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Brighton vs Crystal Palace• Premier League, England

#32.8:1.05-0FT18/10 · American Express Stadium, Falmer1.8:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.541XBX4.831XB26.55PINMargin at best0.9%Books6Markets87Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.544.836.261.6%
Pinnacle1.494.766.553.4%
Marathonbet1.504.706.104.3%
Bet3651.484.756.254.6%
William Hill1.504.405.806.6%
BetVictor1.444.506.008.3%
Best of all books1.544.836.550.9%
Average1.494.666.164.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BrightonCrystal Palace
Last 10#3Table position#142.29Points per game1.0013Form pts · last 542.8Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 52.061Attack rating3967Defence rating3359Form rating4129H2H rating7190Goals model1059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC

Brighton

7W 2D 1L · goals 30:7 · per match 3.0 for, 0.7 against

22 OctAFK Jablonec0-0D
18 OctHCrystal Palace5-0W
15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0W
10 OctASunderland2-0W
19 SepHArsenal3-0W
16 SepAManchester United3-2W
13 SepACoventry5-0W
5 SepHLeeds1-1D
30 AugAChelsea3-4L
27 AugHTromso4-0W

Crystal Palace

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:18 · per match 1.9 for, 1.8 against

22 OctABeşiktaş2-2D
18 OctABrighton0-5L
15 OctALyon2-3L
11 OctHNottingham Forest3-1W
3 OctHBristol City0-2L
20 SepALeeds0-0D
17 SepHLech Poznan4-0W
12 SepHIpswich2-3L
8 SepHMiddlesbrough3-0W
5 SepAFulham3-2W

Head to head

6Brighton wins
10draws
9Crystal Palace wins

25 meetings · goals 28:31 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Brighton

8 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton0-1Crystal Palace
9 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCrystal Palace0-0Brighton
5 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCrystal Palace2-1Brighton
15 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-3Crystal Palace
3 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton4-1Crystal Palace
21 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCrystal Palace1-1Brighton
15 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-0Crystal Palace
11 Feb 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCrystal Palace1-1Brighton
14 Jan 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-1Crystal Palace
27 Sep 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueCrystal Palace1-1Brighton

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Brighton sit 3rd with 16 points from 7 games, while Crystal Palace are 14th with 7 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City770019:7+1221
2Arsenal760111:5+618
3Brighton751123:5+1816
4Chelsea741217:13+413
5Liverpool73319:8+112
6Brentford724113:8+510
7Leeds72419:6+310
8Everton72418:7+110
9Hull City72328:7+19
10Ipswich730411:15-49
11Newcastle722310:14-48
12Aston Villa72237:11-48
13Manchester United714210:1007
14Crystal Palace72149:17-87
15Bournemouth71339:13-46
16Tottenham71336:10-46
17Coventry72056:14-86
18Fulham71247:10-35
19Nottingham Forest71245:9-45
20Sunderland71156:14-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.45X20%4.77214%6.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 11:201 1.49X 4.662 6.16
11.55 → 1.49 -3.9%X4.33 → 4.66 +7.6%25.33 → 6.16 +15.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.632.491.5%
Pinnacle1.592.493.1%
Marathonbet1.582.414.8%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
BetVictor1.532.299.0%
Best of all books1.632.491.5%
Average1.582.414.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.622.207.2%
1xBet1.672.117.3%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Marathonbet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.662.117.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Brighton 45%Draw 45%Crystal Palace 10%

The statistical model rated Brighton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Crystal Palace at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.77 | 6.61, which imply roughly 69% for a Brighton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Brighton are 3rd (16 pts, 23-5 goals), Crystal Palace 14th (7 pts, 9-17).

Over their last five matches, Brighton averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Crystal Palace averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Brighton

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Verbruggen

Defence

  • 24F. Kadıoğlu
  • 44L. Vušković
  • 5L. Dunk
  • 21O. Boscagli

Midfield

  • 13P. Groß
  • 14José María Andrés Baixauli
  • 25D. Gómez
  • 26Y. Ayari
  • 29M. De Cuyper

Attack

  • 19C. Kostoulas
Substitutes (9)
  • 35M. Yalcouyé
  • 33M. O'Riley
  • 15I. Osman
  • 10G. Rutter
  • 8J. Hinshelwood
  • 30M. Svoboda
  • 20Costinha
  • 3J. Hadjam
  • 23J. Steele

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1

Coach: P. Sage

Goalkeeper

  • 44W. Benítez

Defence

  • 6J. Canvot
  • 26C. Richards
  • 21H. Ahanor

Midfield

  • 25A. Khalaili
  • 20A. Wharton
  • 23Q. Timber
  • 3T. Mitchell
  • 18D. Kamada
  • 10Yeremy Pino

Attack

  • 22J. Strand Larsen
Substitutes (9)
  • 9E. Nketiah
  • 7I. Sarr
  • 14J. Mateta
  • 24D. Osorio
  • 11D. McNeil
  • 19W. Hughes
  • 8J. Lerma
  • 30Óscar Mingueza
  • 31R. Matthews

Match Statistics

BrightonCrystal Palace
2.02Expected Goals0.77
440Passes accurate301
8Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox1
4Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks13
9Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
4Shots off Goal3
2Offsides2
516Total passes384
17Total Shots5
2Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks5
13Fouls11
0Red Cards0
57%Ball Possession43%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.494.666.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.611.19

Draw no bet

12
1.174.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
1.932.555.81

2nd half

1X2
1.802.905.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1217.042.3
HT X4.527.3713.2
HT 220.318.110.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4317.52.91

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.3
1.51.154.93
2.51.582.41
3.52.351.55
4.54.151.19
5.58.001.05
6.515.01.03
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.251.086.37
1.751.194.26
21.243.92
2.251.412.91
2.751.712.16
31.871.88
3.252.111.67
3.752.701.41
43.401.28
4.253.581.21
4.754.801.12
56.401.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.651.48
-1.52.261.64
-1.252.031.81
-11.752.07
-0.751.572.35
-0.51.462.68
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.201.03
-36.701.07
-2.754.871.14
-2.53.871.21
-2.253.651.26
-23.321.30
-0.251.323.26
01.184.61
+0.251.154.95
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.077.15
+11.0110.7
+1.51.0112.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.283.51
3.51.592.29
41.782.07
4.52.051.72
52.771.42

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.018.65
6.51.095.00
7.51.213.43
8.51.432.56
9.51.761.98
10.52.191.61
11.52.811.33
12.53.721.17
13.55.071.09
14.55.391.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.25
7.751.203.34
81.253.00
8.251.322.79
8.751.452.38
91.532.34
9.251.632.09
9.751.871.87
101.981.82
10.252.091.63
10.752.361.45
112.541.45
11.252.771.33
123.171.22
134.191.11
145.351.05

Next Premier League matches

23 OctIpswich – Nottingham Forest
24 OctAston Villa – Manchester City
24 OctCoventry – Fulham
24 OctArsenal – Everton
24 OctChelsea – Tottenham
25 OctLiverpool – Brighton

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

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18 OctLeeds 1-1 Manchester United
17 OctNewcastle 0-1 Aston Villa
17 OctBrentford 1-2 Liverpool