Babrungas vs Minija• 1 Lyga, Lithuania

#22.8:0.816:30Today · Gargzdu arena, Gargzdai2.2:1.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.141XBX3.60B36522.17DAFMargin at best5.7%Books6Markets32Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 08:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.14	3.30	2.12	9.3%
Dafabet	3.00	3.30	2.17	9.7%
Betfair	3.00	3.30	2.15	10.1%
Bet365	2.62	3.60	2.20	11.4%
Pinnacle	2.93	3.18	2.16	11.9%
William Hill	3.00	3.10	2.10	13.2%
Best of all books	3.14	3.60	2.20	5.1%
Average	2.95	3.30	2.15	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BabrungasMinija

Last 10#2Table position#12.47Points per game2.4713Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.856Attack rating4469Defence rating3165Form rating35100H2H rating063Goals model3767Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 19:00 UTC

Babrungas

7W 2D 1L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

7 Nov	H	FA Šiauliai II	4-1	W
30 Oct	A	Be1 NFA	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Hegelmann II	4-0	W
17 Oct	A	Minija	3-2	W
10 Oct	H	Jonava	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Žalgiris II	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Atmosfera	3-2	W
4 Sep	A	BFA	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Garliava	1-0	W
21 Aug	H	Tauras	1-1	D

Minija

6W 1D 3L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

7 Nov	H	Garliava	2-0	W
4 Nov	A	Tauras	3-3	D
31 Oct	H	Atmosfera	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	BFA	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Babrungas	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Kauno Žalgiris II	5-0	W
19 Sep	H	Neptūną Klaipėda	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Dainava	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Transinvest 2	3-0	W

Head to head

8Babrungas wins

3draws

1Minija wins

12 meetings · goals 22:10 · last 10: 7W 3D 0L for Babrungas

17 Oct 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija2-3Babrungas
29 May 20261 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-0Minija
22 Jul 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-1Babrungas
8 Mar 20251 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-0Minija
14 Sep 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija0-4Babrungas
26 Apr 20241 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas0-0Minija
4 Nov 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija1-3Babrungas
23 Jun 20231 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas1-1Minija
29 Oct 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Minija1-1Babrungas
24 Jun 20221 Lyga	1 Lyga	Babrungas3-0Minija

1 Lyga table1 Lygaupdated 10 Nov 19:01 UTC

In the 1 Lyga table, Babrungas sit 2nd with 74 points from 30 games, while Minija are 1st with 74 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Minija	30	24	2	4	79:22	+57	74
2	Babrungas	30	23	5	2	57:15	+42	74
3	Be1 NFA	30	18	5	7	52:32	+20	59
4	Žalgiris II	30	16	5	9	48:39	+9	53
5	Tauras	30	15	6	9	56:42	+14	51
6	BFA	30	15	5	10	47:42	+5	50
7	Dainava	30	13	9	8	45:30	+15	48
8	Neptūną Klaipėda	30	14	3	13	34:38	-4	45
9	Atmosfera	30	11	8	11	49:39	+10	41
10	Jonava	30	8	8	14	34:41	-7	32
11	Garliava	30	8	6	16	35:40	-5	30
12	Kauno Žalgiris II	30	9	2	19	29:52	-23	29
13	Transinvest 2	30	8	5	17	39:67	-28	29
14	Hegelmann II	30	8	4	18	37:66	-29	28
15	FA Šiauliai II	30	4	6	20	35:73	-38	18
16	Ekranas	30	5	3	22	30:68	-38	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%2.98X27%3.30242%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.63 → 2.98 +13.3%X3.60 → 3.30 -8.3%22.23 → 2.13 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.80	1.92	7.6%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.85	11.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.77	1.93	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.63	2.17	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Babrungas 45%Draw 45%Minija 10%

The statistical model rates Babrungas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Minija at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 3.30 | 2.13, which imply roughly 33.6% for a Babrungas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1 Lyga table: Babrungas are 2nd (74 pts, 57-15 goals), Minija 1st (74 pts, 79-22).

Over their last five matches, Babrungas averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Minija averaged 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Babrungas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.95	3.30	2.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.60	1.35	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.00	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
3.49	2.23	2.69

2nd half

1	X	2
3.33	2.47	2.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.73	14.2	21.0
HT X	7.20	5.77	5.67
HT 2	24.7	14.2	3.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	15.0	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.23	3.85
2.5	1.78	1.93
3.5	3.00	1.35
4.5	5.75	1.12
5.5	11.5	1.04

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.28	3.16
2	1.35	2.89
2.25	1.58	2.21
2.75	1.99	1.71
3	2.26	1.56
3.25	2.60	1.40
4	3.70	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.86	1.34
-0.25	2.52	1.43
0	2.24	1.57
+0.25	1.87	1.89
+0.5	1.61	2.14
+0.75	1.44	2.48

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.10	1.08
-1	5.20	1.11
+1	1.31	3.08
+1.5	1.22	3.70

Latest 1 Lyga results

7 Nov	Neptūną Klaipėda 1-1 Dainava
7 Nov	Atmosfera 4-0 Ekranas
7 Nov	BFA 4-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
7 Nov	Jonava 1-1 Hegelmann II
7 Nov	Tauras 3-1 Transinvest 2
7 Nov	Žalgiris II 2-1 Be1 NFA