Polonia Środa vs Kotwica Kórnik• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#12.0:1.03-1FTToday0.6:2.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17B365X8.00BVC215.0BVCMargin at best4.6%Books7Markets51Rating82 · 18Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.14	7.80	14.0	7.7%
Bet365	1.17	7.50	10.0	8.8%
BetVictor	1.11	8.00	15.0	9.3%
Betano	1.14	6.60	12.0	11.2%
Pinnacle	1.12	7.83	10.5	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.09	7.40	13.8	12.5%
1xBet	1.09	7.40	13.7	12.6%
Best of all books	1.17	8.00	15.0	4.6%
Average	1.12	7.50	12.7	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Polonia ŚrodaKotwica Kórnik

Last 10#1Table position#182.31Points per game0.6910Form pts · last 512.0Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 52.277Attack rating2369Defence rating3191Form rating9100H2H rating087Goals model1382Overall rating18

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 01:00 UTC

Polonia Środa

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Flota Świnoujście	0-1	L
31 Oct	H	Luzino	5-2	W
28 Oct	H	Śląsk Wrocław II	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Kalisz	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Lech Poznań II	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Kluczevia Stargard	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-0	D
11 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	4-3	W

Kotwica Kórnik

2W 1D 7L · goals 13:30 · per match 1.3 for, 3.0 against

7 Nov	H	Lech Poznań II	1-4	L
31 Oct	A	Kluczevia Stargard	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Wda Świecie	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Elana Toruń	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Noteć Czarnków	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Unia Swarzędz	0-7	L
26 Sep	H	Grom Nowy Staw	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Gedania Gdansk	1-6	L
12 Sep	H	Lipno Stęszew	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Stargard Szczeciński	4-2	W

Head to head

3Polonia Środa wins

0draws

0Kotwica Kórnik wins

3 meetings · goals 11:2 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Polonia Środa

31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Kotwica Kórnik1-3Polonia Środa
21 May 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa3-1Kotwica Kórnik
26 Oct 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Kotwica Kórnik0-5Polonia Środa

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 17:10 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Polonia Środa sit 1st with 37 points from 16 games, while Kotwica Kórnik are 18th with 11 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	43:21	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	17	9	4	4	30:26	+4	31
3	Luzino	17	9	2	6	42:28	+14	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	26:22	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	43:32	+11	27
6	Unia Swarzędz	17	7	4	6	30:25	+5	25
7	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	35:26	+9	24
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	22:20	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	21:23	-2	21
10	Flota Świnoujście	17	6	3	8	21:33	-12	21
11	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	19:21	-2	20
12	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	24:27	-3	20
13	Gedania Gdansk	17	4	7	6	34:35	-1	19
14	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	34:35	-1	19
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	26:31	-5	18
16	Victoria Września	17	2	9	6	16:28	-12	15
17	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	20:31	-11	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	21:43	-22	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.12X12%7.5027%12.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.14 → 1.13 -0.9%X7.43 → 7.47 +0.5%213.3 → 12.7 -4.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	3.75	6.7%
BetVictor	1.20	4.10	7.7%
1xBet	1.18	3.90	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.18	3.90	10.4%
Best of all books	1.25	4.10	4.4%
Average	1.20	3.91	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.67	2.02	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Polonia Środa 50%Draw 50%Kotwica Kórnik 0%

The statistical model rated Polonia Środa at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Kotwica Kórnik at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.12 | 7.50 | 12.71, which imply roughly 89.3% for a Polonia Środa win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Polonia Środa are 1st (37 pts, 43-21 goals), Kotwica Kórnik 18th (11 pts, 21-43).

Over their last five matches, Polonia Środa averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kotwica Kórnik averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Polonia Środa and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.12	7.50	12.7

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.45	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.04	8.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
1.43	3.20	9.21

2nd half

1	X	2
1.31	4.15	8.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.46	23.0	73.7
HT X	4.32	13.2	26.7
HT 2	17.8	27.0	22.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	34.5	4.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.04	7.60
2.5	1.20	3.91
3.5	1.54	2.26
4.5	2.16	1.57
5.5	3.58	1.25
6.5	6.13	1.09

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.03	7.70
2.75	1.21	3.58
3	1.25	3.28
3.25	1.38	2.65
3.75	1.63	2.07
4	1.79	1.86
4.25	1.98	1.69
4.75	2.44	1.44
5	2.83	1.33
6	4.50	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3	2.45	1.45
-2.75	2.11	1.61
-2.5	1.91	1.78
-2.25	1.72	1.95
-2	1.53	2.24
-1.75	1.44	2.46

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	4.20	1.17
-4	4.30	1.15
-3.5	2.88	1.32
-3.25	2.64	1.38
-1.5	1.37	2.66
-1.25	1.26	3.20
-1	1.15	4.25
0	1.03	9.10

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 Nov	Kluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
14 Nov	Unia Swarzędz 4-3 Gedania Gdansk
14 Nov	Luzino 1-2 Flota Świnoujście
7 Nov	Flota Świnoujście 1-0 Polonia Środa
7 Nov	Victoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie
7 Nov	Stargard Szczeciński 0-0 Noteć Czarnków