Dečić vs Mladost DG• First League, Montenegro

#60.6:1.016:00Today · Tusko, Tuzi0.6:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.61DAFX3.75BFR25.641XBMargin at best6.5%Books8Markets45Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.61	3.65	5.40	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.58	3.67	5.51	8.7%
Betano	1.60	3.70	5.10	9.1%
1xBet	1.53	3.60	5.64	10.9%
Betfair	1.53	3.75	5.00	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.60	5.50	12.2%
Bet365	1.60	3.60	4.50	12.5%
William Hill	1.60	3.30	5.00	12.8%
Best of all books	1.61	3.75	5.64	6.5%
Average	1.57	3.61	5.21	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DečićMladost DG

Last 10#6Table position#91.38Points per game0.864Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5062Defence rating3867Form rating3340H2H rating6079Goals model2157Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 15:31 UTC

Dečić

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

3 Nov	A	Jezero	0-1	L
29 Oct	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-0	W
23 Oct	A	Bokelj	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Sutjeska	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Mornar	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Petrovac	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Mladost DG	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Jezero	2-1	W

Mladost DG

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

2 Nov	H	Sutjeska	0-1	L
28 Oct	A	Petrovac	0-1	L
22 Oct	A	Mornar	1-4	L
18 Oct	H	Jezero	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	Iskra	4-0	W
8 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	2-2	D
2 Oct	H	Mornar	1-5	L
28 Sep	A	Petrovac	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Bokelj	0-3	L
14 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-2	L

Head to head

6Dečić wins

0draws

3Mladost DG wins

9 meetings · goals 20:12 · last 9: 6W 0D 3L for Dečić

5 Sep 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG2-0Dečić
8 Apr 2026First League	First League	Mladost DG2-1Dečić
10 Dec 2025First League	First League	Dečić3-4Mladost DG
1 Oct 2025First League	First League	Mladost DG1-2Dečić
4 Aug 2025First League	First League	Dečić3-2Mladost DG
21 Apr 2024First League	First League	Dečić2-0Mladost DG
28 Feb 2024First League	First League	Mladost DG0-3Dečić
21 Oct 2023First League	First League	Dečić4-1Mladost DG
13 Aug 2023First League	First League	Mladost DG0-2Dečić

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 7 Nov 16:03 UTC

In the First League table, Dečić sit 6th with 18 points from 13 games, while Mladost DG are 9th with 12 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Otrant-Olympic	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24
3	Mornar	15	6	6	3	21:15	+6	24
4	Sutjeska	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23
5	Bokelj	14	5	4	5	10:11	-1	19
6	Dečić	13	5	3	5	12:11	+1	18
7	Jezero	15	4	6	5	17:22	-5	18
8	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	14	1	6	7	10:20	-10	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.57X25%3.61217%5.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.57 -3.1%X3.60 → 3.61 +0.3%24.50 → 5.21 +15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.84	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.84	4.3%
Average	1.94	1.79	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.92	1.75	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dečić 45%Draw 45%Mladost DG 10%

The statistical model rates Dečić at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mladost DG at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.61 | 5.21, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Dečić win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Dečić are 6th (18 pts, 12-11 goals), Mladost DG 9th (12 pts, 11-23).

Over their last five matches, Dečić averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mladost DG averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Dečić or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.61	5.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.19	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.15	5.57

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.49	5.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	17.0	48.7
HT X	4.24	5.23	10.4
HT 2	23.3	17.8	8.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	8.85	3.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.90
1.5	1.28	3.13
2.5	1.94	1.79
3.5	3.20	1.27
4.5	5.95	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.19	4.20
1.75	1.34	2.88
2	1.44	2.51
2.25	1.68	2.03
2.75	2.16	1.61
3	2.59	1.41
3.25	2.92	1.33
3.75	3.95	1.17
4	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.58	1.42
-1.25	2.27	1.54
-1	1.99	1.73
-0.75	1.73	1.99
-0.5	1.61	2.21
-0.25	1.35	2.80

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.95	1.11
-2.25	5.10	1.13
-2	4.20	1.16
-1.75	3.11	1.29
0	1.19	3.97
+0.25	1.12	4.70
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Latest First League results

7 Nov	Buducnost Podgorica 1-4 Otrant-Olympic
7 Nov	Arsenal Tivat 0-1 Jezero
6 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Mornar
3 Nov	Jezero 1-0 Dečić
3 Nov	Otrant-Olympic 3-1 Arsenal Tivat
2 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica