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Leeds vs Manchester United• Premier League, England

#71.4:1.01-1FT18/10 · Elland Road, Leeds1.8:1.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX3.521XB22.921XBMargin at best1.0%Books6Markets81Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.573.522.921.6%
Pinnacle2.613.422.842.8%
Marathonbet2.533.462.883.1%
Bet3652.553.302.755.9%
BetVictor2.453.402.707.3%
William Hill2.453.252.757.9%
Best of all books2.613.522.921.0%
Average2.533.392.814.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeedsManchester United
Last 10#7Table position#131.43Points per game1.005Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.444Attack rating5658Defence rating4250Form rating5038H2H rating6278Goals model2251Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

Leeds

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHManchester United1-1D
10 OctAArsenal1-2L
20 SepHCrystal Palace0-0D
14 SepHNewcastle4-1W
9 SepAChelsea3-6L
5 SepABrighton1-1D
30 AugHBrentford1-1D
25 AugANottingham Forest2-0W
22 AugANottingham Forest1-0W
15 AugHFC Augsburg4-0W

Manchester United

2W 4D 4L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

21 OctAComo1-4L
18 OctALeeds1-1D
13 OctAAtletico Madrid0-2L
10 OctHTottenham1-1D
20 SepAFulham1-1D
16 SepHBrighton2-3L
13 SepHManchester City0-1L
10 SepHSabah FA4-0W
6 SepAEverton2-2D
30 AugHIpswich5-2W

Head to head

1Leeds wins
5draws
6Manchester United wins

12 meetings · goals 11:27 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Leeds

12 Aug 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsManchester United1-1Leeds
13 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United1-2Leeds
4 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds1-1Manchester United
19 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsManchester United0-0Leeds
12 Jul 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsManchester United2-0Leeds
12 Feb 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-2Manchester United
8 Feb 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United2-2Leeds
20 Feb 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds2-4Manchester United
14 Aug 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester United5-1Leeds
25 Apr 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-0Manchester United

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Leeds sit 7th with 10 points from 7 games, while Manchester United are 13th with 7 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City770019:7+1221
2Arsenal760111:5+618
3Brighton751123:5+1816
4Chelsea741217:13+413
5Liverpool73319:8+112
6Brentford724113:8+510
7Leeds72419:6+310
8Everton72418:7+110
9Hull City72328:7+19
10Ipswich730411:15-49
11Newcastle722310:14-48
12Aston Villa72237:11-48
13Manchester United714210:1007
14Crystal Palace72149:17-87
15Bournemouth71339:13-46
16Tottenham71336:10-46
17Coventry72056:14-86
18Fulham71247:10-35
19Nottingham Forest71245:9-45
20Sunderland71156:14-84

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.55X28%3.42234%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 11:201 2.53X 3.392 2.81
12.42 → 2.53 +4.5%X3.55 → 3.39 -4.5%22.72 → 2.81 +3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.922.021.6%
Pinnacle1.981.932.3%
Marathonbet1.861.964.8%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
BetVictor1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.982.020.0%
Average1.871.954.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.702.106.4%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.642.157.5%
Marathonbet1.642.128.1%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.652.137.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leeds 10%Draw 45%Manchester United 45%

The statistical model rated Leeds at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.42 | 2.78, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Leeds are 7th (10 pts, 9-6 goals), Manchester United 13th (7 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Leeds averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Manchester United averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Leeds

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. Farke

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Trafford

Defence

  • 24J. Justin
  • 30N. Elvedi
  • 5T. Muharemović

Midfield

  • 2J. Bogle
  • 4E. Ampadu
  • 22A. Tanaka
  • 3G. Gudmundsson
  • 18A. Stach
  • 19N. Okafor

Attack

  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes (9)
  • 10H. Wilson
  • 11B. Aaronson
  • 14L. Nmecha
  • 23J. Bahoya
  • 16M. Zetterer
  • 26M. Bard
  • 15J. Bijol
  • 44I. Gruev
  • 8S. Longstaff

Manchester United

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Carrick

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Lammens

Defence

  • 15L. Yoro
  • 5H. Maguire
  • 6Lisandro Martínez
  • 2Diogo Dalot

Midfield

  • 17Andrey Santos
  • 20C. Baleba
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 18Y. Tielemans
  • 16A. Diallo

Attack

  • 19B. Mbeumo
Substitutes (9)
  • 4M. de Ligt
  • 3N. Mazraoui
  • 41H. Amass
  • 7M. Mount
  • 31S. Lacey
  • 10Matheus Cunha
  • 9M. Rashford
  • 12K. Darlow
  • 11J. Zirkzee

Match Statistics

LeedsManchester United
1.48Expected Goals0.93
443Passes accurate256
10Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox7
1Blocked Shots6
5Free Kicks15
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal4
2Offsides3
530Total passes345
12Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks3
16Fouls5
0Red Cards0
61%Ball Possession39%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.533.392.81

Double chance

1XX212
1.421.551.31

Draw no bet

12
1.751.97

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.13

1st half

1X2
3.062.193.39

2nd half

1X2
2.692.523.04

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8614.528.7
HT X5.935.406.70
HT 226.314.54.62

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8911.12.06

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.8
1.51.263.75
2.51.871.95
3.53.131.36
4.55.781.11
5.510.91.03
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.88
11.038.30
1.251.154.87
1.751.343.15
21.422.79
2.251.662.25
2.752.091.72
32.481.52
3.252.771.42
3.753.581.26
44.501.18
4.255.031.12
4.755.651.08
59.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.931.38
-0.52.451.54
-0.252.131.72
01.822.03
+0.251.572.37
+0.51.442.73
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.601.02
-1.756.081.10
-1.54.701.16
-1.254.331.21
-13.931.23
+0.751.303.37
+11.184.76
+1.251.145.14
+1.51.125.55
+1.751.077.00
+2.51.0111.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.273.56
3.51.372.96
41.512.52
4.51.811.94
52.261.63
5.52.711.43

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.97
7.51.213.41
8.51.452.49
9.51.811.93
10.52.271.56
11.52.871.33
12.53.761.17
13.55.121.09
14.56.591.04
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.045.62
71.124.05
81.272.85
8.751.462.46
91.622.20
9.251.652.15
9.751.811.85
102.081.69
10.252.101.68
10.752.321.47
112.511.46
11.252.701.35
11.753.101.23
123.321.20
12.253.721.15
134.401.10
145.571.05

Next Premier League matches

23 OctIpswich – Nottingham Forest
24 OctAston Villa – Manchester City
24 OctCoventry – Fulham
24 OctArsenal – Everton
24 OctChelsea – Tottenham
25 OctCrystal Palace – Newcastle

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 OctTottenham 3-1 Coventry
18 OctNottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal
18 OctBrighton 5-0 Crystal Palace
18 OctBournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
17 OctNewcastle 0-1 Aston Villa
17 OctBrentford 1-2 Liverpool