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Liverpool vs Arsenal• Premier League, England

#51.0:0.80-1FT01/11 · Anfield, Liverpool1.4:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.90DAFX3.481XB22.631XBMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets92Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.883.482.631.5%
Pinnacle2.863.452.602.4%
Marathonbet2.833.422.593.2%
Dafabet2.903.452.483.8%
Betano2.753.402.555.0%
Betfair2.803.302.555.2%
Bet3652.753.402.505.8%
BetVictor2.703.402.457.3%
William Hill2.703.302.507.3%
SBO2.633.132.5010.0%
Best of all books2.903.482.631.2%
Average2.783.372.545.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LiverpoolArsenal
Last 10#5Table position#11.67Points per game2.6710Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5850Defence rating5045Form rating5575H2H rating2532Goals model6850Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 19:40 UTC

Liverpool

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

1 NovHArsenal0-1L
28 OctHChelsea1-1D
25 OctHBrighton2-0W
20 OctHVillarreal4-3W
17 OctABrentford2-1W
14 OctALask Linz6-3W
11 OctHManchester City0-3L
20 SepABournemouth1-0W
15 SepHTottenham3-1W
12 SepHFulham0-0D

Arsenal

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

1 NovALiverpool1-0W
27 OctAFleetwood Town1-1D
24 OctHEverton2-0W
21 OctABayern München2-2D
18 OctANottingham Forest1-0W
13 OctHLille3-0W
10 OctHLeeds2-1W
19 SepABrighton0-3L
15 SepAIpswich4-2W
12 SepASunderland2-0W

Head to head

15Liverpool wins
17draws
8Arsenal wins

40 meetings · goals 78:55 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Liverpool

8 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal0-0Liverpool
31 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool1-0Arsenal
11 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool2-2Arsenal
27 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal2-2Liverpool
31 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLiverpool2-1Arsenal
4 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal3-1Liverpool
7 Jan 2024FA CupFA CupArsenal0-2Liverpool
23 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool1-1Arsenal
9 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLiverpool2-2Arsenal
9 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal3-2Liverpool

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 1 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Liverpool sit 5th with 15 points from 9 games, while Arsenal are 1st with 24 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Arsenal980114:5+924
2Manchester City970220:10+1021
3Brighton961224:7+1719
4Chelsea951319:15+416
5Liverpool943211:9+215
6Brentford935116:9+714
7Bournemouth933314:13+112
8Tottenham933310:10012
9Aston Villa933310:13-312
10Hull City925211:10+111
11Leeds92529:8+111
12Newcastle832312:14-211
13Ipswich932414:18-411
14Everton82428:9-110
15Fulham92349:11-29
16Coventry93069:16-79
17Manchester United914410:15-57
18Crystal Palace92169:21-127
19Nottingham Forest91356:12-66
20Sunderland91267:17-105

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.79X28%3.37238%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 12:201 2.78X 3.372 2.53
13.01 → 2.78 -7.6%X3.43 → 3.37 -1.7%22.30 → 2.53 +10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.902.041.7%
Pinnacle1.882.042.2%
SBO1.981.903.1%
Betano1.871.984.0%
Marathonbet1.851.984.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.831.917.0%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
Best of all books1.982.04-0.5%
Average1.861.974.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.305.2%
Betano1.652.157.1%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
1xBet1.632.177.4%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.632.148.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Best of all books1.672.303.4%
Average1.632.177.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool 35%Draw 35%Arsenal 30%

The statistical model rated Liverpool at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Arsenal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.79 | 3.37 | 2.53, which imply roughly 35.8% for a Liverpool win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Liverpool are 5th (15 pts, 11-9 goals), Arsenal 1st (24 pts, 14-5).

Over their last five matches, Liverpool averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Arsenal averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Liverpool

4-2-3-1

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Goalkeeper

  • 1Alisson Becker

Defence

  • 33R. Araújo
  • 5J. Jacquet
  • 4V. van Dijk
  • 6M. Kerkez

Midfield

  • 10A. Mac Allister
  • 42T. Nyoni
  • 29B. Barcola
  • 7F. Wirtz
  • 18C. Gakpo

Attack

  • 9A. Isak
Substitutes (9)
  • 73R. Ngumoha
  • 67L. Koumas
  • 23Víctor Muñoz
  • 8D. Szoboszlai
  • 38R. Gravenberch
  • 3W. Endo
  • 21K. Tsimikas
  • 2J. Gomez
  • 25G. Mamardashvili

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Goalkeeper

  • 1David Raya

Defence

  • 12J. Timber
  • 15E. Konsa
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 33R. Calafiori

Midfield

  • 41D. Rice
  • 39Bruno Guimarães
  • 20N. Madueke
  • 8M. Ødegaard
  • 17C. Tzolis

Attack

  • 29K. Havertz
Substitutes (9)
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14V. Gyökeres
  • 13Kepa
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera
  • 4B. White
  • 5P. Hincapié
  • 49M. Lewis-Skelly
  • 10E. Eze
  • 23Mikel Merino

Match Statistics

LiverpoolArsenal
1.23Expected Goals1.02
378Passes accurate269
14Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox4
9Blocked Shots3
10Free Kicks17
2Goalkeeper Saves0
8Shots off Goal4
2Offsides3
461Total passes370
17Total Shots10
3Yellow Cards4
7Corner Kicks4
0Shots on Goal3
18Fouls10
0Red Cards0
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.783.372.53

Double chance

1XX212
1.521.421.32

Draw no bet

12
1.971.79

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.17

1st half

1X2
3.342.173.08

2nd half

1X2
2.972.482.76

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4613.926.7
HT X6.585.346.15
HT 228.513.84.06

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0810.31.91

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.9
1.51.263.80
2.51.861.97
3.53.041.38
4.55.751.12
5.510.51.04
6.515.91.02
7.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.0110.3
11.038.57
1.251.134.94
1.751.323.27
21.402.92
2.251.622.29
2.752.081.76
32.431.56
3.252.691.45
3.753.631.26
44.831.15
4.255.091.12
59.251.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.701.46
-0.252.381.58
02.011.83
+0.251.722.16
+0.51.542.48
+0.751.383.00
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.231.06
-1.55.621.12
-1.255.051.15
-14.731.19
-0.753.341.31
+11.253.96
+1.251.194.45
+1.51.155.03
+1.751.096.32
+21.029.40
+2.51.0310.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.087.00
2.51.233.85
3.51.612.23
4.52.011.74
5.52.851.39
6.54.151.21
7.56.101.10
8.58.501.05
9.510.81.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.303.15
41.871.87
53.011.32

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0211.8
5.51.057.10
6.51.134.74
7.51.283.15
8.51.542.32
9.51.921.83
10.52.491.47
11.53.321.26
12.54.631.14
13.56.441.07
14.58.281.03
15.513.81.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.45
71.143.89
7.751.283.05
81.322.85
8.251.422.53
8.751.582.20
91.692.10
9.251.811.94
9.752.021.69
102.171.63
10.252.321.51
10.752.671.38
112.661.42
11.253.141.27
123.491.18
134.601.09
145.601.04

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