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Manchester City vs Brighton• Premier League, England

#12.6:1.415:00Today · Etihad Stadium, Manchester3.0:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.721XBX4.571XB24.621XBMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets99Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.724.574.621.7%
Betano1.724.504.502.6%
Marathonbet1.704.504.553.0%
Pinnacle1.684.484.593.6%
Dafabet1.704.404.404.3%
Betfair1.674.334.604.7%
Bet3651.674.334.505.2%
BetVictor1.654.204.337.5%
William Hill1.704.004.207.6%
SBO1.564.054.2012.6%
Best of all books1.724.574.621.7%
Average1.684.344.455.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester CityBrighton
Last 10#1Table position#32.63Points per game2.007Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 50.446Attack rating5422Defence rating7850Form rating5025H2H rating7548Goals model5239Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 22:50 UTC

Manchester City

7W 1D 2L · goals 29:14 · per match 2.9 for, 1.4 against

28 OctHBrighton2-2D
24 OctAAston Villa1-2L
20 OctHAEK Athens FC5-1W
17 OctHIpswich3-2W
14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4L
11 OctALiverpool3-0W
20 SepHSunderland5-3W
17 SepHNorwich5-0W
13 SepAManchester United1-0W
8 SepAFC Porto2-0W

Brighton

6W 3D 1L · goals 25:7 · per match 2.5 for, 0.7 against

28 OctAManchester City2-2D
25 OctALiverpool0-2L
22 OctAFK Jablonec0-0D
18 OctHCrystal Palace5-0W
15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0W
10 OctASunderland2-0W
19 SepHArsenal3-0W
16 SepAManchester United3-2W
13 SepACoventry5-0W
5 SepHLeeds1-1D

Head to head

13Manchester City wins
3draws
3Brighton wins

19 meetings · goals 46:16 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Manchester City

7 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City1-1Brighton
31 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton2-1Manchester City
15 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City2-2Brighton
9 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton2-1Manchester City
25 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton0-4Manchester City
21 Oct 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City2-1Brighton
24 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-1Manchester City
22 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City3-1Brighton
20 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City3-0Brighton
23 Oct 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-4Manchester City

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Manchester City sit 1st with 21 points from 8 games, while Brighton are 3rd with 16 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City870120:9+1121
2Arsenal870113:5+821
3Brighton851223:7+1616
4Liverpool843111:8+315
5Chelsea841317:15+213
6Brentford825114:9+511
7Leeds82519:6+311
8Newcastle832312:14-211
9Aston Villa83239:12-311
10Hull City82429:8+110
11Everton82428:9-110
12Ipswich831412:16-410
13Bournemouth823312:13-19
14Tottenham82338:10-29
15Fulham82248:10-28
16Manchester United814310:13-37
17Crystal Palace82159:19-107
18Nottingham Forest81346:10-46
19Coventry82066:15-96
20Sunderland81256:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.68X22%4.34221%4.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0131 Oct 06:101 1.68X 4.342 4.45
11.66 → 1.68 +1.2%X4.26 → 4.34 +1.9%24.49 → 4.45 -0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.442.903.9%
Bet3651.403.004.8%
Pinnacle1.393.034.9%
1xBet1.412.915.3%
BetVictor1.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.006.9%
Marathonbet1.382.857.6%
Best of all books1.443.101.7%
Average1.392.975.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.805.2%
Betano1.452.627.1%
1xBet1.422.697.6%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
William Hill1.442.627.6%
Marathonbet1.422.658.2%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Best of all books1.452.804.7%
Average1.432.677.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City 10%Draw 45%Brighton 45%

The statistical model rates Manchester City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 4.34 | 4.45, which imply roughly 23% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Manchester City are 1st (21 pts, 20-9 goals), Brighton 3rd (16 pts, 23-7).

Over their last five matches, Manchester City averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Brighton averaged 3 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.684.344.45

Double chance

1XX212
1.212.161.20

Draw no bet

12
1.303.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.432.67

1st half

1X2
2.112.594.33

2nd half

1X2
1.962.973.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4214.732.5
HT X5.027.6510.7
HT 218.915.37.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5524.02.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.0
1.51.106.47
2.51.392.97
3.52.011.81
4.53.301.32
5.55.841.12
6.510.11.04
7.515.11.02
8.526.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.95
1.751.105.77
21.135.35
2.251.263.65
2.751.472.61
31.602.34
3.251.812.00
3.752.261.65
42.681.46
4.252.941.38
4.753.841.23
55.161.14
5.255.421.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.661.47
-1.252.351.59
-12.071.76
-0.751.822.02
-0.51.662.23
-0.251.472.63
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.11.04
-38.601.02
-2.755.961.10
-2.54.761.16
-2.254.321.19
-23.961.23
-1.753.091.35
01.293.42
+0.251.253.78
+0.51.224.15
+0.751.125.47
+11.048.35
+1.51.0410.1

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.3
1.51.106.10
2.51.323.25
3.51.801.94
4.52.511.50
5.53.401.29
6.55.201.14
7.57.501.07
8.510.31.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.482.64
42.131.71

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0214.4
5.51.0210.0
6.51.076.21
7.51.174.16
8.51.332.93
9.51.602.20
10.52.011.74
11.52.541.44
12.53.311.26
13.54.591.14
14.56.291.07
15.58.751.04
16.510.51.03
17.512.01.01
18.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.084.80
81.183.42
8.751.352.74
91.442.56
9.251.492.34
9.751.672.05
101.811.97
10.251.891.85
10.752.131.62
112.291.54
11.252.421.47
11.752.791.35
122.751.29
12.253.281.25
133.651.16
144.721.08

Next Premier League matches

31 OctChelsea – Manchester United
31 OctCoventry – Sunderland
31 OctBournemouth – Leeds
31 OctBrentford – Nottingham Forest
31 OctHull City – Ipswich
31 OctTottenham – Crystal Palace

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

25 OctSunderland 0-0 Leeds
25 OctHull City 1-1 Brentford
25 OctLiverpool 2-0 Brighton
25 OctCrystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle
25 OctManchester United 0-3 Bournemouth
24 OctChelsea 0-2 Tottenham