Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#32.0:2.61-2FTToday0.8:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45B365X5.00BVC27.00BVCMargin at best3.3%Books7Markets46Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.39	5.00	6.20	8.1%
BetVictor	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.35	4.55	6.73	10.9%
Betano	1.39	4.70	5.60	11.1%
Bet365	1.45	4.33	5.25	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.35	4.79	5.90	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.34	4.55	6.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.45	5.00	7.00	3.3%
Average	1.37	4.70	6.15	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LuzinoFlota Świnoujście

Last 10#3Table position#101.71Points per game1.244Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 52.471Attack rating2948Defence rating5250Form rating5050H2H rating5084Goals model1659Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 01:00 UTC

Luzino

5W 1D 4L · goals 25:18 · per match 2.5 for, 1.8 against

7 Nov	A	Kalisz	1-1	D
31 Oct	A	Polonia Środa	2-5	L
24 Oct	H	Lech Poznań II	2-4	L
17 Oct	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Wda Świecie	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Elana Toruń	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	Grom Nowy Staw	5-1	W
5 Sep	A	Gedania Gdansk	4-0	W

Flota Świnoujście

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:24 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

7 Nov	H	Polonia Środa	1-0	W
31 Oct	A	Lech Poznań II	1-8	L
24 Oct	A	Kluczevia Stargard	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Wda Świecie	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Elana Toruń	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Noteć Czarnków	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Unia Swarzędz	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Grom Nowy Staw	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Gedania Gdansk	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Lipno Stęszew	3-1	W

Head to head

2Luzino wins

0draws

2Flota Świnoujście wins

4 meetings · goals 8:7 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Luzino

6 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Luzino2-0Flota Świnoujście
23 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście3-1Luzino
27 Apr 2024III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Flota Świnoujście1-4Luzino
30 Sep 2023III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Luzino1-3Flota Świnoujście

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Luzino sit 3rd with 29 points from 17 games, while Flota Świnoujście are 10th with 21 points from 17.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	43:21	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	17	9	4	4	30:26	+4	31
3	Luzino	17	9	2	6	42:28	+14	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	26:22	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	43:32	+11	27
6	Unia Swarzędz	17	7	4	6	30:25	+5	25
7	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	35:26	+9	24
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	22:20	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	21:23	-2	21
10	Flota Świnoujście	17	6	3	8	21:33	-12	21
11	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	19:21	-2	20
12	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	24:27	-3	20
13	Gedania Gdansk	17	4	7	6	34:35	-1	19
14	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	34:35	-1	19
15	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	26:31	-5	18
16	Victoria Września	17	2	9	6	16:28	-12	15
17	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	20:31	-11	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	21:43	-22	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.37X19%4.70215%6.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.37 -4.2%X4.47 → 4.70 +5.1%25.48 → 6.15 +12.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Average	1.37	2.76	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Average	1.54	2.25	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Luzino 45%Draw 45%Flota Świnoujście 10%

The statistical model rated Luzino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Flota Świnoujście at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.70 | 6.15, which imply roughly 73% for a Luzino win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Luzino are 3rd (29 pts, 42-28 goals), Flota Świnoujście 10th (21 pts, 21-33).

Over their last five matches, Luzino averaged 2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Flota Świnoujście averaged 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Luzino and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.37	4.70	6.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.58	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
1.81	2.63	5.47

2nd half

1	X	2
1.62	3.14	5.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.96	16.8	43.0
HT X	4.52	8.17	13.2
HT 2	17.7	17.5	9.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	20.5	2.94

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.15
2.5	1.37	2.76
3.5	1.92	1.76
4.5	3.05	1.30
5.5	5.48	1.11

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.0
2	1.12	4.75
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.44	2.48
3	1.54	2.22
3.25	1.74	1.93
3.75	2.14	1.59
4	2.50	1.43
4.25	2.76	1.35
5	4.55	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.57	1.41
-1.75	2.16	1.58
-1.5	1.92	1.77
-1.25	1.74	1.96
-1	1.52	2.28
-0.75	1.42	2.55

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.45	1.08
-3	4.90	1.11
-2.5	3.08	1.28
-2.25	2.82	1.34
-0.25	1.23	3.42
0	1.10	5.05

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 Nov	Unia Swarzędz 4-3 Gedania Gdansk
14 Nov	Kluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
7 Nov	Flota Świnoujście 1-0 Polonia Środa
7 Nov	Stargard Szczeciński 0-0 Noteć Czarnków
7 Nov	Victoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie
7 Nov	Kalisz 1-1 Luzino