Žalgiris II vs Be1 NFA• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#41.6:1.42-1FT07/111.6:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10DAFX3.801XB22.121XBMargin at best5.7%Books8Markets45Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.10	3.50	2.04	9.8%
1xBet	3.06	3.50	2.01	11.0%
Betano	3.00	3.45	2.05	11.1%
Betfair	3.00	3.60	2.00	11.1%
Bet365	2.80	3.75	2.05	11.2%
Pinnacle	3.01	3.46	2.01	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.99	3.50	1.99	12.3%
William Hill	3.00	3.25	2.05	12.9%
Best of all books	3.10	3.75	2.05	7.7%
Average	3.00	3.50	2.02	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Žalgiris IIBe1 NFA

Last 10#4Table position#31.77Points per game1.977Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5042Defence rating5844Form rating5629H2H rating7142Goals model5840Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC

Žalgiris II

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Jonava	2-2	D
23 Oct	A	Garliava	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Atmosfera	2-3	L
9 Oct	A	BFA	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Babrungas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Tauras	1-0	W
7 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Dainava	1-0	W
25 Aug	H	Transinvest 2	4-3	W
14 Aug	A	FA Šiauliai II	4-1	W

Be1 NFA

7W 3D 0L · goals 20:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.6 against

4 Nov	H	Atmosfera	1-1	D
30 Oct	H	Babrungas	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Tauras	2-1	W
16 Oct	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	Dainava	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	FA Šiauliai II	2-0	W
4 Sep	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Ekranas	5-0	W
21 Aug	H	Garliava	2-0	W

Head to head

1Žalgiris II wins

1draws

5Be1 NFA wins

7 meetings · goals 3:11 · last 7: 1W 1D 5L for Žalgiris II

26 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA2-1Žalgiris II
23 Jul 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II1-0Be1 NFA
8 Mar 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA1-1Žalgiris II
28 Aug 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II0-1Be1 NFA
10 Apr 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA3-0Žalgiris II
29 Oct 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Be1 NFA1-0Žalgiris II
24 Jun 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Žalgiris II0-3Be1 NFA

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 10 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Žalgiris II sit 4th with 53 points from 30 games, while Be1 NFA are 3rd with 59 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	30	24	2	4	79:22	+57	74
2	Babrungas	30	23	5	2	57:15	+42	74
3	Be1 NFA	30	18	5	7	52:32	+20	59
4	Žalgiris II	30	16	5	9	48:39	+9	53
5	Tauras	30	15	6	9	56:42	+14	51
6	BFA	30	15	5	10	47:42	+5	50
7	Dainava	30	13	9	8	45:30	+15	48
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	30	14	3	13	34:38	-4	45
9	Atmosfera	30	11	8	11	49:39	+10	41
10	Jonava	30	8	8	14	34:41	-7	32
11	Garliava	30	8	6	16	35:40	-5	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	30	9	2	19	29:52	-23	29
13	Transinvest 2	30	8	5	17	39:67	-28	29
14	Hegelmann II	30	8	4	18	37:66	-29	28
15	FA Šiauliai II	30	4	6	20	35:73	-38	18
16	Ekranas	30	5	3	22	30:68	-38	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.00X26%3.50244%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.24 → 2.96 -8.6%X3.60 → 3.55 -1.4%21.99 → 2.04 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.52	2.29	9.5%
Betano	1.55	2.20	10.0%
Best of all books	1.56	2.40	5.8%
Average	1.54	2.29	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.50	2.38	8.7%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.49	2.41	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Žalgiris II 10%Draw 45%Be1 NFA 45%

The statistical model rated Žalgiris II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Be1 NFA at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.03, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Žalgiris II are 4th (53 pts, 48-39 goals), Be1 NFA 3rd (59 pts, 52-32).

Over their last five matches, Žalgiris II averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Be1 NFA averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Be1 NFA.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.00	3.50	2.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.64	1.31	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.21	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
3.45	2.33	2.52

2nd half

1	X	2
3.20	2.60	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.78	13.9	19.5
HT X	7.55	6.43	5.78
HT 2	23.5	13.5	3.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	16.8	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.67
2.5	1.54	2.29
3.5	2.33	1.51
4.5	4.31	1.16
5.5	7.75	1.07

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.05
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.38	2.67
2.75	1.68	2.01
3	1.88	1.78
3.25	2.13	1.60
3.75	2.76	1.35
4	3.58	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.60	1.40
0	2.30	1.52
+0.25	1.92	1.79
+0.5	1.69	1.97
+0.75	1.51	2.29
+1	1.33	2.86

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.40	1.05
-1	5.45	1.08
-0.75	3.74	1.19
-0.5	2.93	1.32
+1.25	1.25	3.28
+1.5	1.20	3.68
+2	1.04	6.85
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.40	2.63
9.5	1.60	2.14
10	1.79	1.87
10.5	1.89	1.83
11	2.46	1.46
11.5	2.78	1.36

Next 1 Lyga matches

11 Nov

Babrungas – Minija

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

7 Nov	BFA 4-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II
7 Nov	Tauras 3-1 Transinvest 2
7 Nov	Atmosfera 4-0 Ekranas
7 Nov	Neptūną Klaipėda 1-1 Dainava
7 Nov	Minija 2-0 Garliava