Mornar vs Petrovac• First League, Montenegro

#22.4:1.80-0FT01/11 · Stadion Topolica, Bar1.4:2.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07PINX3.10B36523.70DAFMargin at best7.6%Books9Markets47Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.07	3.05	3.70	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.07	3.03	3.68	8.5%
Betano	2.07	3.05	3.60	8.9%
BetVictor	2.05	3.10	3.50	9.6%
Bet365	2.00	3.10	3.50	10.8%
Betfair	2.00	3.10	3.50	10.8%
1xBet	2.00	3.06	3.54	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.06	3.44	12.3%
William Hill	2.05	2.80	3.50	13.1%
Best of all books	2.07	3.10	3.70	7.6%
Average	2.03	3.04	3.55	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MornarPetrovac

Last 10#2Table position#71.50Points per game1.1510Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 52.063Attack rating3753Defence rating4757Form rating4375H2H rating2565Goals model3564Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 18:02 UTC

Mornar

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

27 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	2-3	L
22 Oct	H	Mladost DG	4-1	W
17 Oct	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	3-0	W
8 Oct	H	Jezero	3-3	D
2 Oct	A	Mladost DG	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Dečić	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Otrant-Olympic	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Sutjeska	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Bokelj	2-0	W

Petrovac

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

28 Oct	H	Mladost DG	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	Jezero	2-1	W
19 Oct	H	Otrant-Olympic	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Kom	2-0	W
28 Sep	H	Mladost DG	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	1-4	L
14 Sep	H	Arsenal Tivat	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Dečić	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Sutjeska	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Mornar	1-1	D

Head to head

9Mornar wins

10draws

8Petrovac wins

27 meetings · goals 24:25 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Mornar

29 Aug 2026First League	First League	Petrovac1-1Mornar
1 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Mornar0-0Petrovac
20 May 2026First League	First League	Mornar1-1Petrovac
21 Mar 2026First League	First League	Petrovac0-2Mornar
30 Nov 2025First League	First League	Mornar3-1Petrovac
21 Sep 2025First League	First League	Petrovac1-1Mornar
24 May 2025First League	First League	Petrovac0-2Mornar
2 Apr 2025First League	First League	Mornar1-1Petrovac
1 Dec 2024First League	First League	Petrovac4-2Mornar
29 Sep 2024First League	First League	Mornar0-2Petrovac

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 1 Nov 20:01 UTC

In the First League table, Mornar sit 2nd with 21 points from 14 games, while Petrovac are 7th with 15 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	13	6	4	3	18:12	+6	22
2	Mornar	14	5	6	3	20:15	+5	21
3	Otrant-Olympic	13	6	3	4	21:17	+4	21
4	Sutjeska	13	5	5	3	18:10	+8	20
5	Bokelj	12	5	4	3	10:9	+1	19
6	Dečić	12	5	3	4	12:10	+2	18
7	Petrovac	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
8	Jezero	13	2	6	5	15:22	-7	12
9	Mladost DG	13	3	3	7	11:22	-11	12
10	Arsenal Tivat	12	1	6	5	9:16	-7	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.03X30%3.04226%3.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.03 +2.5%X3.09 → 3.04 -1.6%23.74 → 3.55 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.24	1.62	6.4%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
BetVictor	2.13	1.61	9.1%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Best of all books	2.24	1.65	5.2%
Average	2.18	1.61	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.91	1.77	8.9%
Betano	1.88	1.78	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.74	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.91	1.77	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mornar 45%Draw 45%Petrovac 10%

The statistical model rated Mornar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Petrovac at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.04 | 3.54, which imply roughly 49.3% for a Mornar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Mornar are 2nd (21 pts, 20-15 goals), Petrovac 7th (15 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Mornar averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Petrovac averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mornar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.03	3.04	3.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.67	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	1.98	4.21

2nd half

1	X	2
2.41	2.26	3.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.27	15.0	38.3
HT X	4.87	4.48	7.67
HT 2	27.3	16.3	5.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.72	7.65	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.13
1.5	1.37	2.78
2.5	2.18	1.61
3.5	4.02	1.18
4.5	7.67	1.05
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.47	2.43
2	1.63	2.09
2.25	1.92	1.78
2.75	2.53	1.44
3	3.28	1.27
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	4.80	1.14
4	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.07	1.30
-0.75	2.29	1.56
-0.5	2.03	1.72
-0.25	1.74	1.97
0	1.45	2.53
+0.25	1.32	2.98

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.02
-2.25	6.00	1.09
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.75	3.80	1.22
-1.5	4.05	1.17
-1.25	3.32	1.26
+0.5	1.26	3.56
+0.75	1.13	4.55
+1	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.85	1.95
8.5	2.10	1.67

Next First League matches

2 Nov	Mladost DG – Sutjeska
2 Nov	Bokelj – Buducnost Podgorica

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

29 Oct	Dečić 2-0 Otrant-Olympic
29 Oct	Sutjeska 2-2 Jezero
28 Oct	Petrovac 1-0 Mladost DG
28 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Bokelj
27 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 3-2 Mornar
24 Oct	Otrant-Olympic 1-1 Sutjeska