Bolton vs Lincoln• Championship, England

#181.0:0.50-1FT29/08 · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton1.0:2.5#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.47AVGX3.25AVG22.89AVGMargin5.9%Books13Markets80Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Aug 21:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.50	3.35	2.90	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.46	3.34	2.91	5.0%
Betano	2.47	3.30	2.90	5.3%
Superbet	2.47	3.30	2.90	5.3%
Betfair	2.40	3.40	2.88	5.8%
BetVictor	2.45	3.30	2.88	5.8%
Bet365	2.50	3.25	2.80	6.5%
1xBet	2.46	3.20	2.87	6.7%
10Bet	2.42	3.25	2.85	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.20	2.86	7.2%
Unibet	2.48	3.20	2.80	7.3%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.88	7.8%
SBO	2.26	3.00	2.67	15.0%
Best of all books	2.50	3.40	2.91	3.8%
Average	2.44	3.25	2.85	6.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BoltonLincoln

Last 10#18Table position#151.17Points per game1.2510Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.00.5Goals against · last 52.550Attack rating5083Defence rating17100Form rating062H2H rating3880Goals model2066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 00:02 UTC

Bolton

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	A	Southampton	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Wolves	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Stoke City	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Norwich	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Cardiff	1-0	W
8 Sep	H	West Ham	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Millwall	0-4	L
1 Sep	A	Sheffield Utd	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Lincoln	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	QPR	0-0	D

Lincoln

3W 3D 4L · goals 7:18 · per match 0.7 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Millwall	2-2	D
14 Oct	H	West Ham	0-6	L
10 Oct	A	Sheffield Utd	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Swansea	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Bristol City	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Preston	1-0	W
8 Sep	A	Bournemouth	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Southampton	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Blackburn	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Bolton	1-0	W

Head to head

7Bolton wins

3draws

2Lincoln wins

12 meetings · goals 20:13 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for Bolton

14 Feb 2026League One	League One	Lincoln1-1Bolton
23 Aug 2025League One	League One	Bolton1-1Lincoln
21 Apr 2025League One	League One	Lincoln4-2Bolton
14 Jan 2025EFL Trophy	EFL Trophy	Lincoln0-1Bolton
29 Dec 2024League One	League One	Bolton3-0Lincoln
26 Dec 2023League One	League One	Lincoln0-1Bolton
5 Aug 2023League One	League One	Bolton3-0Lincoln
30 Dec 2022League One	League One	Lincoln1-1Bolton
1 Oct 2022League One	League One	Bolton2-0Lincoln
22 Feb 2022League One	League One	Bolton3-1Lincoln

Championship tableChampionshipupdated 27 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Championship table, Bolton sit 18th with 14 points from 12 games, while Lincoln are 15th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	+10	25
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	+3	23
3	West Ham	12	6	4	2	32:15	+17	22
4	Wolves	12	6	3	3	20:16	+4	21
5	West Brom	12	6	3	3	16:13	+3	21
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24:12	+12	20
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
8	QPR	12	5	5	2	20:12	+8	20
9	Stoke City	12	6	2	4	18:16	+2	20
10	Blackburn	12	5	3	4	19:16	+3	18
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16:15	+1	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	4	4	4	16:15	+1	16
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	12:15	-3	15
15	Lincoln	12	4	3	5	13:20	-7	15
16	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	19:17	+2	14
17	Wrexham	12	3	5	4	15:18	-3	14
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14
19	Charlton	12	3	5	4	11:18	-7	14
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20:22	-2	12
21	Watford	12	3	2	7	10:20	-10	11
22	Burnley	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8
23	Derby	12	1	4	7	10:21	-11	7
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10:25	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.47X29%3.25233%2.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	1.81	4.0%
Betano	2.05	1.80	4.3%
Superbet	2.02	1.80	5.1%
SBO	2.04	1.78	5.2%
10Bet	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Marathonbet	2.00	1.78	6.2%
Unibet	2.00	1.77	6.5%
BetVictor	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.81	4.0%
Average	2.01	1.78	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
10Bet	1.77	2.00	6.5%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
Superbet	1.78	1.97	6.9%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Unibet	1.72	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.77	1.97	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolton 45%Draw 45%Lincoln 10%

