Liverpool vs Brighton• Premier League, England

#51.0:0.814:00Tomorrow · Anfield, Liverpool3.2:0.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.191XBX4.00PIN23.40B365Margin at best0.1%Books9Markets97Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 05:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.16	4.03	3.29	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.12	3.99	3.20	3.5%
Dafabet	2.15	3.80	3.20	4.1%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.92	3.20	4.4%
Betfair	2.05	3.90	3.30	4.7%
Bet365	2.10	3.60	3.40	4.8%
Betano	2.10	3.90	3.15	5.0%
William Hill	2.10	3.70	3.10	6.9%
BetVictor	2.05	3.75	3.10	7.7%
Best of all books	2.16	4.03	3.40	0.5%
Average	2.10	3.84	3.22	4.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LiverpoolBrighton

Last 10#5Table position#31.71Points per game2.2912Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 53.20.8Goals against · last 50.224Attack rating7620Defence rating8043Form rating5760H2H rating4011Goals model8937Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Liverpool

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

20 Oct	H	Villarreal	4-3	W
17 Oct	A	Brentford	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Lask Linz	6-3	W
11 Oct	H	Manchester City	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Bournemouth	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Tottenham	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Fulham	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Atletico Madrid	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Ipswich	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Nottingham Forest	2-2	D

Brighton

7W 2D 1L · goals 30:7 · per match 3.0 for, 0.7 against

22 Oct	A	FK Jablonec	0-0	D
18 Oct	H	Crystal Palace	5-0	W
15 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Sunderland	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Arsenal	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Manchester United	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Coventry	5-0	W
5 Sep	H	Leeds	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Chelsea	3-4	L
27 Aug	H	Tromso	4-0	W

Head to head

14Liverpool wins

4draws

5Brighton wins

23 meetings · goals 50:28 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Liverpool

21 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Brighton2-1Liverpool
14 Feb 2026FA Cup	FA Cup	Liverpool3-0Brighton
13 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool2-0Brighton
19 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Brighton3-2Liverpool
2 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool2-1Brighton
30 Oct 2024League Cup	League Cup	Brighton2-3Liverpool
31 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool2-1Brighton
8 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Brighton2-2Liverpool
29 Jan 2023FA Cup	FA Cup	Brighton2-1Liverpool
14 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Brighton3-0Liverpool

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 23:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Liverpool sit 5th with 12 points from 7 games, while Brighton are 3rd with 16 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	19:7	+12	21
2	Arsenal	7	6	0	1	11:5	+6	18
3	Brighton	7	5	1	1	23:5	+18	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	17:13	+4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	9:8	+1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	13:8	+5	10
7	Leeds	7	2	4	1	9:6	+3	10
8	Everton	7	2	4	1	8:7	+1	10
9	Ipswich	8	3	1	4	12:16	-4	10
10	Hull City	7	2	3	2	8:7	+1	9
11	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	10:14	-4	8
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8
13	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	10:10	0	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	9:17	-8	7
15	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	9:13	-4	6
16	Tottenham	7	1	3	3	6:10	-4	6
17	Nottingham Forest	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6
18	Coventry	7	2	0	5	6:14	-8	6
19	Fulham	7	1	2	4	7:10	-3	5
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	6:14	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.12X25%3.81230%3.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.12 0.0%X3.74 → 3.81 +1.9%23.12 → 3.20 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.55	2.57	3.4%
Betano	1.55	2.52	4.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.63	4.7%
1xBet	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Bet365	1.53	2.50	5.4%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.43	8.7%
BetVictor	1.50	2.36	9.0%
Best of all books	1.55	2.63	2.5%
Average	1.52	2.50	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.47	2.55	7.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.59	7.6%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.55	8.2%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Average	1.46	2.57	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool 10%Draw 45%Brighton 45%

The statistical model rates Liverpool at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.81 | 3.20, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Liverpool are 5th (12 pts, 9-8 goals), Brighton 3rd (16 pts, 23-5).

Over their last five matches, Liverpool averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Brighton averaged 3.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Brighton.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.84	3.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.73	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.56	2.48	3.51

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.75	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.22	13.6	27.8
HT X	5.78	6.58	7.88
HT 2	22.0	14.3	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	18.4	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.9
1.5	1.14	5.11
2.5	1.52	2.50
3.5	2.31	1.62
4.5	3.93	1.23
5.5	7.22	1.08
6.5	12.1	1.03
7.5	17.3	1.01
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.15	4.50
2	1.20	4.23
2.25	1.36	2.97
2.75	1.63	2.22
3	1.82	1.98
3.25	2.06	1.77
3.75	2.63	1.47
4	3.30	1.34
4.25	3.51	1.27
4.75	4.73	1.15
5	6.36	1.08
5.25	6.61	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.94	1.39
-0.75	2.35	1.58
-0.5	2.06	1.76
-0.25	1.83	1.99
0	1.58	2.40
+0.25	1.44	2.75

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.98	1.06
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	6.36	1.09
-1.75	4.45	1.17
-1.5	3.54	1.26
-1.25	3.30	1.32
+0.5	1.36	3.14
+0.75	1.25	3.86
+1	1.13	5.49
+1.25	1.11	5.85
+1.5	1.09	6.21
+1.75	1.04	7.93
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	6.60
2.5	1.26	3.60
3.5	1.58	2.33
4.5	2.19	1.63
5.5	3.10	1.33
6.5	4.65	1.17
7.5	6.80	1.08
8.5	9.50	1.04
9.5	11.8	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.29	3.40
4	1.83	1.95
5	2.85	1.39

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.1
5.5	1.04	8.63
6.5	1.08	5.84
7.5	1.19	3.86
8.5	1.38	2.74
9.5	1.67	2.09
10.5	2.10	1.67
11.5	2.74	1.39
12.5	3.68	1.21
13.5	5.03	1.12
14.5	6.94	1.05
15.5	10.3	1.02
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.67
8	1.20	3.32
8.75	1.38	2.62
9	1.44	2.52
9.25	1.51	2.26
9.75	1.69	1.97
10	1.90	1.91
10.25	1.92	1.75
10.75	2.18	1.57
11	2.31	1.53
11.25	2.52	1.42
11.75	2.91	1.32
12	2.85	1.27
12.25	3.42	1.23
13	3.77	1.15
14	4.87	1.07

Next Premier League matches

24 Oct	Aston Villa – Manchester City
24 Oct	Coventry – Fulham
24 Oct	Arsenal – Everton
24 Oct	Chelsea – Tottenham
25 Oct	Crystal Palace – Newcastle
25 Oct	Hull City – Brentford

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

23 Oct	Ipswich 1-1 Nottingham Forest
19 Oct	Tottenham 3-1 Coventry
18 Oct	Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal
18 Oct	Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
18 Oct	Leeds 1-1 Manchester United
18 Oct	Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace