Brighton vs Brentford• Premier League, England

#32.2:0.414:0008/11 · Amex Stadium, Brighton1.8:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.981XBX4.051XB23.80B365Margin at best1.5%Books10Markets83Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 03:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.98	4.05	3.78	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.95	3.95	3.76	3.2%
Dafabet	1.94	3.90	3.75	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.93	3.94	3.68	4.4%
Betano	1.93	3.80	3.70	5.2%
Betfair	1.91	3.70	3.70	6.4%
Bet365	1.85	3.80	3.80	6.7%
BetVictor	1.85	3.80	3.70	7.4%
William Hill	1.91	3.75	3.50	7.6%
SBO	1.87	3.38	3.35	12.9%
Best of all books	1.98	4.05	3.80	1.5%
Average	1.91	3.81	3.67	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BrightonBrentford

Last 10#3Table position#62.11Points per game1.568Form pts · last 552.2Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4571Defence rating2960Form rating4062H2H rating3891Goals model966Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Brighton

7W 2D 1L · goals 25:6 · per match 2.5 for, 0.6 against

31 Oct	A	Manchester City	1-0	W
28 Oct	A	Manchester City	2-2	D
25 Oct	A	Liverpool	0-2	L
22 Oct	A	FK Jablonec	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Crystal Palace	5-0	W
15 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Sunderland	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Arsenal	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Manchester United	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Coventry	5-0	W

Brentford

3W 5D 2L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Nottingham Forest	2-0	W
28 Oct	A	Sunderland	2-3	L
25 Oct	A	Hull City	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Liverpool	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Aston Villa	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Chelsea	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Reading	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bournemouth	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Sunderland	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Leeds	1-1	D

Head to head

8Brighton wins

5draws

6Brentford wins

19 meetings · goals 26:21 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Brighton

21 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Brentford0-2Brighton
22 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Brighton2-1Brentford
19 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Brentford4-2Brighton
27 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Brighton0-0Brentford
3 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Brentford0-0Brighton
6 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Brighton2-1Brentford
26 Jul 2023Premier League - Summer Series	Premier League - Summer Series	Brentford0-2Brighton
1 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Brighton3-3Brentford
14 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Brentford2-0Brighton
26 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Brighton0-1Brentford

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Brighton sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, while Brentford are 6th with 14 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	9	8	0	1	14:5	+9	24
2	Manchester City	9	7	0	2	20:10	+10	21
3	Brighton	9	6	1	2	24:7	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	19:15	+4	16
5	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	11:9	+2	15
6	Brentford	9	3	5	1	16:9	+7	14
7	Everton	9	3	4	2	9:9	0	13
8	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	14:13	+1	12
9	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	10:10	0	12
10	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	10:13	-3	12
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	11:10	+1	11
12	Leeds	9	2	5	2	9:8	+1	11
13	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	12:15	-3	11
14	Ipswich	9	3	2	4	14:18	-4	11
15	Fulham	9	2	3	4	9:11	-2	9
16	Coventry	9	3	0	6	9:16	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	10:15	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	9:21	-12	7
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	6:12	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	7:17	-10	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.91X25%3.83226%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.64	2.47	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.43	3.7%
Betano	1.62	2.37	3.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.31	8.6%
BetVictor	1.56	2.23	8.9%
Best of all books	1.64	2.47	1.5%
Average	1.59	2.34	5.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.51	2.42	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.57	2.55	2.9%
Average	1.52	2.41	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brighton 45%Draw 45%Brentford 10%

The statistical model rates Brighton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brentford at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.83 | 3.65, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Brighton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Brighton are 3rd (19 pts, 24-7 goals), Brentford 6th (14 pts, 16-9).

Over their last five matches, Brighton averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Brentford averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.81	3.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.89	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.37	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.21	2.72	3.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.90	13.9	29.0
HT X	5.24	6.47	8.64
HT 2	21.4	14.7	6.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	17.4	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.7
1.5	1.17	4.72
2.5	1.59	2.34
3.5	2.42	1.56
4.5	4.22	1.21
5.5	7.76	1.06
6.5	12.9	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.75	1.17	4.14
2	1.25	3.87
2.25	1.40	2.78
2.75	1.72	2.10
3	1.94	1.87
3.25	2.21	1.67
3.75	2.80	1.42
4	3.50	1.29
4.25	3.75	1.24
4.75	4.94	1.13
5	6.63	1.07
5.25	6.81	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.91	1.39
-1	2.59	1.50
-0.75	2.16	1.71
-0.5	1.89	1.94
-0.25	1.66	2.20
0	1.44	2.75

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.22	1.09
-2.25	5.81	1.10
-2	5.53	1.12
-1.75	3.93	1.22
-1.5	3.27	1.32
+0.25	1.34	3.14
+0.5	1.29	3.63
+0.75	1.18	4.32
+1	1.09	6.37
+1.25	1.07	6.40
+1.5	1.05	7.21
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.38	2.87
3.5	1.82	1.92
4.5	2.62	1.45
5.5	3.95	1.22

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.05	8.50
6.5	1.07	6.27
7.5	1.17	4.12
8.5	1.35	2.85
9.5	1.63	2.15
10.5	2.04	1.72
11.5	2.65	1.41
12.5	3.56	1.23
13.5	5.00	1.12
14.5	6.87	1.05
15.5	9.25	1.04
16.5	11.3	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.35	2.74
9	1.44	2.69
9.25	1.49	2.34
9.75	1.66	2.04
10	1.88	1.94
10.25	1.88	1.82
10.75	2.12	1.61
11	2.30	1.59
11.25	2.44	1.46
11.75	2.78	1.35
12.25	3.28	1.25

Next Premier League matches

6 Nov	Everton – Coventry
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7 Nov	Fulham – Newcastle
7 Nov	Arsenal – Hull City
7 Nov	Nottingham Forest – Manchester City
8 Nov	Crystal Palace – Liverpool

All Premier League fixtures and the table

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