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Kalisz vs Luzino• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#110.4:2.01-1FT07/11 · Stadion Miejski, Kalisz2.0:3.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.00BVCX3.90B36521.83B365Margin at best5.3%Books7Markets41Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.803.801.817.9%
BetVictor4.003.801.739.1%
1xBet3.863.781.7110.8%
Betano3.503.801.7811.1%
Bet3653.203.901.8311.5%
Pinnacle3.743.631.7411.8%
Marathonbet3.783.781.6912.1%
Best of all books4.003.901.835.3%
Average3.703.781.7610.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KaliszLuzino
Last 10#11Table position#31.25Points per game1.713Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 53.017Attack rating8360Defence rating4040Form rating600H2H rating050Goals model5042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 19:01 UTC

Kalisz

1W 6D 3L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

7 NovHLuzino1-1D
31 OctAGedania Gdansk0-0D
24 OctHPolonia Środa0-0D
17 OctALipno Stęszew0-1L
10 OctHLech Poznań II2-4L
3 OctAStargard Szczeciński0-5L
27 SepHKluczevia Stargard1-0W
19 SepAChemik Bydgoszcz1-1D
12 SepHWda Świecie1-1D
5 SepAVictoria Września3-3D

Luzino

5W 1D 4L · goals 25:18 · per match 2.5 for, 1.8 against

7 NovAKalisz1-1D
31 OctAPolonia Środa2-5L
24 OctHLech Poznań II2-4L
17 OctAKluczevia Stargard2-3L
10 OctHWda Świecie3-0W
3 OctAElana Toruń1-3L
26 SepHNoteć Czarnków2-0W
19 SepAUnia Swarzędz3-1W
11 SepHGrom Nowy Staw5-1W
5 SepAGedania Gdansk4-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Kalisz and Luzino on record.

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 14 Nov 15:01 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Kalisz sit 11th with 20 points from 16 games, while Luzino are 3rd with 29 points from 17.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Polonia Środa16114143:21+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard1794430:26+431
3Luzino1792642:28+1429
4Wda Świecie1685326:22+429
5Lech Poznań II1683543:32+1127
6Unia Swarzędz1774630:25+525
7Stargard Szczeciński1666435:26+924
8Bałtyk Koszalin1656522:20+221
9Noteć Czarnków1663721:23-221
10Flota Świnoujście1763821:33-1221
11Kalisz1648419:21-220
12Elana Toruń1655624:27-320
13Gedania Gdansk1747634:35-119
14Grom Nowy Staw1661934:35-119
15Chemik Bydgoszcz1646626:31-518
16Victoria Września1729616:28-1215
17Lipno Stęszew16421020:31-1114
18Kotwica Kórnik16321121:43-2211

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.70X24%3.78252%1.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 01:007 Nov 08:401 3.70X 3.782 1.76
13.40 → 3.70 +8.8%X3.76 → 3.78 +0.5%21.83 → 1.76 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Pinnacle1.542.249.6%
1xBet1.512.2610.5%
Marathonbet1.512.2610.5%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.542.279.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
1xBet1.512.349.0%
Marathonbet1.512.299.9%
Best of all books1.512.388.2%
Average1.512.349.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kalisz 10%Draw 45%Luzino 45%

The statistical model rated Kalisz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Luzino at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.70 | 3.78 | 1.76, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Kalisz are 11th (20 pts, 19-21 goals), Luzino 3rd (29 pts, 42-28).

Over their last five matches, Kalisz averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Luzino averaged 2 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Luzino.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.703.781.76

Double chance

1XX212
1.851.221.18

Draw no bet

12
2.781.39

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.34

1st half

1X2
3.942.342.29

2nd half

1X2
3.762.742.04

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8314.320.7
HT X8.356.435.10
HT 232.014.02.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3317.31.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.154.58
2.51.542.27
3.52.311.52
4.54.111.17
5.57.501.06
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.203.72
2.251.372.69
2.751.662.03
31.851.81
3.252.091.62
3.752.701.36
43.341.24
4.253.721.20
56.801.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.281.51
+0.51.941.76
+0.751.761.90
+11.542.26
+1.251.412.56
+1.51.342.81
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.101.02
-17.201.03
-0.253.281.25
02.891.33
+1.751.223.50
+21.124.75
+2.51.085.50

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

14 NovUnia Swarzędz 4-3 Gedania Gdansk
14 NovKluczevia Stargard 1-1 Victoria Września
14 NovLuzino 1-2 Flota Świnoujście
7 NovFlota Świnoujście 1-0 Polonia Środa
7 NovStargard Szczeciński 0-0 Noteć Czarnków
7 NovVictoria Września 3-3 Wda Świecie