Bokelj vs Mornar• First League, Montenegro

#51.0:1.016:00Today · Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor2.2:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.43PINX3.00B36522.30PINMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets41Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.45	2.80	2.31	8.0%
Pinnacle	3.43	2.78	2.30	8.6%
BetVictor	3.20	3.00	2.25	9.0%
Betano	3.25	2.92	2.27	9.1%
Betfair	3.25	3.00	2.20	9.6%
1xBet	3.22	2.84	2.24	10.9%
Bet365	3.20	3.00	2.15	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.12	2.84	2.22	12.3%
William Hill	3.10	2.70	2.25	13.7%
Best of all books	3.45	3.00	2.31	5.6%
Average	3.25	2.88	2.24	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BokeljMornar

Last 10#5Table position#41.46Points per game1.505Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.631Attack rating6962Defence rating3847Form rating5315H2H rating8573Goals model2742Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 19:00 UTC

Bokelj

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

2 Nov	H	Buducnost Podgorica	0-1	L
28 Oct	A	Arsenal Tivat	0-0	D
23 Oct	H	Dečić	2-0	W
19 Oct	A	Sutjeska	0-4	L
14 Oct	H	Buducnost Podgorica	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Mladost DG	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Jezero	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-1	W
3 Sep	A	Mornar	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D

Mornar

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	H	Petrovac	0-0	D
27 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	2-3	L
22 Oct	H	Mladost DG	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	3-0	W
8 Oct	H	Jezero	3-3	D
2 Oct	A	Mladost DG	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Dečić	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-1	L

Head to head

3Bokelj wins

5draws

9Mornar wins

17 meetings · goals 12:21 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Bokelj

3 Sep 2026First League	First League	Mornar2-0Bokelj
10 May 2026First League	First League	Mornar0-0Bokelj
11 Mar 2026First League	First League	Bokelj1-2Mornar
9 Nov 2025First League	First League	Mornar0-0Bokelj
13 Sep 2025First League	First League	Bokelj1-2Mornar
18 May 2025First League	First League	Mornar4-1Bokelj
29 Mar 2025First League	First League	Bokelj0-2Mornar
27 Nov 2024Cup	Cup	Mornar3-0Bokelj
23 Nov 2024First League	First League	Mornar1-1Bokelj
22 Sep 2024First League	First League	Bokelj2-0Mornar

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 5 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the First League table, Bokelj sit 5th with 19 points from 13 games, while Mornar are 4th with 21 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Otrant-Olympic	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24
3	Sutjeska	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23
4	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21
5	Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10:10	0	19
6	Dečić	13	5	3	5	12:11	+1	18
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
8	Jezero	14	3	6	5	16:22	-6	15
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	13	1	6	6	10:19	-9	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.21X32%2.86240%2.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.33 → 3.21 -3.6%X2.87 → 2.86 -0.3%22.20 → 2.24 +1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.53	1.47	7.6%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Betano	2.37	1.50	8.9%
1xBet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
BetVictor	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Best of all books	2.53	1.50	6.2%
Average	2.41	1.50	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
William Hill	2.05	1.65	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Average	2.01	1.69	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bokelj 10%Draw 45%Mornar 45%

The statistical model rates Bokelj at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mornar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.21 | 2.86 | 2.24, which imply roughly 35% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Bokelj are 5th (19 pts, 10-10 goals), Mornar 4th (21 pts, 20-15).

Over their last five matches, Bokelj averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mornar averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mornar.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.25	2.88	2.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.28	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
4.03	1.90	2.97

2nd half

1	X	2
3.61	2.16	2.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.55	15.4	28.8
HT X	6.95	4.17	5.05
HT 2	38.8	15.5	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	6.03	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.55
1.5	1.46	2.47
2.5	2.41	1.50
3.5	4.60	1.14
4.5	9.25	1.03
5.5	26.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.50
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.28	3.15
1.75	1.59	2.17
2	1.81	1.87
2.25	2.12	1.63
2.75	2.87	1.34
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	3.98	1.17
4	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.33	1.29
-0.25	2.71	1.38
0	2.26	1.56
+0.25	1.81	1.89
+0.5	1.59	2.23
+0.75	1.39	2.67

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.00	1.04
-1	6.05	1.06
-0.75	3.92	1.18
+1	1.22	3.61
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.13	4.55
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.01	10.0

Next First League matches

7 Nov	Arsenal Tivat – Jezero
7 Nov	Buducnost Podgorica – Otrant-Olympic

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

3 Nov	Jezero 1-0 Dečić
3 Nov	Otrant-Olympic 3-1 Arsenal Tivat
2 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
2 Nov	Mladost DG 0-1 Sutjeska
1 Nov	Mornar 0-0 Petrovac
29 Oct	Dečić 2-0 Otrant-Olympic