Warta Sieradz vs Pelikan Łowicz• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#81.4:1.42-2FT24/102.0:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38BVCX3.60B36522.75DAFMargin at best6.2%Books7Markets40Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.28	3.55	2.75	8.4%
BetVictor	2.38	3.50	2.60	9.0%
Betano	2.30	3.50	2.57	11.0%
1xBet	2.27	3.45	2.55	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.45	2.55	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.31	3.53	2.45	12.4%
Bet365	2.15	3.60	2.62	12.5%
Best of all books	2.38	3.60	2.75	6.2%
Average	2.28	3.51	2.58	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Warta SieradzPelikan Łowicz

Last 10#8Table position#51.57Points per game1.718Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.441Attack rating5950Defence rating5044Form rating5640H2H rating6041Goals model5942Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 19:11 UTC

Warta Sieradz

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

21 Oct	A	Widzew II	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Wisła Płock II	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Olimpia Zambrów	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Olimpia Elbląg	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Swit	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0-4	L
19 Aug	A	Troszyn	4-1	W

Pelikan Łowicz

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Widzew II	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Olimpia Zambrów	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Olimpia Elbląg	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Swit	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Ząbkovia Ząbki	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Troszyn	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Jagiellonia II	0-3	L

Head to head

2Warta Sieradz wins

0draws

4Pelikan Łowicz wins

6 meetings · goals 8:14 · last 6: 2W 0D 4L for Warta Sieradz

16 Mar 2025III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Pelikan Łowicz1-2Warta Sieradz
21 Aug 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz0-5Pelikan Łowicz
19 May 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Pelikan Łowicz3-2Warta Sieradz
28 Oct 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz2-0Pelikan Łowicz
19 Mar 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Pelikan Łowicz2-0Warta Sieradz
17 Aug 2022III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Warta Sieradz2-3Pelikan Łowicz

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 29 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Warta Sieradz sit 8th with 22 points from 14 games, while Pelikan Łowicz are 5th with 24 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	14	10	2	2	30:16	+14	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	14	9	4	1	30:13	+17	31
3	Swit	14	8	2	4	28:20	+8	26
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	14	7	3	4	33:26	+7	24
5	Pelikan Łowicz	14	7	3	4	24:20	+4	24
6	Wisła Płock II	14	6	4	4	27:23	+4	22
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	14	6	4	4	27:23	+4	22
8	Warta Sieradz	14	6	4	4	24:22	+2	22
9	Olimpia Zambrów	14	6	3	5	29:28	+1	21
10	Olimpia Elbląg	14	5	3	6	19:22	-3	18
11	Jagiellonia II	14	4	5	5	25:26	-1	17
12	Widzew II	14	4	4	6	24:24	0	16
13	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	14	4	3	7	24:27	-3	15
14	ŁKS Łódź II	14	4	3	7	24:28	-4	15
15	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	14	4	2	8	23:30	-7	14
16	Mławianka Mława	14	4	2	8	27:37	-10	14
17	Troszyn	14	2	5	7	15:30	-15	11
18	Łomża	14	0	4	10	14:32	-18	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.28X26%3.51235%2.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.08 → 2.28 +9.6%X3.53 → 3.51 -0.6%22.91 → 2.58 -11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.20	9.6%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.20	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
Best of all books	1.49	2.45	7.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warta Sieradz 10%Draw 45%Pelikan Łowicz 45%

The statistical model rated Warta Sieradz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pelikan Łowicz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.51 | 2.58, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Warta Sieradz are 8th (22 pts, 24-22 goals), Pelikan Łowicz 5th (24 pts, 24-20).

Over their last five matches, Warta Sieradz averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Pelikan Łowicz averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pelikan Łowicz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.51	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.50	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.75	1.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	2.29	3.09

2nd half

1	X	2
2.58	2.61	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.45	13.8	26.7
HT X	5.90	5.97	6.83
HT 2	23.3	13.7	4.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	15.4	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	11.0
1.5	1.16	4.33
2.5	1.58	2.20
3.5	2.38	1.47
4.5	4.27	1.16
5.5	8.50	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.18	3.85
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.40	2.61
2.75	1.70	1.98
3	1.92	1.74
3.25	2.16	1.58
3.75	2.80	1.34
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.59	1.41
-0.5	2.21	1.55
-0.25	2.01	1.70
0	1.76	1.92
+0.25	1.56	2.21
+0.5	1.46	2.47

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.70	1.04
-2	7.70	1.02
-1.5	4.20	1.15
-1.25	3.84	1.18
-1	3.42	1.23
+0.75	1.31	2.93
+1	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.11	4.90

Next III Liga - Group 1 matches

30 Oct

Jagiellonia II – Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

All III Liga - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

24 Oct	Wigry Suwałki 4-1 Weszlo
24 Oct	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 3-0 ŁKS Łódź II
24 Oct	Olimpia Elbląg 0-0 Jagiellonia II
24 Oct	Swit 3-0 Troszyn
24 Oct	Olimpia Zambrów 1-1 Mławianka Mława
24 Oct	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki