Sturm Graz vs 
Ried• Bundesliga, Austria
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 20:59 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.40 | 4.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 5.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.24 | 4.35 | 5.4% |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 6.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.98 | 4.22 | 7.0% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.05 | 4.45 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.98 | 4.25 | 7.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 7.6% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 8.3% |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.67 | 3.80 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 4.24 | 4.50 | 3.6% |
| Average | 1.70 | 4.02 | 4.27 | 7.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC
Sturm Graz
6W 1D 3L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against
| 22 Oct | H | Marseille | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Grazer AK | 6-1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Austria Vienna | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Oct | H | Floridsdorfer AC | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Red Bull Salzburg | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Rennes | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Lask Linz | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Voitsberg | 4-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Rapid Vienna | 1-3 | L |
Ried
5W 2D 3L · goals 23:18 · per match 2.3 for, 1.8 against
| 17 Oct | H | Austria Vienna | 3-2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | WSG Wattens | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Oct | H | SKU Amstetten | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Wolfsberger AC | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Red Bull Salzburg | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | Wallern / Marienkirchen | 5-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | TSV Hartberg | 2-3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Grazer AK | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Lask Linz | 1-4 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Rapid Vienna | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
34 meetings · goals 51:26 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Sturm Graz
| 8 Feb 2026Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz1-0Ried |
| 16 Aug 2025Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Ried1-3Sturm Graz |
| 28 Aug 2024Cup | Cup | Ried1-3Sturm Graz |
| 30 Oct 2022Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz2-1Ried |
| 6 Aug 2022Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Ried1-1Sturm Graz |
| 6 Mar 2022Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Ried2-2Sturm Graz |
| 27 Oct 2021Cup | Cup | Sturm Graz1-2Ried |
| 17 Oct 2021Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz1-0Ried |
| 9 Feb 2021Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Sturm Graz2-1Ried |
| 24 Oct 2020Bundesliga | Bundesliga | Ried0-2Sturm Graz |
Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the Bundesliga table, Sturm Graz sit 4th with 17 points from 9 games, while Ried are 5th with 14 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 21 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | WSG Wattens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | TSV Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 2.55 | 5.0% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.55 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.40 | 6.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.35 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.35 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.55 | 2.55 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.42 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.27 | 7.7% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 2.39 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 2.35 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.35 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sturm Graz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ried at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 4.05 | 4.30, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Sturm Graz win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Bundesliga table: Sturm Graz are 4th (17 pts, 16-10 goals), Ried 5th (14 pts, 16-15).
Over their last five matches, Sturm Graz averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Ried averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sturm Graz or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 4.02 | 4.27 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 2.11 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.30 | 3.30 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.35 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 2.44 | 4.38 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 2.78 | 4.05 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.53 | 14.2 | 33.5 |
| HT X | 4.86 | 6.69 | 9.90 |
| HT 2 | 20.3 | 15.0 | 7.04 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 17.8 | 2.45 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 14.6 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 5.05 |
| 2.5 | 1.51 | 2.42 |
| 3.5 | 2.27 | 1.59 |
| 4.5 | 3.89 | 1.21 |
| 5.5 | 7.20 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 14.6 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 29.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 12.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2 | 1.17 | 3.96 |
| 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.89 |
| 2.75 | 1.61 | 2.17 |
| 3 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| 3.25 | 2.04 | 1.72 |
| 3.75 | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| 4 | 3.14 | 1.28 |
| 4.25 | 3.44 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.61 | 1.13 |
| 5 | 6.15 | 1.06 |
| 5.25 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.71 | 1.40 |
| -1.25 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| -1 | 2.16 | 1.66 |
| -0.75 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| -0.5 | 1.68 | 2.14 |
| -0.25 | 1.48 | 2.47 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.45 | 1.03 |
| -2.75 | 6.50 | 1.07 |
| -2.5 | 5.06 | 1.13 |
| -2.25 | 4.70 | 1.14 |
| -2 | 4.33 | 1.17 |
| -1.75 | 3.25 | 1.30 |
| 0 | 1.30 | 3.22 |
| +0.25 | 1.24 | 3.64 |
| +0.5 | 1.21 | 4.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.11 | 5.32 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 8.57 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.27 | 3.55 |
| 8.5 | 1.47 | 2.55 |
| 9.5 | 1.81 | 1.92 |
| 10.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 11.5 | 3.15 | 1.33 |
Next Bundesliga matches
| 23 Oct | SCR Altach – Austria Vienna |
| 24 Oct | WSG Wattens – Grazer AK |
| 24 Oct | TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger AC |
| 24 Oct | Rapid Vienna – Austria Lustenau |
| 25 Oct | Lask Linz – Red Bull Salzburg |