Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów• III Liga - Group 1, Poland

#180.6:2.40-2FT17/10 · Stadion Miejski w Lomzy, Lomza2.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.50B365X4.33B36521.65BVCMargin at best1.9%Books5Markets44Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	4.33	3.90	1.65	9.3%
1xBet	4.61	3.80	1.59	10.9%
Marathonbet	4.50	3.80	1.57	12.2%
Bet365	5.50	4.33	1.40	12.7%
Pinnacle	3.96	3.77	1.64	12.8%
Best of all books	5.50	4.33	1.65	1.9%
Average	4.58	3.92	1.57	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ŁomżaOlimpia Zambrów

Last 10#18Table position#80.23Points per game1.541Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 51.423Attack rating7737Defence rating6311Form rating8980H2H rating2019Goals model8134Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Łomża

0W 3D 7L · goals 10:24 · per match 1.0 for, 2.4 against

10 Oct	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	2-3	L
3 Oct	H	Olimpia Elbląg	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Swit	0-4	L
18 Sep	H	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Troszyn	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Jagiellonia II	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	ŁKS Łódź II	3-4	L
22 Aug	H	Mławianka Mława	0-0	D
19 Aug	A	Wisła Płock II	1-1	D
14 Aug	A	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2-5	L

Olimpia Zambrów

4W 2D 4L · goals 21:23 · per match 2.1 for, 2.3 against

11 Oct	H	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Weszlo	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Pelikan Łowicz	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Warta Sieradz	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Wigry Suwałki	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Widzew II	3-4	L
23 Aug	H	Wisła Płock II	4-3	W
19 Aug	A	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Olimpia Elbląg	1-2	L

Head to head

1Łomża wins

1draws

0Olimpia Zambrów wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Łomża

27 Apr 2024III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Olimpia Zambrów0-1Łomża
29 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 1	III Liga - Group 1	Łomża0-0Olimpia Zambrów

III Liga - Group 1 tableGroup Iupdated 20 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 1 table, Łomża sit 18th with 3 points from 13 games, while Olimpia Zambrów are 8th with 20 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	13	10	2	1	29:12	+17	32
2	Wigry Suwałki	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
3	Swit	13	7	2	4	25:20	+5	23
4	Pelikan Łowicz	13	7	2	4	22:18	+4	23
5	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	30:25	+5	21
6	Wisła Płock II	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
7	Ząbkovia Ząbki	13	6	3	4	25:21	+4	21
8	Olimpia Zambrów	13	6	2	5	28:27	+1	20
9	Warta Sieradz	12	5	3	4	21:20	+1	18
10	Olimpia Elbląg	13	5	2	6	19:22	-3	17
11	Jagiellonia II	13	4	4	5	25:26	-1	16
12	Widzew II	12	4	3	5	22:21	+1	15
13	ŁKS Łódź II	13	4	3	6	24:25	-1	15
14	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	13	4	2	7	22:27	-5	14
15	Mławianka Mława	13	4	1	8	26:36	-10	13
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	13	3	3	7	21:27	-6	12
17	Troszyn	13	2	5	6	15:27	-12	11
18	Łomża	13	0	3	10	12:30	-18	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%5.85X21%4.37264%1.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.46 → 4.58 -29.1%X4.21 → 3.92 -6.9%21.38 → 1.57 +13.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.30	9.7%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.53	2.30	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Average	1.54	2.25	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Łomża 10%Draw 45%Olimpia Zambrów 45%

The statistical model rated Łomża at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Olimpia Zambrów at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.85 | 4.37 | 1.41, which imply roughly 22.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 1 table: Łomża are 18th (3 pts, 12-30 goals), Olimpia Zambrów 8th (20 pts, 28-27).

Over their last five matches, Łomża averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Olimpia Zambrów averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Olimpia Zambrów.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.58	3.92	1.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.18	1.11	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
3.87	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
5.00	2.36	2.06

2nd half

1	X	2
4.38	2.79	1.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.20	17.0	20.5
HT X	10.0	6.85	4.75
HT 2	35.5	16.5	2.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.76	15.6	1.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.67
2.5	1.53	2.30
3.5	2.28	1.52
4.5	3.98	1.19
5.5	8.00	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.15
2	1.20	3.72
2.25	1.36	2.76
2.75	1.64	2.06
3	1.82	1.83
3.25	2.06	1.64
3.75	2.64	1.38
4	3.28	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.41	1.50
+0.5	2.12	1.63
+0.75	1.91	1.78
+1	1.73	2.00
+1.25	1.58	2.23
+1.5	1.47	2.44

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.80	1.02
-1	8.80	1.01
-0.75	3.68	1.20
-0.25	3.51	1.24
0	3.14	1.29
+1.75	1.35	2.83
+2	1.17	3.98
+2.5	1.12	4.70
+3	1.01	8.50
+3.5	1.05	6.50

Latest III Liga - Group 1 results

21 Oct	Widzew II 0-1 Warta Sieradz
18 Oct	Weszlo 3-2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
18 Oct	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-1 Widzew II
18 Oct	Jagiellonia II 1-3 Swit
17 Oct	Warta Sieradz 2-1 Wisła Płock II
17 Oct	Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki