Larne vs 
Linfield• Premiership, Northern-Ireland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:26 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.72 | 5.2% |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.55 | 3.60 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.55 | 8.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 9.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.34 | 3.56 | 10.7% |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 10.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.34 | 3.48 | 11.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.72 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.91 | 3.37 | 3.55 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 02:30 UTC
Larne
7W 1D 2L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against
| 16 Oct | H | Coleraine FC | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Crusaders FC | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Carrick Rangers | 5-2 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Cliftonville FC | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Portadown | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | H | Bangor | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Glentoran | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Coleraine FC | 0-0 | D |
Linfield
8W 2D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against
| 17 Oct | A | Carrick Rangers | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Bangor | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Coleraine FC | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Crusaders FC | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Portadown | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Dungannon Swifts | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Carrick Rangers | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Limavady United | 2-0 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Cliftonville FC | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Glentoran | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
31 meetings · goals 36:27 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Larne
| 11 Apr 2026Premiership | Premiership | Linfield0-2Larne |
| 24 Feb 2026Premiership | Premiership | Larne1-1Linfield |
| 16 Jan 2026Premiership | Premiership | Linfield0-0Larne |
| 5 Dec 2025Premiership | Premiership | Larne0-0Linfield |
| 18 Apr 2025Premiership | Premiership | Larne2-1Linfield |
| 11 Feb 2025Premiership | Premiership | Linfield1-0Larne |
| 16 Nov 2024Premiership | Premiership | Larne0-1Linfield |
| 14 Sep 2024Premiership | Premiership | Linfield0-1Larne |
| 22 Apr 2024Premiership | Premiership | Linfield1-1Larne |
| 30 Dec 2023Premiership | Premiership | Larne1-1Linfield |
Premiership tableIFA Premiershipupdated 19 Oct 21:30 UTC
In the Premiership table, Larne sit 4th with 19 points from 8 games, while Linfield are 2nd with 26 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26:12 | +14 | 31 |
| 2 | Linfield | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Larne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 19 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Crusaders FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon Swifts | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Cliftonville FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Portadown | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 1.83 | 4.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.72 | 1.62 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.02 | 1.85 | 3.6% |
| Average | 1.90 | 1.77 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 1.92 | 8.6% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.88 | 8.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 1.89 | 9.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 1.75 | 19.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.92 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.86 | 10.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Larne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Linfield at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.52, which imply roughly 51.8% for a Larne win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premiership table: Larne are 4th (19 pts, 17-6 goals), Linfield 2nd (26 pts, 16-8).
Over their last five matches, Larne averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Linfield averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Larne or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91 | 3.37 | 3.55 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.74 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.40 | 2.52 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.77 | 1.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | 2.08 | 4.16 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 2.40 | 3.75 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.97 | 14.6 | 37.5 |
| HT X | 4.81 | 5.13 | 7.95 |
| HT 2 | 26.0 | 14.9 | 5.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 9.30 | 2.43 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.60 |
| 1.5 | 1.28 | 3.13 |
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.23 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 5.66 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 11.8 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.14 | 4.33 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.69 |
| 2 | 1.45 | 2.38 |
| 2.25 | 1.69 | 1.96 |
| 2.75 | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.58 | 1.38 |
| 3.25 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
| 4.25 | 6.00 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 10.5 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.71 | 1.36 |
| -0.75 | 2.15 | 1.57 |
| -0.5 | 1.89 | 1.79 |
| -0.25 | 1.64 | 2.05 |
| 0 | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| +0.25 | 1.33 | 3.07 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
| -2.25 | 7.07 | 1.06 |
| -2 | 6.60 | 1.07 |
| -1.75 | 4.50 | 1.15 |
| -1.5 | 3.58 | 1.25 |
| -1.25 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| +0.5 | 1.28 | 3.62 |
| +0.75 | 1.16 | 4.46 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 7.00 |
| +1.25 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.00 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.01 | 7.18 |
| 6.5 | 1.15 | 4.22 |
| 7.5 | 1.34 | 2.80 |
| 8.5 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| 9.5 | 2.05 | 1.69 |
| 10.5 | 2.75 | 1.36 |
| 11.5 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 12.5 | 5.75 | 1.06 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | 1.02 | 6.88 |
| 6 | 1.02 | 6.86 |
| 6.25 | 1.08 | 5.19 |
| 6.75 | 1.16 | 4.06 |
| 7 | 1.18 | 3.84 |
| 7.25 | 1.26 | 3.21 |
| 7.75 | 1.39 | 2.67 |
| 8 | 1.46 | 2.51 |
| 8.25 | 1.55 | 2.26 |
| 8.75 | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| 9 | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| 9.25 | 1.96 | 1.76 |
| 9.75 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
| 10 | 2.45 | 1.49 |
| 10.25 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 10.75 | 3.02 | 1.30 |
| 11 | 3.46 | 1.22 |
| 11.25 | 3.64 | 1.20 |
| 11.75 | 4.41 | 1.13 |
| 12 | 5.33 | 1.07 |
| 12.25 | 5.54 | 1.06 |
Next Premiership matches
| 23 Oct | Portadown – Linfield |