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Carrick Rangers vs Linfield• Premiership, Northern-Ireland

#52.2:2.02-2FT17/10 · Taylors Avenue, Carrickfergus1.6:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.97PINX3.99PIN21.85B365Margin at best4.3%Books6Markets79Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.973.991.825.2%
William Hill3.753.601.839.1%
1xBet3.843.651.7510.6%
Marathonbet3.763.651.7311.8%
Bet3653.303.601.8512.1%
BetVictor3.253.131.7519.9%
Best of all books3.973.991.854.3%
Average3.653.601.7911.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Carrick RangersLinfield
Last 10#5Table position#21.42Points per game2.367Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 50.458Attack rating4217Defence rating8335Form rating6529H2H rating7119Goals model8131Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 17:30 UTC

Carrick Rangers

3W 2D 5L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHLinfield2-2D
10 OctADungannon Swifts4-2W
3 OctHCrusaders FC4-0W
26 SepAGlentoran0-2L
19 SepHLarne2-5L
15 SepABallymena United1-1D
12 SepHCliftonville FC1-3L
5 SepALinfield0-1L
29 AugABangor4-0W
22 AugHColeraine FC0-2L

Linfield

8W 2D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

20 OctALarne2-1W
17 OctACarrick Rangers2-2D
10 OctHBangor2-0W
25 SepAColeraine FC3-1W
19 SepHCrusaders FC1-0W
15 SepAPortadown1-1D
12 SepADungannon Swifts1-0W
5 SepHCarrick Rangers1-0W
29 AugALimavady United2-0W
21 AugHCliftonville FC1-0W

Head to head

2Carrick Rangers wins
3draws
20Linfield wins

25 meetings · goals 16:58 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Carrick Rangers

5 Sep 2026PremiershipPremiershipLinfield1-0Carrick Rangers
20 Mar 2026PremiershipPremiershipCarrick Rangers2-0Linfield
13 Jan 2026PremiershipPremiershipCarrick Rangers0-0Linfield
29 Nov 2025PremiershipPremiershipLinfield3-1Carrick Rangers
11 Jan 2025PremiershipPremiershipLinfield3-0Carrick Rangers
3 Nov 2024PremiershipPremiershipCarrick Rangers1-3Linfield
21 Sep 2024PremiershipPremiershipLinfield1-0Carrick Rangers
2 Apr 2024PremiershipPremiershipCarrick Rangers2-3Linfield
13 Oct 2023PremiershipPremiershipCarrick Rangers1-2Linfield
26 Aug 2023PremiershipPremiershipLinfield3-3Carrick Rangers

Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Premiership table, Carrick Rangers sit 5th with 17 points from 12 games, while Linfield are 2nd with 26 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Coleraine FC12101126:12+1431
2Linfield1182116:8+826
3Glentoran1262416:10+620
4Larne861117:6+1119
5Carrick Rangers1252521:19+217
6Ballymena United1143417:15+215
7Crusaders FC1250716:23-715
8Dungannon Swifts1142511:14-314
9Cliftonville FC1240813:15-212
10Limavady United1140711:17-612
11Portadown1222810:21-118
12Bangor1213810:24-146

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.64X25%3.60250%1.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 11:311 3.64X 3.602 1.79
13.64 → 3.64 0.0%X3.58 → 3.60 +0.6%21.85 → 1.79 -3.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.762.094.7%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.701.999.1%
Marathonbet1.701.999.1%
BetVictor1.561.7820.3%
Best of all books1.762.104.4%
Average1.681.999.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.642.108.6%
Marathonbet1.642.079.3%
BetVictor1.471.9020.7%
Best of all books1.672.107.5%
Average1.622.0510.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Carrick Rangers 10%Draw 45%Linfield 45%

The statistical model rated Carrick Rangers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Linfield at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.64 | 3.60 | 1.79, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Carrick Rangers are 5th (17 pts, 21-19 goals), Linfield 2nd (26 pts, 16-8).

Over their last five matches, Carrick Rangers averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Linfield averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Linfield.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.643.601.79

Double chance

1XX212
1.821.221.19

Draw no bet

12
2.581.37

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.05

1st half

1X2
4.162.262.32

2nd half

1X2
3.832.562.18

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.2715.123.7
HT X8.605.874.80
HT 236.715.02.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3813.81.62

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.90
1.51.203.74
2.51.681.99
3.52.661.37
4.54.781.12
5.57.751.02
6.512.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.20
1.251.085.50
1.751.233.42
21.293.04
2.251.502.27
2.751.851.77
32.141.55
3.252.401.44
3.753.341.24
44.501.13
4.254.891.11
4.756.871.05
58.001.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.741.36
+0.252.171.57
+0.51.871.80
+0.751.672.00
+11.462.44
+1.251.372.85
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.001.01
-1.257.921.04
-17.401.05
-0.754.731.14
-0.53.691.28
-0.253.291.29
+1.51.313.19
+1.751.203.97
+21.105.70
+2.251.086.11
+2.51.076.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.10
7.51.203.66
8.51.402.58
9.51.761.94
10.52.171.60
11.52.851.34
12.53.921.17
13.55.841.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.055.84
71.065.58
7.251.124.43
7.751.213.56
81.243.36
8.251.322.91
8.751.462.46
91.542.32
9.251.632.13
9.751.811.89
101.941.79
10.252.041.69
10.752.311.52
112.551.44
11.252.681.38
11.753.121.28
123.581.20
12.253.761.18
12.754.531.12
135.441.07
13.255.641.06

Next Premiership matches

23 OctPortadown – Linfield

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

20 OctLarne 1-2 Linfield
17 OctCliftonville FC 1-2 Portadown
17 OctBangor 0-0 Dungannon Swifts
17 OctGlentoran 1-0 Limavady United
17 OctBallymena United 2-1 Crusaders FC
16 OctLarne 2-3 Coleraine FC