The statistical model rated Bolton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lincoln at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.25 | 2.89, which imply roughly 40.5% for a Bolton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Bolton are 18th (14 pts, 16-23 goals), Lincoln 15th (15 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, Bolton averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Lincoln averaged 1 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bolton

4-2-3-1

Coach: Steven Schumacher

Goalkeeper

1J. Bonham

Defence

5L. Brunt
3C. Forino-Joseph
14A. Famewo
25M. Conway

Midfield

8J. Sheehan
21E. Erhahon
16S. Iling-Junior
45J. McAtee
11T. Gale

Attack

10S. Dalby

Substitutes (8)

31G. Bazunu
6B. Davies
7K. Dong
39R. Hardie
22Gaizka Larrazabal
26J. Nelson
18E. Toal
12D. Watson

Lincoln

4-2-3-1

Coach: Chris Cohen

Goalkeeper

1G. Wickens

Defence

20C. Elder
6R. Towler
25D. Elerewe
3A. Reach

Midfield

24I. Varfolomeev
14C. McGrandles
7R. Hackett
18B. House
16D. Jefferies

Attack

34F. Draper

Substitutes (9)

46J. Gauci
23J. Honohan
26Y. Konak
10M. Melia
19I. Olaofe
17R. Street
29E. Wheatley
4A. Coubiș
8T. Bayliss

Match Statistics

BoltonLincoln

463Passes accurate180

13Shots insidebox5

8Shots outsidebox3

7Blocked Shots3

14Free Kicks6

6Shots on Goal2

1Goalkeeper Saves7

8Shots off Goal3

541Total passes249

21Total Shots8

14Corner Kicks2

0Offsides4

0Yellow Cards3

6Fouls15

0Red Cards0

69%Ball Possession31%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.44	3.25	2.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.52	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.02	2.08	3.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	8.43	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.58
1.5	1.32	3.22
2.5	2.01	1.78
3.5	3.45	1.28
4.5	6.96	1.08
5.5	13.7	1.03
6.5	27.1	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.30
1	1.06	6.37
1.25	1.18	3.95
1.75	1.40	2.76
2	1.51	2.44
2.25	1.77	2.01
2.75	2.28	1.59
3	2.78	1.40
3.25	3.05	1.33
3.75	4.03	1.17
4	5.55	1.08
4.25	5.90	1.07
5	9.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.90	1.37
-0.5	2.38	1.54
-0.25	2.07	1.72
0	1.75	2.04
+0.25	1.53	2.40
+0.5	1.41	2.77

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.03
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	6.16	1.08
-1.5	4.76	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.17
-1	3.96	1.21
+0.75	1.28	3.46
+1	1.14	4.99
+1.25	1.11	5.43
+1.5	1.10	5.77
+1.75	1.03	7.30
+2	1.01	9.80
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.42	2.54
3.5	2.08	1.66
4.5	2.80	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	8.80
5.5	1.11	5.70
6.5	1.17	4.12
7.5	1.35	2.92
8.5	1.61	2.18
9.5	1.99	1.74
10.5	2.58	1.44
11.5	3.46	1.25
12.5	4.69	1.13
13.5	5.70	1.10
14.5	7.50	1.06

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.15
6.25	1.07	5.38
6.75	1.14	4.19
7	1.16	3.96
7.25	1.25	3.30
7.75	1.37	2.73
8	1.42	2.57
8.25	1.52	2.31
8.75	1.71	2.02
9	1.79	1.94
9.25	1.92	1.79
9.75	2.18	1.60
10	2.37	1.50
10.25	2.51	1.44
10.75	2.94	1.32
11	3.36	1.24
11.25	3.52	1.21
11.75	4.25	1.14
12	5.11	1.08
12.25	5.32	1.07

Next Championship matches

30 Oct

Sheffield Utd – Wrexham

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

24 Oct	Wolves 1-0 Watford
24 Oct	Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham
24 Oct	Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City
24 Oct	Blackburn 2-0 Wrexham
24 Oct	QPR 5-0 Swansea
24 Oct	Preston 1-1 West Brom