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Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#72.6:1.40-0FT07/111.2:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75B365X4.10DAF24.00BVCMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets41Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.714.103.958.2%
BetVictor1.674.004.009.9%
Betano1.753.903.6010.6%
1xBet1.653.963.9910.9%
Bet3651.754.003.4011.6%
Pinnacle1.683.823.8111.9%
Marathonbet1.633.963.9012.2%
Best of all books1.754.104.006.5%
Average1.693.963.8110.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Stargard SzczecińskiNoteć Czarnków
Last 10#7Table position#91.50Points per game1.316Form pts · last 552.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.668Attack rating3253Defence rating4753Form rating4750H2H rating5060Goals model4057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 01:00 UTC

Stargard Szczeciński

3W 5D 2L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against

7 NovHNoteć Czarnków0-0D
31 OctAUnia Swarzędz0-0D
24 OctHGrom Nowy Staw3-1W
17 OctAGedania Gdansk2-2D
10 OctHLipno Stęszew3-4L
3 OctHKalisz5-0W
26 SepAChemik Bydgoszcz3-3D
19 SepHVictoria Września1-1D
12 SepABałtyk Koszalin2-0W
5 SepHKotwica Kórnik2-4L

Noteć Czarnków

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

7 NovAStargard Szczeciński0-0D
31 OctHChemik Bydgoszcz1-4L
24 OctAVictoria Września1-0W
17 OctHBałtyk Koszalin0-3L
10 OctAKotwica Kórnik1-1D
3 OctHFlota Świnoujście3-0W
26 SepALuzino0-2L
19 SepHPolonia Środa0-0D
12 SepALech Poznań II1-2L
5 SepHKluczevia Stargard3-1W

Head to head

3Stargard Szczeciński wins
1draws
2Noteć Czarnków wins

6 meetings · goals 17:11 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Stargard Szczeciński

17 May 2026III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Stargard Szczeciński1-1Noteć Czarnków
2 Nov 2025III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Noteć Czarnków3-1Stargard Szczeciński
25 May 2025III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Stargard Szczeciński5-1Noteć Czarnków
2 Nov 2024III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Noteć Czarnków1-4Stargard Szczeciński
1 Jun 2024III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Stargard Szczeciński2-4Noteć Czarnków
11 Nov 2023III Liga - Group 2III Liga - Group 2Noteć Czarnków1-4Stargard Szczeciński

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 17:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Stargard Szczeciński sit 7th with 24 points from 16 games, while Noteć Czarnków are 9th with 21 points from 16.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Polonia Środa16114143:21+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard1794430:26+431
3Luzino1792642:28+1429
4Wda Świecie1685326:22+429
5Lech Poznań II1683543:32+1127
6Unia Swarzędz1774630:25+525
7Stargard Szczeciński1666435:26+924
8Bałtyk Koszalin1656522:20+221
9Noteć Czarnków1663721:23-221
10Flota Świnoujście1763821:33-1221
11Kalisz1648419:21-220
12Elana Toruń1655624:27-320
13Gedania Gdansk1747634:35-119
14Grom Nowy Staw1661934:35-119
15Chemik Bydgoszcz1646626:31-518
16Victoria Września1729616:28-1215
17Lipno Stęszew16421020:31-1114
18Kotwica Kórnik16321121:43-2211

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X23%3.96224%3.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 01:007 Nov 07:301 1.69X 3.962 3.81
11.74 → 1.69 -2.9%X3.98 → 3.96 -0.5%23.57 → 3.81 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Pinnacle1.432.549.3%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.442.706.5%
Average1.412.619.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
1xBet1.432.569.0%
Marathonbet1.432.509.9%
Best of all books1.442.568.5%
Average1.432.549.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stargard Szczeciński 45%Draw 45%Noteć Czarnków 10%

The statistical model rated Stargard Szczeciński at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Noteć Czarnków at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.96 | 3.81, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Stargard Szczeciński win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Stargard Szczeciński are 7th (24 pts, 35-26 goals), Noteć Czarnków 9th (21 pts, 21-23).

Over their last five matches, Stargard Szczeciński averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Noteć Czarnków averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Stargard Szczeciński or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.693.963.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.931.17

Draw no bet

12
1.372.86

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.432.54

1st half

1X2
2.192.473.94

2nd half

1X2
1.972.873.78

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6014.331.3
HT X5.107.009.03
HT 219.014.55.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5720.02.34

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.115.38
2.51.412.61
3.52.051.66
4.53.431.24
5.56.051.10
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.134.55
2.251.263.20
2.751.512.32
31.632.07
3.251.851.82
3.752.321.50
42.761.35
4.253.051.28
55.351.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.641.38
-1.252.391.47
-12.121.62
-0.751.861.82
-0.51.672.02
-0.251.482.38
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.54.901.11
-24.201.15
-1.753.141.27
01.302.98
+0.251.243.34
+11.037.20
+1.51.028.10

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 NovPolonia Środa 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik
14 NovKluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
14 NovUnia Swarzędz 4-3 Gedania Gdansk
14 NovLuzino 1-2 Flota Świnoujście
7 NovFlota Świnoujście 1-0 Polonia Środa
7 NovVictoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie