Birmingham vs QPR• Championship, England

#42.0:1.03-0FT17/10 · St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham1.6:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.991XBX3.70PIN23.87PINMargin at best3.1%Books6Markets90Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	3.65	3.73	3.5%
Bet365	1.95	3.50	3.70	6.9%
1xBet	1.99	3.54	3.50	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.97	3.54	3.50	7.6%
BetVictor	1.95	3.50	3.60	7.6%
William Hill	2.00	3.40	3.50	8.0%
Best of all books	2.03	3.65	3.73	3.5%
Average	1.98	3.52	3.59	6.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirminghamQPR

Last 10#4Table position#91.82Points per game1.5510Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4450Defence rating5059Form rating4150H2H rating5043Goals model5751Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Birmingham

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

13 Oct	H	Preston	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	West Brom	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Derby	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Norwich	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Wolves	2-2	D
1 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Wrexham	2-1	W
25 Aug	H	Brentford	1-6	L
22 Aug	H	Bristol City	2-2	D

QPR

4W 5D 1L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

14 Oct	H	Derby	4-1	W
9 Oct	A	West Ham	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Preston	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	West Brom	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Charlton	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Middlesbrough	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Cardiff	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Blackburn	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Bolton	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Portsmouth	3-1	W

Head to head

6Birmingham wins

5draws

11QPR wins

22 meetings · goals 21:32 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Birmingham

11 Mar 2026Championship	Championship	Birmingham1-0QPR
9 Dec 2025Championship	Championship	QPR2-1Birmingham
29 Mar 2024Championship	Championship	QPR2-1Birmingham
22 Sep 2023Championship	Championship	Birmingham0-0QPR
18 Mar 2023Championship	Championship	QPR0-1Birmingham
28 Oct 2022Championship	Championship	Birmingham2-0QPR
2 Jan 2022Championship	Championship	Birmingham1-2QPR
28 Sep 2021Championship	Championship	QPR2-0Birmingham
27 Feb 2021Championship	Championship	Birmingham2-1QPR
24 Oct 2020Championship	Championship	QPR0-0Birmingham

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 20 Oct 20:50 UTC

In the Championship table, Birmingham sit 4th with 20 points from 11 games, while QPR are 9th with 17 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	11	7	2	2	16:8	+8	23
2	West Ham	11	6	4	1	30:12	+18	22
3	Middlesbrough	11	6	4	1	22:16	+6	22
4	Birmingham	11	5	5	1	20:11	+9	20
5	West Brom	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Stoke City	11	6	1	4	18:16	+2	19
7	Southampton	11	6	3	2	21:10	+11	17
8	Wolves	10	5	2	3	18:15	+3	17
9	QPR	11	4	5	2	15:12	+3	17
10	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	17:16	+1	15
11	Sheffield Utd	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Millwall	11	4	3	4	18:18	0	15
13	Portsmouth	10	4	2	4	13:13	0	14
14	Wrexham	11	3	5	3	15:16	-1	14
15	Bolton	11	4	2	5	15:18	-3	14
16	Bristol City	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
17	Charlton	11	3	5	3	10:15	-5	14
18	Lincoln	11	3	3	5	9:19	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	18:17	+1	11
20	Watford	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	3	0	8	17:21	-4	9
22	Burnley	11	1	5	5	16:21	-5	8
23	Derby	11	1	3	7	9:20	-11	6
24	Preston	11	1	1	9	9:24	-15	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.96X27%3.53226%3.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.96 -0.5%X3.51 → 3.53 +0.6%23.61 → 3.66 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	2.01	2.9%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.88	2.01	2.9%
Average	1.83	1.94	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.70	2.02	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birmingham 45%Draw 45%QPR 10%

The statistical model rated Birmingham at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and QPR at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.53 | 3.66, which imply roughly 51% for a Birmingham win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Birmingham are 4th (20 pts, 20-11 goals), QPR 9th (17 pts, 15-12).

