Neptūną Klaipėda vs Dainava• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#80.2:1.81-1FT07/112.0:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43DAFX3.70B36522.62PINMargin at best6.3%Books8Markets42Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 08:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	2.38	3.60	2.50	9.8%
Dafabet	2.43	3.30	2.60	9.9%
Bet365	2.35	3.70	2.40	11.2%
Betano	2.42	3.25	2.55	11.3%
Pinnacle	2.36	3.27	2.58	11.7%
1xBet	2.35	3.34	2.52	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.34	2.52	12.2%
William Hill	2.40	3.10	2.60	12.4%
Best of all books	2.43	3.70	2.60	6.6%
Average	2.38	3.36	2.53	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neptūną KlaipėdaDainava

Last 10#8Table position#71.50Points per game1.600Form pts · last 570.2Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.29Attack rating9140Defence rating600Form rating10033H2H rating6736Goals model6434Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:11 UTC

Neptūną Klaipėda

2W 0D 8L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

30 Oct	A	Kauno Žalgiris II	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Ekranas	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Hegelmann II	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Minija	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Jonava	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Atmosfera	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	BFA	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Babrungas	0-4	L

Dainava

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

1 Nov	A	FA Šiauliai II	4-0	W
25 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	0-1	L
16 Oct	A	Ekranas	3-1	W
9 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	2-2	D
2 Oct	A	Garliava	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Hegelmann II	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Minija	0-3	L
4 Sep	A	Jonava	0-0	D
1 Sep	A	Minija	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Žalgiris II	0-1	L

Head to head

1Neptūną Klaipėda wins

0draws

2Dainava wins

3 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for Neptūną Klaipėda

27 Jun 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava1-0Neptūną Klaipėda
2 Sep 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Dainava3-1Neptūną Klaipėda
29 Apr 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Neptūną Klaipėda3-0Dainava

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 10 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Neptūną Klaipėda sit 8th with 45 points from 30 games, while Dainava are 7th with 48 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	30	24	2	4	79:22	+57	74
2	Babrungas	30	23	5	2	57:15	+42	74
3	Be1 NFA	30	18	5	7	52:32	+20	59
4	Žalgiris II	30	16	5	9	48:39	+9	53
5	Tauras	30	15	6	9	56:42	+14	51
6	BFA	30	15	5	10	47:42	+5	50
7	Dainava	30	13	9	8	45:30	+15	48
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	30	14	3	13	34:38	-4	45
9	Atmosfera	30	11	8	11	49:39	+10	41
10	Jonava	30	8	8	14	34:41	-7	32
11	Garliava	30	8	6	16	35:40	-5	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	30	9	2	19	29:52	-23	29
13	Transinvest 2	30	8	5	17	39:67	-28	29
14	Hegelmann II	30	8	4	18	37:66	-29	28
15	FA Šiauliai II	30	4	6	20	35:73	-38	18
16	Ekranas	30	5	3	22	30:68	-38	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X27%3.36236%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.45 → 2.38 -2.9%X3.45 → 3.34 -3.2%22.50 → 2.55 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.21	9.4%
Betano	1.65	2.02	10.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Average	1.59	2.18	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.41	6.9%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neptūną Klaipėda 10%Draw 45%Dainava 45%

The statistical model rated Neptūną Klaipėda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dainava at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.36 | 2.53, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Neptūną Klaipėda are 8th (45 pts, 34-38 goals), Dainava 7th (48 pts, 45-30).

Over their last five matches, Neptūną Klaipėda averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Dainava averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dainava.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.36	2.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.47	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.81	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.91	2.23	3.04

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.55	2.79

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.93	13.6	22.3
HT X	6.28	5.93	6.48
HT 2	22.5	13.6	3.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	15.1	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.5
1.5	1.16	4.43
2.5	1.60	2.18
3.5	2.48	1.45
4.5	4.60	1.15
5.5	9.00	1.06

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.17	3.95
2	1.23	3.45
2.25	1.39	2.61
2.75	1.71	1.96
3	1.94	1.72
3.25	2.16	1.57
3.75	2.83	1.34
4	3.70	1.20

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.78	1.35
-0.5	2.31	1.51
-0.25	2.04	1.65
0	1.80	1.91
+0.25	1.56	2.20
+0.5	1.43	2.53

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.65	1.12
-1.25	4.20	1.15
-1	3.78	1.19
+0.75	1.29	3.04
+1	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.10	5.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.34	2.88
9	1.44	2.53
9.5	1.64	2.07
10	1.85	1.81
10.5	2.12	1.61
11	2.57	1.42

Next 1 Lyga matches

11 Nov

Babrungas – Minija

All 1 Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest 1 Lyga results

7 Nov	BFA 4-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II
7 Nov	Žalgiris II 2-1 Be1 NFA
7 Nov	Tauras 3-1 Transinvest 2
7 Nov	Atmosfera 4-0 Ekranas
7 Nov	Minija 2-0 Garliava