Burnley vs Portsmouth• Championship, England

#221.8:1.80-0FT31/10 · Turf Moor, Burnley1.4:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27PINX3.42PIN23.37PINMargin at best3.0%Books10Markets92Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 13:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.27	3.42	3.37	3.0%
Dafabet	2.27	3.40	3.25	4.2%
Betano	2.27	3.35	3.20	5.2%
Bet365	2.20	3.30	3.25	6.5%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	3.25	6.5%
1xBet	2.19	3.38	3.16	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.17	3.38	3.15	7.4%
William Hill	2.25	3.20	3.10	8.0%
BetVictor	2.15	3.30	3.20	8.1%
SBO	2.08	2.99	3.01	14.7%
Best of all books	2.27	3.42	3.37	3.0%
Average	2.20	3.30	3.19	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurnleyPortsmouth

Last 10#22Table position#110.69Points per game1.465Form pts · last 5111.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4436Defence rating6433Form rating6764H2H rating3635Goals model6549Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 18:02 UTC

Burnley

1W 5D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Portsmouth	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Lincoln	1-4	L
16 Oct	H	Wolves	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Charlton	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Watford	4-0	W
19 Sep	H	Derby	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Swansea	1-3	L
8 Sep	A	Wrexham	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Bristol City	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	1-1	D

Portsmouth

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	A	Burnley	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Millwall	2-1	W
20 Oct	A	Wolves	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Norwich	1-0	W
14 Oct	H	Sheffield Utd	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Southampton	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Blackburn	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Derby	0-2	L

Head to head

2Burnley wins

1draws

1Portsmouth wins

4 meetings · goals 7:3 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Burnley

1 Feb 2025Championship	Championship	Portsmouth0-0Burnley
21 Sep 2024Championship	Championship	Burnley2-1Portsmouth
31 Mar 2012Championship	Championship	Portsmouth1-5Burnley
10 Dec 2011Championship	Championship	Burnley0-1Portsmouth

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 2 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the Championship table, Burnley sit 22nd with 9 points from 13 games, while Portsmouth are 11th with 19 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	13	8	4	1	30:17	+13	28
2	Swansea	13	8	2	3	20:13	+7	26
3	Wolves	13	7	3	3	23:16	+7	24
4	West Brom	13	7	3	3	19:14	+5	24
5	Southampton	13	8	3	2	28:13	+15	23
6	Birmingham	13	6	5	2	23:13	+10	23
7	Stoke City	13	7	2	4	20:16	+4	23
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	+15	22
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	21:16	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	17:15	+2	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	16:15	+1	19
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	+2	18
13	Blackburn	13	5	3	5	19:20	-1	18
14	Bristol City	13	5	3	5	15:17	-2	18
15	Norwich	13	5	0	8	23:24	-1	15
16	Lincoln	13	4	3	6	14:23	-9	15
17	Cardiff	13	3	5	5	19:20	-1	14
18	Wrexham	13	3	5	5	15:19	-4	14
19	Bolton	13	4	2	7	18:26	-8	14
20	Charlton	13	3	5	5	11:21	-10	14
21	Watford	13	3	2	8	12:23	-11	11
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	17:25	-8	9
23	Derby	13	1	4	8	11:25	-14	7
24	Preston	13	1	2	10	10:27	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.21X28%3.30229%3.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 2.21 +7.8%X3.40 → 3.30 -2.9%23.41 → 3.19 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	1.85	2.8%
Betano	2.07	1.80	3.9%
SBO	1.89	1.93	4.7%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
1xBet	1.97	1.78	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.78	6.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.07	1.93	0.1%
Average	1.98	1.81	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.77	1.96	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burnley 10%Draw 45%Portsmouth 45%

The statistical model rated Burnley at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portsmouth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.19, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Burnley are 22nd (9 pts, 17-25 goals), Portsmouth 11th (19 pts, 16-15).

Over their last five matches, Burnley averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Portsmouth averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Portsmouth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Celestini

Goalkeeper

37G. Coudert

Defence

2K. Walker
18H. Ekdal
44Igor
23Lucas Pires

Midfield

17A. Hountondji
5R. Hatate
10M. Edwards
29J. Laurent
19L. Ramazani

Attack

9J. Vardy

Substitutes (9)

15A. Ahmedhodžić
3Max Alleyne
34J. Banel
24J. Cullen
8U. Raghouber
21A. Ramsey
14C. Roberts
22O. Sonne
1M. Weiß

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1

Coach: John Mousinho

Goalkeeper

1N. Schmid

Defence

22Z. Swanson
5R. Poole
55M. Dia
16J. Meghoma

Midfield

7M. Pack
37I. Mohamed
11A. Kamara
10A. Segecic
25R. Kavuma McQueen

Attack

29M. Milovanović

Substitutes (9)

20T. Waddingham
6C. Shaughnessy
19R. Shein
17T. Shade
23J. Murphy
24T. Devlin
31D. Bielica
27O. Bailey
38E. Adams

Match Statistics

BurnleyPortsmouth

1.81Expected Goals0.32

291Passes accurate266

9Shots insidebox1

9Shots outsidebox4

9Blocked Shots2

9Free Kicks9

4Shots on Goal0

5Shots off Goal3

3Offsides3

389Total passes364

18Total Shots5

1Yellow Cards1

5Corner Kicks2

0Goalkeeper Saves4

10Fouls9

0Red Cards0

52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.30	3.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.62	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	2.12	3.75

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.39	3.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	13.6	33.6
HT X	5.35	5.04	7.14
HT 2	26.4	14.3	5.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	9.25	2.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.29
1.5	1.31	3.27
2.5	1.98	1.81
3.5	3.41	1.28
4.5	6.93	1.08
5.5	12.9	1.02
6.5	24.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.03	7.60
1.25	1.17	4.11
1.75	1.36	2.76
2	1.50	2.47
2.25	1.74	2.02
2.75	2.22	1.61
3	2.76	1.41
3.25	3.01	1.31
3.75	4.04	1.18
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06
5	9.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.55	1.46
-0.5	2.18	1.68
-0.25	1.86	1.91
0	1.58	2.32
+0.25	1.42	2.71
+0.5	1.35	3.16

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	9.17	1.04
-2.25	7.90	1.02
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.48	1.11
-1.5	4.20	1.19
-1.25	3.81	1.23
-1	3.42	1.28
+0.75	1.21	3.98
+1	1.10	5.73
+1.25	1.08	6.27
+1.5	1.07	6.85
+1.75	1.01	8.82
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.25	3.59
3.5	1.42	2.72
4	1.60	2.27
4.5	1.90	1.85
5	2.34	1.57
5.5	2.60	1.46
6.5	2.95	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	13.8
5.5	1.05	8.25
6.5	1.10	5.55
7.5	1.23	3.61
8.5	1.46	2.53
9.5	1.81	1.91
10.5	2.31	1.55
11.5	3.09	1.31
12.5	4.35	1.16
13.5	6.43	1.07
14.5	8.63	1.04
15.5	11.8	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.70
7	1.07	5.44
7.25	1.13	4.34
7.75	1.22	3.49
8	1.25	3.30
8.25	1.34	2.86
8.75	1.47	2.43
9	1.60	2.27
9.25	1.64	2.11
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	2.04	1.74
10.25	2.07	1.67
10.75	2.35	1.51
11	2.59	1.46
11.25	2.72	1.37
11.75	3.18	1.27
12	3.66	1.20
12.25	3.84	1.18
12.75	4.63	1.11
13	5.59	1.06
13.25	5.79	1.05

Next Championship matches

3 Nov	QPR – Burnley
3 Nov	Blackburn – Stoke City
3 Nov	Derby – Norwich
3 Nov	Portsmouth – Swansea
3 Nov	Preston – Sheffield Utd
3 Nov	Watford – Lincoln

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

31 Oct	West Ham 1-3 West Brom
31 Oct	Millwall 4-1 Derby
31 Oct	Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton
31 Oct	Wolves 3-0 Cardiff
31 Oct	Swansea 4-0 Blackburn
31 Oct	Southampton 4-1 QPR