Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat• First League, Montenegro

#22.0:1.63-1FTToday · Ulcinj1.2:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.63PINX3.75BFR25.20DAFMargin at best7.2%Books9Markets45Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.63	3.65	5.20	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.63	3.62	5.14	8.4%
Betano	1.62	3.60	5.10	9.1%
BetVictor	1.60	3.60	5.25	9.3%
Betfair	1.57	3.75	5.00	10.4%
1xBet	1.57	3.58	5.18	10.9%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	4.60	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.58	5.05	12.3%
William Hill	1.62	3.30	4.80	12.9%
Best of all books	1.63	3.75	5.25	7.1%
Average	1.60	3.59	5.04	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Otrant-OlympicArsenal Tivat

Last 10#2Table position#101.71Points per game0.695Form pts · last 532.0Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.663Attack rating3850Defence rating5062Form rating3850H2H rating5053Goals model4755Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 19:30 UTC

Otrant-Olympic

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

29 Oct	A	Dečić	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Sutjeska	1-1	D
19 Oct	A	Petrovac	3-2	W
13 Oct	H	Mornar	0-3	L
8 Oct	H	Mladost DG	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Dinamo Tirana	1-4	L
20 Sep	H	Jezero	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Mornar	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Bokelj	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Buducnost Podgorica	2-0	W

Arsenal Tivat

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	H	Bokelj	0-0	D
22 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	3-3	D
17 Oct	H	Mornar	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Grbalj	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Sutjeska	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Petrovac	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Mladost DG	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Jezero	2-5	L
30 Aug	H	Otrant-Olympic	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Bokelj	0-0	D

Head to head

5Otrant-Olympic wins

3draws

4Arsenal Tivat wins

12 meetings · goals 15:13 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Otrant-Olympic

30 Aug 2026First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat1-2Otrant-Olympic
18 May 2025First League	First League	Otrant-Olympic4-1Arsenal Tivat
29 Mar 2025First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat2-1Otrant-Olympic
24 Nov 2024First League	First League	Otrant-Olympic0-2Arsenal Tivat
22 Sep 2024First League	First League	Arsenal Tivat0-0Otrant-Olympic
11 Mar 2020Second League	Second League	Otrant-Olympic2-3Arsenal Tivat
20 Oct 2019Second League	Second League	Arsenal Tivat3-1Otrant-Olympic
1 Sep 2019Second League	Second League	Otrant-Olympic1-0Arsenal Tivat
24 Apr 2019Second League	Second League	Arsenal Tivat0-1Otrant-Olympic
10 Mar 2019Second League	Second League	Otrant-Olympic0-0Arsenal Tivat

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 3 Nov 16:10 UTC

In the First League table, Otrant-Olympic sit 2nd with 24 points from 14 games, while Arsenal Tivat are 10th with 9 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	14	7	4	3	19:12	+7	25
2	Otrant-Olympic	14	7	3	4	24:18	+6	24
3	Sutjeska	14	6	5	3	19:10	+9	23
4	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21
5	Bokelj	13	5	4	4	10:10	0	19
6	Dečić	12	5	3	4	12:10	+2	18
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
8	Jezero	13	2	6	5	15:22	-7	12
9	Mladost DG	14	3	3	8	11:23	-12	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	13	1	6	6	10:19	-9	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.60X25%3.59218%5.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.83	5.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.83	3.4%
Average	1.94	1.78	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.88	1.78	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.89	1.78	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Otrant-Olympic 45%Draw 45%Arsenal Tivat 10%

The statistical model rated Otrant-Olympic at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Tivat at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.59 | 5.04, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Otrant-Olympic win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Otrant-Olympic are 2nd (24 pts, 24-18 goals), Arsenal Tivat 10th (9 pts, 10-19).

Over their last five matches, Otrant-Olympic averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Arsenal Tivat averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Otrant-Olympic or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.60	3.59	5.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.15	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.16	5.37

2nd half

1	X	2
1.96	2.47	4.92

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.45	16.3	48.0
HT X	4.37	5.30	10.4
HT 2	22.5	17.0	8.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	9.63	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.51
1.5	1.28	3.25
2.5	1.94	1.78
3.5	3.34	1.26
4.5	6.43	1.08
5.5	14.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.18	4.20
1.75	1.33	2.90
2	1.45	2.48
2.25	1.68	2.02
2.75	2.16	1.60
3	2.60	1.41
3.25	2.94	1.33
3.75	4.05	1.16
4	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.69	1.38
-1.25	2.39	1.48
-1	2.07	1.66
-0.75	1.77	1.94
-0.5	1.60	2.22
-0.25	1.39	2.67

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2.25	4.90	1.14
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.19	3.85
+0.25	1.14	4.40

Latest First League results

3 Nov	Jezero 1-0 Dečić
2 Nov	Bokelj 0-1 Buducnost Podgorica
2 Nov	Mladost DG 0-1 Sutjeska
1 Nov	Mornar 0-0 Petrovac
29 Oct	Dečić 2-0 Otrant-Olympic
29 Oct	Sutjeska 2-2 Jezero