Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City• Premier League, England

#190.4:1.617:3007/11 · City Ground, Nottingham2.4:1.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60DAFX4.261XB21.781XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets88Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.58	4.26	1.78	1.5%
Pinnacle	4.54	4.11	1.76	3.2%
Dafabet	4.60	4.10	1.74	3.6%
Marathonbet	4.45	4.15	1.73	4.4%
Bet365	4.75	3.90	1.73	4.5%
Betfair	4.60	4.00	1.73	4.5%
Betano	4.60	4.00	1.72	4.9%
BetVictor	4.50	4.00	1.67	7.1%
William Hill	4.20	3.90	1.73	7.3%
SBO	3.95	3.55	1.69	12.7%
Best of all books	4.75	4.26	1.78	0.7%
Average	4.48	4.00	1.73	5.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nottingham ForestManchester City

Last 10#19Table position#20.67Points per game2.331Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 51.614Attack rating8650Defence rating5010Form rating9029H2H rating710Goals model10027Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Nottingham Forest

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

31 Oct	A	Brentford	0-2	L
23 Oct	A	Ipswich	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Arsenal	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Crystal Palace	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Coventry	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Aston Villa	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Tottenham	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Liverpool	2-2	D
25 Aug	H	Leeds	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Leeds	0-1	L

Manchester City

6W 1D 3L · goals 29:17 · per match 2.9 for, 1.7 against

4 Nov	A	RB Leipzig	3-2	W
31 Oct	H	Brighton	0-1	L
28 Oct	H	Brighton	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Aston Villa	1-2	L
20 Oct	H	AEK Athens FC	5-1	W
17 Oct	H	Ipswich	3-2	W
14 Oct	H	Paris Saint Germain	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	Liverpool	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sunderland	5-3	W
17 Sep	H	Norwich	5-0	W

Head to head

1Nottingham Forest wins

2draws

6Manchester City wins

9 meetings · goals 5:20 · last 9: 1W 2D 6L for Nottingham Forest

4 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Manchester City2-2Nottingham Forest
27 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Nottingham Forest1-2Manchester City
27 Apr 2025FA Cup	FA Cup	Nottingham Forest0-2Manchester City
8 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Nottingham Forest1-0Manchester City
4 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Manchester City3-0Nottingham Forest
28 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Nottingham Forest0-2Manchester City
23 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Manchester City2-0Nottingham Forest
18 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Nottingham Forest1-1Manchester City
31 Aug 2022Premier League	Premier League	Manchester City6-0Nottingham Forest

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Nottingham Forest sit 19th with 6 points from 9 games, while Manchester City are 2nd with 21 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	9	8	0	1	14:5	+9	24
2	Manchester City	9	7	0	2	20:10	+10	21
3	Brighton	9	6	1	2	24:7	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	19:15	+4	16
5	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	11:9	+2	15
6	Brentford	9	3	5	1	16:9	+7	14
7	Everton	9	3	4	2	9:9	0	13
8	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	14:13	+1	12
9	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	10:10	0	12
10	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	10:13	-3	12
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	11:10	+1	11
12	Leeds	9	2	5	2	9:8	+1	11
13	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	12:15	-3	11
14	Ipswich	9	3	2	4	14:18	-4	11
15	Fulham	9	2	3	4	9:11	-2	9
16	Coventry	9	3	0	6	9:16	-7	9
17	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	10:15	-5	7
18	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	9:21	-12	7
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	6:12	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	7:17	-10	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.45X24%4.00255%1.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.34	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.67	2.29	3.5%
Betano	1.67	2.27	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.27	4.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.34	1.6%
Average	1.64	2.27	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.20	7.6%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.17	8.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.60	2.23	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nottingham Forest 10%Draw 45%Manchester City 45%

The statistical model rates Nottingham Forest at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.45 | 4.00 | 1.71, which imply roughly 25% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Nottingham Forest are 19th (6 pts, 6-12 goals), Manchester City 2nd (21 pts, 20-10).

Over their last five matches, Nottingham Forest averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Manchester City averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester City.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.48	4.00	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.10	1.20	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
3.32	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
4.52	2.37	2.22

2nd half

1	X	2
4.20	2.74	2.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.59	15.5	21.2
HT X	10.2	6.49	4.82
HT 2	38.9	14.9	2.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.58	16.0	1.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.7
1.5	1.18	4.52
2.5	1.64	2.27
3.5	2.58	1.49
4.5	4.57	1.17
5.5	8.75	1.05
6.5	13.9	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.08	6.32
1.75	1.21	4.06
2	1.29	3.51
2.25	1.46	2.66
2.75	1.79	2.03
3	2.04	1.78
3.25	2.31	1.60
3.75	3.00	1.36
4	3.97	1.23
4.25	4.21	1.17
4.75	5.75	1.09
5	8.23	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.52	1.50
+0.5	2.15	1.70
+0.75	1.92	1.91
+1	1.65	2.25
+1.25	1.49	2.57
+1.5	1.41	2.90

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.6	1.04
-1	8.88	1.02
-0.75	5.65	1.11
-0.5	4.40	1.20
-0.25	3.77	1.25
0	3.37	1.30
+1.75	1.28	3.57
+2	1.17	4.76
+2.25	1.13	5.21
+2.5	1.12	5.70
+2.75	1.06	7.18
+3	1.02	10.4
+3.5	1.03	10.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.75
2.5	1.44	2.66
3	1.65	2.20
3.5	2.01	1.76
4	2.73	1.44
4.5	3.07	1.35
5.5	4.40	1.19

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.03	8.65
6.5	1.10	5.57
7.5	1.23	3.61
8.5	1.46	2.56
9.5	1.82	1.95
10.5	2.30	1.55
11.5	3.05	1.31
12.5	4.24	1.17
13.5	6.15	1.08
14.5	8.13	1.05
15.5	11.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.25	3.28
8.25	1.36	2.75
8.75	1.49	2.37
9	1.61	2.30
9.25	1.68	2.06
9.75	1.87	1.80
10	2.04	1.78
10.25	2.13	1.59
10.75	2.45	1.44
11.25	2.88	1.32

Next Premier League matches

6 Nov	Everton – Coventry
7 Nov	Leeds – Tottenham
7 Nov	Fulham – Newcastle
7 Nov	Arsenal – Hull City
8 Nov	Brighton – Brentford
8 Nov	Crystal Palace – Liverpool

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

2 Nov	Newcastle 0-1 Everton
1 Nov	Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal
31 Oct	Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham
31 Oct	Tottenham 2-0 Crystal Palace
31 Oct	Brentford 2-0 Nottingham Forest
31 Oct	Hull City 2-2 Ipswich