Derby vs Norwich• Championship, England

#230.8:2.219:45Today · Pride Park Stadium, Derby1.4:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.64PINX3.72PIN22.11DAFMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets89Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.64	3.72	2.05	3.1%
Dafabet	3.40	3.65	2.11	4.2%
Betano	3.50	3.60	2.05	5.1%
Betfair	3.60	3.60	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	3.45	3.54	2.01	7.0%
Bet365	3.50	3.50	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	3.40	3.60	2.00	7.2%
Marathonbet	3.45	3.54	1.99	7.5%
William Hill	3.40	3.40	2.00	8.8%
SBO	3.04	3.24	2.04	12.8%
Best of all books	3.64	3.72	2.11	1.7%
Average	3.44	3.54	2.02	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DerbyNorwich

Last 10#23Table position#150.54Points per game1.152Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6439Defence rating6125Form rating7529H2H rating7127Goals model7333Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 18:10 UTC

Derby

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

31 Oct	A	Millwall	1-4	L
24 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Stoke City	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	QPR	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Wrexham	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Burnley	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Birmingham	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	West Brom	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	West Ham	0-3	L
1 Sep	A	Portsmouth	2-0	W

Norwich

4W 0D 6L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

31 Oct	H	Watford	3-2	W
24 Oct	A	Charlton	3-1	W
17 Oct	H	Portsmouth	0-1	L
14 Oct	H	Southampton	0-1	L
10 Oct	A	Swansea	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Bolton	3-4	L
17 Sep	A	Manchester City	0-5	L
12 Sep	A	Middlesbrough	3-4	L
9 Sep	H	Birmingham	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	3-1	W

Head to head

5Derby wins

5draws

4Norwich wins

14 meetings · goals 18:19 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Derby

21 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Norwich2-1Derby
21 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Derby1-0Norwich
8 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Norwich1-1Derby
28 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Derby2-3Norwich
10 Apr 2021Championship	Championship	Derby0-1Norwich
3 Oct 2020Championship	Championship	Norwich0-1Derby
29 Dec 2018Championship	Championship	Norwich3-4Derby
3 Oct 2018Championship	Championship	Derby1-1Norwich
10 Feb 2018Championship	Championship	Derby1-1Norwich
28 Oct 2017Championship	Championship	Norwich1-2Derby

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 2 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Derby sit 23rd with 7 points from 13 games, while Norwich are 15th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
3	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15
16	Lincoln	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.44X26%3.54246%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.23 → 3.44 +6.5%X3.65 → 3.54 -3.0%22.11 → 2.02 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
SBO	1.66	2.21	5.5%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
BetVictor	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.21	2.4%
Average	1.71	2.12	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.45	2.5%
Average	1.59	2.25	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Derby 10%Draw 45%Norwich 45%

The statistical model rates Derby at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Norwich at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.44 | 3.54 | 2.02, which imply roughly 28.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Derby are 23rd (7 pts, 11-25 goals), Norwich 15th (15 pts, 23-24).

Over their last five matches, Derby averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Norwich averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Norwich.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.44	3.54	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.76	1.28	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.53	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
3.83	2.26	2.54

2nd half

1	X	2
3.44	2.59	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.72	13.9	22.4
HT X	7.72	5.75	5.32
HT 2	29.5	13.3	3.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	13.3	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.8
1.5	1.21	4.07
2.5	1.71	2.12
3.5	2.70	1.43
4.5	4.98	1.15
5.5	9.21	1.04
6.5	18.7	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.10	5.20
1.75	1.25	3.37
2	1.32	3.07
2.25	1.51	2.42
2.75	1.88	1.88
3	2.16	1.65
3.25	2.41	1.51
3.75	3.08	1.29
4	3.97	1.18
4.25	4.36	1.15
4.75	5.80	1.07
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.94	1.36
0	2.53	1.49
+0.25	2.04	1.74
+0.5	1.81	2.03
+0.75	1.58	2.28
+1	1.39	2.85

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.68	1.01
-1.5	6.93	1.07
-1.25	6.47	1.07
-1	6.07	1.09
-0.75	4.16	1.20
-0.5	3.40	1.32
+1.25	1.30	3.21
+1.5	1.25	3.53
+1.75	1.16	4.43
+2	1.08	6.23
+2.5	1.05	6.93
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.26	3.52
3.5	1.57	2.35
4	1.77	2.04
4.5	2.19	1.63
5	2.74	1.41
5.5	3.15	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.9
5.5	1.05	8.50
6.5	1.09	5.65
7.5	1.21	3.72
8.5	1.43	2.58
9.5	1.77	1.98
10.5	2.24	1.59
11.5	3.02	1.32
12.5	4.24	1.17
13.5	6.26	1.08
14.5	8.40	1.05
15.5	11.5	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.70
7	1.07	5.45
7.25	1.13	4.34
7.75	1.22	3.49
8	1.25	3.30
8.25	1.33	2.86
8.75	1.47	2.43
9	1.55	2.36
9.25	1.64	2.11
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	1.94	1.82
10.25	2.07	1.67
10.75	2.35	1.51
11	2.53	1.48
11.25	2.72	1.37
11.75	3.18	1.27
12	3.66	1.20
12.25	3.84	1.18
12.75	4.63	1.11
13	5.59	1.06
13.25	5.79	1.05

Next Championship matches

3 Nov	QPR – Burnley
3 Nov	Blackburn – Stoke City
3 Nov	Portsmouth – Swansea
3 Nov	Preston – Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Watford – Lincoln
3 Nov	Charlton – Bolton

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	Bolton 2-3 Bristol City
31 Oct	Southampton 4-1 QPR
31 Oct	Swansea 4-0 Blackburn
31 Oct	Wolves 3-0 Cardiff
31 Oct	Millwall 4-1 Derby
31 Oct	Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton