Flota Świnoujście vs Polonia Środa• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#100.6:3.01-0FT07/112.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.40BVCX4.10DAF21.65DAFMargin at best7.7%Books6Markets41Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.40	4.10	1.65	7.7%
BetVictor	4.40	4.00	1.62	9.5%
1xBet	4.34	3.94	1.60	10.9%
Betano	4.15	3.95	1.62	11.1%
Pinnacle	4.14	3.88	1.61	12.0%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.94	1.58	12.2%
Best of all books	4.40	4.10	1.65	7.7%
Average	4.28	3.97	1.61	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Flota ŚwinoujściePolonia Środa

Last 10#10Table position#11.24Points per game2.314Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 52.83.0Goals against · last 50.818Attack rating8221Defence rating797Form rating9338H2H rating6228Goals model7225Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 01:00 UTC

Flota Świnoujście

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:24 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

7 Nov	H	Polonia Środa	1-0	W
31 Oct	A	Lech Poznań II	1-8	L
24 Oct	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Elana Toruń	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Grom Nowy Staw	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Gedania Gdansk	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Lipno Stęszew	3-1	W

Polonia Środa

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Flota Świnoujście	0-1	L
31 Oct	H	Luzino	5-2	W
28 Oct	H	Śląsk Wrocław II	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Kalisz	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Lech Poznań II	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Kluczevia Stargard	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-0	D
11 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	4-3	W

Head to head

1Flota Świnoujście wins

3draws

3Polonia Środa wins

7 meetings · goals 8:13 · last 7: 1W 3D 3L for Flota Świnoujście

1 Apr 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa6-2Flota Świnoujście
9 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście0-0Polonia Środa
27 Apr 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa3-0Flota Świnoujście
28 Sep 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście1-1Polonia Środa
30 Mar 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście3-0Polonia Środa
1 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Polonia Środa1-1Flota Świnoujście
6 Mar 2021III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście1-2Polonia Środa

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Flota Świnoujście sit 10th with 21 points from 17 games, while Polonia Środa are 1st with 37 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	43:21	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	17	9	4	4	30:26	+4	31
3	Luzino	17	9	2	6	42:28	+14	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	26:22	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	43:32	+11	27
6	Unia Swarzędz	17	7	4	6	30:25	+5	25
7	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	35:26	+9	24
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	22:20	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	21:23	-2	21
10	Flota Świnoujście	17	6	3	8	21:33	-12	21
11	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	19:21	-2	20
12	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	24:27	-3	20
13	Gedania Gdansk	17	4	7	6	34:35	-1	19
14	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	34:35	-1	19
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	26:31	-5	18
16	Victoria Września	17	2	9	6	16:28	-12	15
17	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	20:31	-11	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	21:43	-22	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.28X23%3.97256%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.45	2.55	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.44	9.5%
1xBet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.42	10.8%
Best of all books	1.46	2.55	7.7%
Average	1.45	2.46	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.31	10.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.45	7.5%
Average	1.49	2.37	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flota Świnoujście 0%Draw 50%Polonia Środa 50%

The statistical model rated Flota Świnoujście at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Polonia Środa at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.28 | 3.97 | 1.61, which imply roughly 25.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Flota Świnoujście are 10th (21 pts, 21-33 goals), Polonia Środa 1st (37 pts, 43-21).

Over their last five matches, Flota Świnoujście averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Polonia Środa averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Polonia Środa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.28	3.97	1.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.04	1.15	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.25	1.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
4.41	2.38	2.10

2nd half

1	X	2
4.13	2.84	1.90

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.10	14.8	19.5
HT X	9.75	6.60	4.65
HT 2	37.5	14.0	2.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.56	18.3	1.48

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.13	4.97
2.5	1.45	2.46
3.5	2.16	1.59
4.5	3.60	1.22
5.5	6.83	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.17	4.05
2.25	1.31	2.92
2.75	1.56	2.19
3	1.72	1.94
3.25	1.94	1.74
3.75	2.44	1.46
4	2.98	1.30
4.25	3.20	1.26
5	5.70	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.53	1.42
+0.5	2.17	1.60
+0.75	1.92	1.74
+1	1.69	1.99
+1.25	1.53	2.26
+1.5	1.43	2.49

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.25	3.70	1.20
0	3.28	1.25
+1.75	1.30	2.97
+2	1.18	3.84
+2.5	1.13	4.50

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 Nov	Unia Swarzędz 4-3 Gedania Gdansk
14 Nov	Kluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
14 Nov	Luzino 1-2 Flota Świnoujście
7 Nov	Stargard Szczeciński 0-0 Noteć Czarnków
7 Nov	Victoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie
7 Nov	Kalisz 1-1 Luzino