Jezero vs Dečić• First League, Montenegro

#81.4:2.21-0FTToday · Stadion Pod Racinom, Plav0.6:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20DAFX3.10B36522.34PINMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets46Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 12:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.20	3.00	2.29	8.3%
Pinnacle	3.18	2.92	2.34	8.4%
Betano	3.15	3.00	2.27	9.1%
BetVictor	3.13	3.00	2.25	9.7%
1xBet	3.14	2.97	2.20	11.0%
Bet365	3.00	3.10	2.20	11.0%
Betfair	3.00	3.00	2.20	12.1%
Marathonbet	3.06	2.97	2.18	12.2%
William Hill	2.90	2.80	2.30	13.7%
Best of all books	3.20	3.10	2.34	6.2%
Average	3.08	2.97	2.25	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JezeroDečić

Last 10#8Table position#60.92Points per game1.506Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 51.270Attack rating3035Defence rating6543Form rating5720H2H rating8057Goals model4345Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 18:00 UTC

Jezero

2W 4D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

29 Oct	A	Sutjeska	2-2	D
23 Oct	H	Petrovac	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Mladost DG	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Lovćen	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Mornar	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Tivat	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Dečić	1-2	L

Dečić

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

29 Oct	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-0	W
23 Oct	A	Bokelj	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Sutjeska	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Mornar	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Petrovac	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Mladost DG	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Jezero	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Otrant-Olympic	3-0	W

Head to head

9Jezero wins

15draws

11Dečić wins

35 meetings · goals 31:34 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Jezero

30 Aug 2026First League	First League	Dečić2-1Jezero
10 May 2026First League	First League	Dečić3-0Jezero
11 Mar 2026First League	First League	Jezero1-2Dečić
9 Nov 2025First League	First League	Dečić1-0Jezero
13 Sep 2025First League	First League	Jezero4-0Dečić
10 May 2025First League	First League	Jezero1-1Dečić
12 Mar 2025First League	First League	Dečić1-2Jezero
6 Nov 2024Cup	Cup	Jezero0-2Dečić
2 Nov 2024First League	First League	Jezero1-1Dečić
31 Aug 2024First League	First League	Dečić1-0Jezero

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 3 Nov 16:10 UTC

In the First League table, Jezero sit 8th with 12 points from 13 games, while Dečić are 6th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Otrant-Olympic	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24
3	Sutjeska	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23
4	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21
5	Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10:10	0	19
6	Dečić	12	5	3	4	12:10	+2	18
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
8	Jezero	13	2	6	5	15:22	-7	12
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	13	1	6	6	10:19	-9	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.08X30%2.97240%2.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.57	6.4%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.22	1.57	8.7%
BetVictor	2.21	1.57	8.9%
1xBet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.26	1.56	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Betano	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.93	1.74	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jezero 10%Draw 45%Dečić 45%

The statistical model rated Jezero at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dečić at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 2.97 | 2.25, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Jezero are 8th (12 pts, 15-22 goals), Dečić 6th (18 pts, 12-10).

Over their last five matches, Jezero averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Dečić averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dečić.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.08	2.97	2.25

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.30	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.18	1.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
3.84	1.95	2.93

2nd half

1	X	2
3.46	2.22	2.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.10	15.1	28.0
HT X	6.80	4.44	5.40
HT 2	35.8	15.1	3.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.30	7.05	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.35
1.5	1.40	2.68
2.5	2.26	1.56
3.5	4.23	1.17
4.5	8.18	1.04
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.75
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.51	2.33
2	1.70	2.01
2.25	1.98	1.73
2.75	2.64	1.40
3	3.40	1.25
3.25	3.78	1.19
3.75	4.90	1.14
4	7.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.09	1.33
-0.25	2.62	1.41
0	2.20	1.58
+0.25	1.80	1.91
+0.5	1.58	2.24
+0.75	1.40	2.66

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.10	1.04
-1.25	5.90	1.10
-1	6.05	1.06
-0.75	3.90	1.18
+1	1.22	3.63
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.13	4.55
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.36	2.78
8	1.47	2.41
8.5	1.70	1.98
9	1.96	1.72
9.5	2.26	1.54
10	2.82	1.35

Latest First League results

3 Nov	Otrant-Olympic 3-1 Arsenal Tivat
2 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
2 Nov	Mladost DG 0-1 Sutjeska
1 Nov	Mornar 0-0 Petrovac
29 Oct	Dečić 2-0 Otrant-Olympic
29 Oct	Sutjeska 2-2 Jezero