Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica• First League, Montenegro

#81.0:0.80-0LiveToday · Stadion Pod Racinom, Plav1.8:1.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70BVCX3.25DAF22.50BFRMargin at best7.8%Books9Markets42Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	3.25	2.48	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.67	3.23	2.50	8.4%
Betano	2.67	3.25	2.45	9.0%
BetVictor	2.70	3.13	2.45	9.8%
Betfair	2.63	3.00	2.50	11.4%
Bet365	2.62	3.20	2.38	11.4%
1xBet	2.58	3.12	2.41	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.58	3.12	2.41	12.3%
William Hill	2.62	2.90	2.45	13.5%
Best of all books	2.70	3.25	2.50	7.8%
Average	2.64	3.13	2.45	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JezeroBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10#8Table position#21.20Points per game1.678Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.836Attack rating6469Defence rating3144Form rating5629H2H rating7148Goals model5242Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 16:30 UTC

Jezero

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

7 Nov	A	Arsenal Tivat	1-0	W
3 Nov	H	Dečić	1-0	W
29 Oct	A	Sutjeska	2-2	D
23 Oct	H	Petrovac	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Mladost DG	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Lovćen	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Mornar	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-3	L

Buducnost Podgorica

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
2 Nov	A	Bokelj	1-0	W
27 Oct	H	Mornar	3-2	W
22 Oct	H	Arsenal Tivat	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Dečić	1-0	W
14 Oct	A	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Sutjeska	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	Petrovac	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Mladost DG	2-0	W
10 Sep	H	Jezero	3-0	W

Head to head

8Jezero wins

5draws

16Buducnost Podgorica wins

29 meetings · goals 35:52 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Jezero

10 Sep 2026First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica3-0Jezero
8 Apr 2026First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica2-0Jezero
10 Dec 2025First League	First League	Jezero1-0Buducnost Podgorica
1 Oct 2025First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica1-1Jezero
4 Aug 2025First League	First League	Jezero1-2Buducnost Podgorica
14 May 2025First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica2-3Jezero
16 Mar 2025First League	First League	Jezero3-3Buducnost Podgorica
9 Nov 2024First League	First League	Buducnost Podgorica1-1Jezero
15 Sep 2024First League	First League	Jezero0-2Buducnost Podgorica
30 May 2024Cup	Cup	Jezero1-2Buducnost Podgorica

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 13 Nov 16:40 UTC

In the First League table, Jezero sit 8th with 18 points from 15 games, while Buducnost Podgorica are 2nd with 25 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	15	8	3	4	28:19	+9	27
2	Buducnost Podgorica	15	7	4	4	20:16	+4	25
3	Mornar	15	6	6	3	21:15	+6	24
4	Sutjeska	15	6	5	4	19:13	+6	23
5	Dečić	14	6	3	5	14:11	+3	21
6	Bokelj	14	5	4	5	10:11	-1	19
7	Petrovac	14	4	6	4	15:13	+2	18
8	Jezero	15	4	6	5	17:22	-5	18
9	Mladost DG	15	3	3	9	11:25	-14	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	14	1	6	7	10:20	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X29%3.13237%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.71 → 2.65 -2.2%X3.16 → 3.12 -1.3%22.38 → 2.45 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.05	1.74	6.3%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Betano	2.02	1.70	8.3%
BetVictor	1.98	1.71	9.0%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.03	1.71	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Average	1.78	1.90	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jezero 10%Draw 45%Buducnost Podgorica 45%

The statistical model rates Jezero at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Buducnost Podgorica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.13 | 2.45, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Jezero are 8th (18 pts, 17-22 goals), Buducnost Podgorica 2nd (25 pts, 20-16).

Over their last five matches, Jezero averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Buducnost Podgorica averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Buducnost Podgorica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	3.13	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.39	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.92	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.90

1st half

1	X	2
3.26	2.04	3.12

2nd half

1	X	2
2.99	2.32	2.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.41	14.3	27.5
HT X	6.35	4.80	5.75
HT 2	29.0	14.4	4.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	8.30	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.15
1.5	1.32	3.02
2.5	2.03	1.71
3.5	3.61	1.22
4.5	7.23	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.20
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.39	2.68
2	1.51	2.33
2.25	1.77	1.93
2.75	2.28	1.53
3	2.85	1.34
3.25	3.14	1.27
3.75	4.20	1.18
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.63	1.42
-0.25	2.25	1.55
0	1.94	1.78
+0.25	1.67	2.07
+0.5	1.49	2.43
+0.75	1.33	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.55	1.08
-1.25	4.78	1.14
-1	4.60	1.13
-0.75	3.16	1.28
+1	1.19	3.93
+1.25	1.13	4.60
+1.5	1.10	5.05
+2.5	1.02	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.85	1.95
8.5	2.10	1.67

Latest First League results

8 Nov	Dečić 2-0 Mladost DG
8 Nov	Sutjeska 0-3 Petrovac
7 Nov	Buducnost Podgorica 1-4 Otrant-Olympic
7 Nov	Arsenal Tivat 0-1 Jezero
6 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Mornar
3 Nov	Jezero 1-0 Dečić