York vs Accrington ST• League Two, England

#41.8:0.80-1LiveToday · York`s LNER Community Stadium, York1.2:0.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX4.00BFR24.50BFRMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets85Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	3.95	4.30	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.71	4.03	4.55	5.3%
Betfair	1.70	4.00	4.50	6.0%
Betano	1.78	3.80	4.15	6.6%
BetVictor	1.70	3.90	4.50	6.7%
Bet365	1.70	3.90	4.33	7.6%
1xBet	1.68	3.90	4.39	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.90	4.40	8.6%
William Hill	1.70	3.70	4.20	9.7%
SBO	1.73	3.42	3.90	12.7%
Best of all books	1.78	4.03	4.55	3.0%
Average	1.71	3.85	4.32	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

YorkAccrington ST

Last 10#4Table position#101.60Points per game1.276Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 50.460Attack rating4033Defence rating6747Form rating537H2H rating9381Goals model1942Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

York

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

17 Oct	A	Newport County	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Northampton	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Gillingham	3-0	W
22 Sep	H	Rotherham	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Chesterfield	0-2	L
15 Sep	H	Newcastle United U21	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Swindon Town	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Crewe	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Cheltenham	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Exeter City	2-1	W

Accrington ST

3W 6D 1L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Gillingham	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	Oldham	0-0	D
6 Oct	H	Salford City	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Cheltenham	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Swindon Town	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Sunderland U21	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Newport County	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Barnet	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Crawley Town	3-2	W
1 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-2	D

Head to head

2York wins

4draws

4Accrington ST wins

10 meetings · goals 10:18 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for York

29 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Accrington ST2-0York
23 Apr 2016League Two	League Two	Accrington ST3-0York
28 Nov 2015League Two	League Two	York1-5Accrington ST
7 Nov 2015FA Cup	FA Cup	Accrington ST3-2York
21 Mar 2015League Two	League Two	Accrington ST2-2York
26 Dec 2014League Two	League Two	York1-0Accrington ST
12 Apr 2014League Two	League Two	York1-1Accrington ST
26 Dec 2013League Two	League Two	Accrington ST1-1York
6 Apr 2013League Two	League Two	York1-1Accrington ST
23 Oct 2012League Two	League Two	Accrington ST0-1York

League Two tableLeague Twoupdated 20 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the League Two table, York sit 4th with 16 points from 10 games, while Accrington ST are 10th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	11	7	1	3	17:11	+6	22
2	Barnet	9	6	3	0	22:12	+10	21
3	Crewe	11	5	6	0	15:9	+6	21
4	York	10	4	4	2	18:12	+6	16
5	Walsall	10	3	7	0	13:7	+6	16
6	Gillingham	11	4	4	3	16:13	+3	16
7	Chesterfield	11	4	3	4	17:15	+2	15
8	Cheltenham	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
9	Bristol Rovers	11	5	0	6	15:18	-3	15
10	Accrington ST	11	3	5	3	16:15	+1	14
11	Newport County	11	3	5	3	14:13	+1	14
12	Fleetwood Town	11	3	5	3	12:11	+1	14
13	Rochdale	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Shrewsbury	11	4	2	5	10:15	-5	14
15	Grimsby	11	3	4	4	13:13	0	13
16	Exeter City	11	3	4	4	6:6	0	13
17	Tranmere	11	2	6	3	14:15	-1	12
18	Swindon Town	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
19	Oldham	10	3	2	5	13:14	-1	11
20	Colchester	10	2	5	3	10:13	-3	11
21	Port Vale	9	3	2	4	5:9	-4	11
22	Northampton	9	2	4	3	6:7	-1	10
23	Rotherham	11	2	4	5	12:18	-6	10
24	Crawley Town	9	1	2	6	9:17	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.45X21%4.54215%6.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.70 +3.0%X3.94 → 3.84 -2.5%24.42 → 4.31 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.71	2.17	4.6%
Betano	1.70	2.12	6.0%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.71	2.17	4.6%
Average	1.68	2.12	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
1xBet	1.64	2.13	7.9%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
Best of all books	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Average	1.65	2.12	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

York 10%Draw 45%Accrington ST 45%

The statistical model rates York at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Accrington ST at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.54 | 6.43, which imply roughly 22% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League Two table: York are 4th (16 pts, 18-12 goals), Accrington ST 10th (14 pts, 16-15).

Over their last five matches, York averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Accrington ST averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Accrington ST.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

York

3-4-2-1

Coach: S. Lindsey

Goalkeeper

1Alfie Shane McNally

Defence

32J. Hunt
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching

Midfield

15J. King
8A. Hunt
28O. Banks
12H. Boyes
7J. Grey
30A. Newby

Attack

10O. Pearce

Substitutes (7)

21H. Boateng
2R. Fallowfield
23J. Felix
11F. Maguire
16A. Read
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
24M. Williams

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2

Coach: J. Doolan

Goalkeeper

1L. Moulden

Defence

2D. Love
17D. Matthews
22J. Anderson

Midfield

38C. O'Brien
14Stefan Mols
16Aidan Borland
33D. Tutonda
39J. Woods

Attack

23T. Walton
30C. Warren

Substitutes (6)

4T. Moore
8C. Grant
20C. Brown
3Oliver Smith
25J. Smith
21J. Rogerson

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	3.85	4.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.08	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.32

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.32	4.58

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.64	4.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	14.3	38.3
HT X	4.66	6.03	9.65
HT 2	22.0	15.4	7.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	14.3	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.7
1.5	1.19	4.20
2.5	1.68	2.12
3.5	2.64	1.42
4.5	4.93	1.15
5.5	9.45	1.04
6.5	17.5	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.20	3.72
2	1.28	3.15
2.25	1.48	2.50
2.75	1.85	1.89
3	2.12	1.66
3.25	2.36	1.51
3.75	2.98	1.31
4	4.05	1.16
4.25	4.45	1.14
4.75	6.10	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.84	1.37
-1.25	2.53	1.47
-1	2.23	1.62
-0.75	1.89	1.87
-0.5	1.71	2.11
-0.25	1.47	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.77	1.03
-3	8.95	1.02
-2.75	7.13	1.05
-2.5	5.56	1.11
-2.25	5.15	1.12
-2	4.68	1.14
-1.75	3.34	1.28
0	1.28	3.33
+0.25	1.22	3.83
+0.5	1.21	4.25
+0.75	1.10	5.65
+1.5	1.04	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.03	6.58
7.5	1.17	3.94
8.5	1.38	2.75
9.5	1.67	2.08
10.5	2.09	1.66
11.5	2.73	1.38
12.5	3.76	1.21
13.5	5.38	1.07

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.31
7	1.04	6.05
7.25	1.10	4.74
7.75	1.18	3.79
8	1.20	3.59
8.25	1.29	3.07
8.75	1.41	2.59
9	1.48	2.46
9.25	1.57	2.23
9.75	1.75	1.96
10	1.88	1.88
10.25	1.96	1.75
10.75	2.21	1.58
11	2.43	1.49
11.25	2.54	1.43
11.75	2.95	1.31
12	3.34	1.24
12.25	3.51	1.22
12.75	4.20	1.14
13	5.00	1.09
13.25	5.19	1.08

Latest League Two results

17 Oct	Colchester 0-0 Exeter City
17 Oct	Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
17 Oct	Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield
17 Oct	Salford City 2-1 Crawley Town
17 Oct	Newport County 1-1 York
17 Oct	Oldham 4-1 Cheltenham