Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero• First League, Montenegro

#101.0:2.012:00Tomorrow · Stadion u Parku, Tivat1.4:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.12PINX3.25BTN22.50B365Margin at best2.8%Books8Markets40Rating29 · 71Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 13:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.15	2.28	7.9%
Pinnacle	3.12	3.11	2.26	8.5%
Betano	2.87	3.25	2.30	9.1%
1xBet	3.08	3.05	2.19	10.9%
Betfair	3.00	3.10	2.20	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.00	3.05	2.17	12.2%
Bet365	2.50	3.10	2.50	12.3%
William Hill	3.00	2.88	2.20	13.5%
Best of all books	3.12	3.25	2.50	2.8%
Average	2.96	3.09	2.26	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal TivatJezero

Last 10#10Table position#80.69Points per game1.073Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.442Attack rating5841Defence rating5925Form rating757H2H rating9332Goals model6829Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 15:06 UTC

Arsenal Tivat

1W 3D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

3 Nov	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-3	L
28 Oct	H	Bokelj	0-0	D
22 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	3-3	D
17 Oct	H	Mornar	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Grbalj	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Sutjeska	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Petrovac	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Mladost DG	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Jezero	2-5	L
30 Aug	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-2	L

Jezero

3W 4D 3L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

3 Nov	H	Dečić	1-0	W
29 Oct	A	Sutjeska	2-2	D
23 Oct	H	Petrovac	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Mladost DG	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Lovćen	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Mornar	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Tivat	5-2	W

Head to head

6Arsenal Tivat wins

8draws

13Jezero wins

27 meetings · goals 23:38 · last 10: 0W 4D 6L for Arsenal Tivat

5 Sep 2026First League	First League	Jezero5-2Arsenal Tivat
2 May 2026First League	First League	Jezero0-0Arsenal Tivat
7 Mar 2026First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat1-2Jezero
5 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arsenal Tivat1-3Jezero
2 Nov 2025First League	First League	Jezero2-0Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat2-2Jezero
24 May 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat0-0Jezero
2 Apr 2025First League	First League	Jezero2-0Arsenal Tivat
1 Dec 2024First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat0-1Jezero
28 Sep 2024First League	First League	Jezero0-0Arsenal Tivat

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the First League table, Arsenal Tivat sit 10th with 9 points from 13 games, while Jezero are 8th with 15 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Otrant-Olympic	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24
3	Sutjeska	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23
4	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21
5	Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10:10	0	19
6	Dečić	13	5	3	5	12:11	+1	18
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
8	Jezero	14	3	6	5	16:22	-6	15
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	13	1	6	6	10:19	-9	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.96X29%3.09240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.64	6.4%
Betano	2.12	1.62	8.9%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.16	1.63	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Average	1.86	1.81	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tivat 10%Draw 45%Jezero 45%

The statistical model rates Arsenal Tivat at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jezero at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.09 | 2.26, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Arsenal Tivat are 10th (9 pts, 10-19 goals), Jezero 8th (15 pts, 16-22).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tivat averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Jezero averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Jezero.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.96	3.09	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.34	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.94	1.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
3.61	2.00	2.94

2nd half

1	X	2
3.39	2.27	2.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.88	13.8	27.5
HT X	6.65	4.53	5.35
HT 2	35.5	13.8	3.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	7.70	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.79
1.5	1.36	2.80
2.5	2.16	1.63
3.5	3.79	1.20
4.5	7.10	1.07
5.5	19.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.20	3.70
1.75	1.45	2.48
2	1.61	2.13
2.25	1.88	1.81
2.75	2.49	1.45
3	3.17	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.80	1.15
4	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.03	1.34
-0.25	2.56	1.42
0	2.12	1.67
+0.25	1.80	1.89
+0.5	1.62	2.24
+0.75	1.41	2.61

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.80	1.04
-1.25	6.30	1.09
-1	5.80	1.07
-0.75	3.78	1.19
+1	1.23	3.51
+1.25	1.17	4.00
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+2.5	1.02	9.15

Next First League matches

7 Nov

Buducnost Podgorica – Otrant-Olympic

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

3 Nov	Jezero 1-0 Dečić
3 Nov	Otrant-Olympic 3-1 Arsenal Tivat
2 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
2 Nov	Mladost DG 0-1 Sutjeska
1 Nov	Mornar 0-0 Petrovac
29 Oct	Dečić 2-0 Otrant-Olympic