Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#61.2:0.64-3FTToday1.6:1.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.54DAFX4.40DAF25.551XBMargin at best5.7%Books7Markets45Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.54	4.40	4.90	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	4.20	5.25	9.5%
Betano	1.50	4.35	4.75	10.7%
1xBet	1.46	4.10	5.55	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	4.20	4.75	11.5%
Pinnacle	1.48	4.17	4.93	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.45	4.10	5.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.54	4.40	5.55	5.7%
Average	1.49	4.22	5.06	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Unia SwarzędzGedania Gdansk

Last 10#6Table position#131.47Points per game1.129Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.443Attack rating5770Defence rating3053Form rating4780H2H rating2052Goals model4862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 01:00 UTC

Unia Swarzędz

4W 4D 2L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Lipno Stęszew	2-1	W
31 Oct	H	Stargard Szczeciński	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Victoria Września	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Kotwica Kórnik	7-0	W
26 Sep	A	Flota Świnoujście	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Luzino	1-3	L
11 Sep	A	Polonia Środa	3-4	L
4 Sep	H	Lech Poznań II	1-1	D

Gedania Gdansk

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

7 Nov	H	Grom Nowy Staw	1-2	L
31 Oct	H	Kalisz	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Lipno Stęszew	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Stargard Szczeciński	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Chemik Bydgoszcz	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Victoria Września	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Bałtyk Koszalin	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Kotwica Kórnik	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	Flota Świnoujście	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Luzino	0-4	L

Head to head

4Unia Swarzędz wins

0draws

2Gedania Gdansk wins

6 meetings · goals 15:8 · last 6: 4W 0D 2L for Unia Swarzędz

3 May 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk0-2Unia Swarzędz
5 Oct 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Unia Swarzędz5-0Gedania Gdansk
20 Apr 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk1-2Unia Swarzędz
22 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Unia Swarzędz3-4Gedania Gdansk
29 Apr 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Gedania Gdansk0-2Unia Swarzędz
24 Sep 2022III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Unia Swarzędz1-3Gedania Gdansk

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 17:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Unia Swarzędz sit 6th with 25 points from 17 games, while Gedania Gdansk are 13th with 19 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	43:21	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	17	9	4	4	30:26	+4	31
3	Luzino	17	9	2	6	42:28	+14	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	26:22	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	43:32	+11	27
6	Unia Swarzędz	17	7	4	6	30:25	+5	25
7	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	35:26	+9	24
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	22:20	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	21:23	-2	21
10	Flota Świnoujście	17	6	3	8	21:33	-12	21
11	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	19:21	-2	20
12	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	24:27	-3	20
13	Gedania Gdansk	17	4	7	6	34:35	-1	19
14	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	34:35	-1	19
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	26:31	-5	18
16	Victoria Września	17	2	9	6	16:28	-12	15
17	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	20:31	-11	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	21:43	-22	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.49X21%4.22218%5.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.49 -11.3%X3.92 → 4.22 +7.7%23.93 → 5.06 +28.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.45	2.45	9.8%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.62	7.1%
Average	1.43	2.54	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.29	9.9%
Best of all books	1.51	2.38	8.2%
Average	1.51	2.34	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Unia Swarzędz 45%Draw 45%Gedania Gdansk 10%

The statistical model rated Unia Swarzędz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gedania Gdansk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 4.22 | 5.06, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Unia Swarzędz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Unia Swarzędz are 6th (25 pts, 30-25 goals), Gedania Gdansk 13th (19 pts, 34-35).

Over their last five matches, Unia Swarzędz averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Gedania Gdansk averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Unia Swarzędz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.49	4.22	5.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.30	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
1.97	2.47	4.95

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.98	4.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.30	15.8	38.0
HT X	4.65	7.20	10.3
HT 2	19.5	16.2	7.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.45	18.1	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	5.30
2.5	1.43	2.54
3.5	2.10	1.63
4.5	3.48	1.24
5.5	6.43	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.54	2.25
3	1.69	1.98
3.25	1.89	1.77
3.75	2.38	1.47
4	2.91	1.32
4.25	3.14	1.27
5	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.59	1.40
-1.5	2.24	1.54
-1.25	2.00	1.67
-1	1.79	1.91
-0.75	1.64	2.11
-0.5	1.53	2.29

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.02
-3	7.10	1.04
-2.5	3.98	1.17
-2	3.20	1.27
-0.25	1.35	2.81
0	1.16	4.15
+0.25	1.12	4.70
+1	1.02	8.10

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 Nov	Polonia Środa 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik
14 Nov	Kluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
14 Nov	Luzino 1-2 Flota Świnoujście
7 Nov	Flota Świnoujście 1-0 Polonia Środa
7 Nov	Victoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie
7 Nov	Stargard Szczeciński 0-0 Noteć Czarnków