	2.03
3	1.83	1.79
3.25	2.08	1.60
3.75	2.70	1.36
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.80	1.19
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.34	1.24
-1	2.97	1.30
-0.75	2.34	1.49
-0.25	1.80	1.89
0	1.56	2.21
+0.25	1.41	2.53

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2	7.00	1.04
-1.5	3.74	1.19
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.06	6.05

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

6 Nov	Warta Sieradz – Lechia T. Mazowiecki
7 Nov	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki – Mławianka Mława
7 Nov	Wisła Płock II – Swit
8 Nov	Widzew II – ŁKS Łódź II

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

30 Oct	Jagiellonia II 2-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
24 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 3-0 ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Weszlo
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Jagiellonia II