Over their last five matches, Birmingham averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; QPR averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Birmingham or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Birmingham

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Davies

Goalkeeper

1J. Beadle

Defence

26B. Osayi-Samuel
5P. Neumann
4C. Klarer
20A. Cochrane

Midfield

24T. Iwata
14J. Solis
16P. Roberts
28J. Stansfield
17L. Millar

Attack

9A. Priske

Substitutes (9)

21R. Allsop
18M. Bird
33M. Ducksch
23D. Fry
19T. Gardner-Hickman
10D. Gray
2E. Laird
32L. Vázquez
7Carlos Vicente

QPR

4-2-3-1

Coach: Julien Stéphan

Goalkeeper

1P. Charles

Defence

2K. Adamson
3J. Dunne
6J. Clarke-Salter
12B. Kemper

Midfield

18G. Kamara
5R. Edwards
11P. Smyth
20H. Vale
17K. Poku

Attack

26Rayan Jawad Kolli

Substitutes (9)

40J. Varane
13C. Ward
14K. Saito
25Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu
4L. Morrison
24N. Madsen
22R. Kone
23I. Alemayehu
33Leon Scarlett

Match Statistics

BirminghamQPR

1.34Expected Goals1.17

409Passes accurate356

9Shots insidebox6

2Shots outsidebox6

2Blocked Shots6

7Free Kicks13

5Shots on Goal4

4Goalkeeper Saves2

4Shots off Goal2

509Total passes447

11Total Shots12

2Yellow Cards2

0Corner Kicks4

0Offsides4

13Fouls7

0Red Cards0

52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.52	3.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.77	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.22	4.11

2nd half

1	X	2
2.34	2.48	3.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	14.3	33.7
HT X	5.03	5.43	8.07
HT 2	25.7	15.1	5.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	12.0	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.25	3.63
2.5	1.83	1.94
3.5	3.06	1.33
4.5	6.00	1.10
5.5	11.0	1.05
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	7.20
1.25	1.13	4.70
1.75	1.29	3.09
2	1.39	2.78
2.25	1.61	2.22
2.75	2.03	1.70
3	2.40	1.51
3.25	2.67	1.38
3.75	3.61	1.22
4	5.10	1.10
4.25	5.50	1.08
4.75	7.85	1.03
5	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.85	1.37
-0.75	2.26	1.58
-0.5	1.98	1.83
-0.25	1.71	2.07
0	1.46	2.62
+0.25	1.34	3.02

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.90	1.02
-2.25	7.27	1.05
-2	6.90	1.06
-1.75	4.62	1.14
-1.5	3.62	1.24
-1.25	3.25	1.30
+0.5	1.28	3.56
+0.75	1.16	4.41
+1	1.06	6.77
+1.25	1.05	7.20
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.35	2.99
3.5	1.66	2.13
4	1.98	1.81
4.5	2.41	1.54
5	3.22	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	11.0
6.5	1.01	7.32
7.5	1.13	4.35
8.5	1.31	2.96
9.5	1.60	2.21
10.5	1.98	1.76
11.5	2.50	1.46
12.5	3.35	1.24
13.5	4.76	1.11
14.5	7.24	1.01
15.5	11.0	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.04
7	1.02	6.81
7.25	1.08	5.26
7.75	1.14	4.16
8	1.16	3.96
8.25	1.24	3.34
8.75	1.35	2.79
9	1.44	2.65
9.25	1.50	2.38
9.75	1.66	2.08
10	1.79	1.99
10.25	1.85	1.85
10.75	2.08	1.66
11	2.27	1.59
11.25	2.36	1.50
11.75	2.72	1.37
12	3.05	1.29
12.25	3.20	1.26
12.75	3.80	1.18
13	4.46	1.12
13.25	4.64	1.11
13.75	5.64	1.06
14	6.94	1.02
14.25	7.03	1.02

Next Championship matches

23 Oct

Bolton – Middlesbrough

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

20 Oct	Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Swansea 0-1 West Ham
17 Oct	Derby 0-1 Stoke City
17 Oct	Bristol City 0-1 Sheffield Utd
17 Oct	Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth
17 Oct	Southampton 0-0 Bolton