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Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC• Premiership, Northern-Ireland

#61.4:1.02-1FT17/10 · Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena1.0:1.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX4.47PIN24.381XBMargin at best6.9%Books6Markets86Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.654.494.395.7%
William Hill1.624.004.339.8%
1xBet1.584.104.3810.5%
Marathonbet1.564.104.3011.7%
Bet3651.603.804.3311.9%
BetVictor1.533.503.9019.6%
Best of all books1.654.494.395.7%
Average1.594.004.2711.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ballymena UnitedCrusaders FC
Last 10#6Table position#71.36Points per game1.2510Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4264Defence rating3657Form rating4338H2H rating6275Goals model2557Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 17:30 UTC

Ballymena United

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHCrusaders FC2-1W
10 OctALimavady United2-3L
3 OctACliftonville FC1-0W
26 SepHPortadown2-0W
19 SepADungannon Swifts1-1D
15 SepHCarrick Rangers1-1D
11 SepAColeraine FC2-3L
5 SepABangor2-2D
21 AugHGlentoran0-2L
15 AugACrusaders FC1-2L

Crusaders FC

4W 0D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

17 OctABallymena United1-2L
10 OctHLarne0-3L
3 OctACarrick Rangers0-4L
26 SepHBangor2-1W
19 SepALinfield0-1L
15 SepHDungannon Swifts3-0W
12 SepHLimavady United1-2L
5 SepAColeraine FC1-4L
29 AugAGlentoran2-1W
22 AugHPortadown3-2W

Head to head

7Ballymena United wins
5draws
24Crusaders FC wins

36 meetings · goals 37:65 · last 10: 1W 2D 7L for Ballymena United

15 Aug 2026PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC2-1Ballymena United
25 Apr 2026PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC3-2Ballymena United
17 Feb 2026PremiershipPremiershipBallymena United2-0Crusaders FC
22 Nov 2025PremiershipPremiershipBallymena United2-2Crusaders FC
20 Sep 2025PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC1-1Ballymena United
15 Feb 2025PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC3-1Ballymena United
26 Oct 2024PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC1-0Ballymena United
20 Aug 2024PremiershipPremiershipBallymena United0-1Crusaders FC
9 Mar 2024PremiershipPremiershipBallymena United2-4Crusaders FC
13 Oct 2023PremiershipPremiershipCrusaders FC1-0Ballymena United

Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Premiership table, Ballymena United sit 6th with 15 points from 11 games, while Crusaders FC are 7th with 15 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Coleraine FC12101126:12+1431
2Linfield1182116:8+826
3Glentoran1262416:10+620
4Larne861117:6+1119
5Carrick Rangers1252521:19+217
6Ballymena United1143417:15+215
7Crusaders FC1250716:23-715
8Dungannon Swifts1142511:14-314
9Cliftonville FC1240813:15-212
10Limavady United1140711:17-612
11Portadown1222810:21-118
12Bangor1213810:24-146

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.59X23%3.99221%4.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 09:201 1.59X 3.992 4.26
11.61 → 1.59 -1.2%X3.99 → 3.99 0.0%24.50 → 4.26 -5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.552.475.0%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.462.3810.5%
Marathonbet1.462.3810.5%
BetVictor1.412.0320.2%
Best of all books1.572.474.2%
Average1.492.3210.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.532.328.5%
Marathonbet1.532.289.2%
BetVictor1.402.0520.2%
Best of all books1.572.326.8%
Average1.522.2310.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ballymena United 45%Draw 45%Crusaders FC 10%

The statistical model rated Ballymena United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Crusaders FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.99 | 4.27, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Ballymena United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Ballymena United are 6th (15 pts, 17-15 goals), Crusaders FC 7th (15 pts, 16-23).

Over their last five matches, Ballymena United averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Crusaders FC averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ballymena United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.594.004.27

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.111.15

Draw no bet

12
1.263.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.23

1st half

1X2
2.092.434.43

2nd half

1X2
1.922.804.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3015.035.3
HT X4.656.9710.5
HT 220.116.07.33

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5017.32.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.5
1.51.134.54
2.51.492.32
3.52.251.53
4.53.761.19
5.56.281.05
6.510.51.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.251.075.94
1.751.144.45
21.174.00
2.251.322.88
2.751.582.09
31.761.85
3.251.991.65
3.752.561.40
43.141.27
4.253.421.23
4.754.641.12
56.301.06
5.256.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.551.45
-1.252.251.53
-11.981.70
-0.751.721.93
-0.51.582.16
-0.251.412.55
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-38.501.01
-2.755.961.09
-2.54.651.14
-2.254.281.16
-23.931.19
-1.753.061.33
01.263.43
+0.251.223.91
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.095.67
+11.018.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.055.94
7.51.213.63
8.51.432.55
9.51.751.96
10.52.201.58
11.52.901.32
12.54.011.16
13.56.011.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.065.69
71.075.43
7.251.134.32
7.751.223.48
81.253.30
8.251.342.86
8.751.472.42
91.562.30
9.251.652.11
9.751.841.86
101.971.77
10.252.071.67
10.752.351.51
112.581.41
11.252.721.37
11.753.201.26
123.681.20
12.253.841.18
12.754.641.11
135.611.06
13.255.811.05

Next Premiership matches

23 OctPortadown – Linfield

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

20 OctLarne 1-2 Linfield
17 OctCliftonville FC 1-2 Portadown
17 OctBangor 0-0 Dungannon Swifts
17 OctGlentoran 1-0 Limavady United
17 OctCarrick Rangers 2-2 Linfield
16 OctLarne 2-3 Coleraine FC