OddsFilter
Live

Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia• J1 League, Japan

#101.6:1.40-5FTToday · IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka2.0:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10B365X3.30BTN22.08PINMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets70Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 08:27 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.033.282.083.4%
Dafabet4.103.302.043.7%
1xBet3.943.262.054.8%
BetVictor4.103.202.005.6%
Bet3654.103.251.956.4%
Betano3.603.302.056.9%
Betfair4.003.102.007.3%
Marathonbet3.843.182.007.5%
SBO3.723.112.018.8%
William Hill3.803.002.009.6%
Best of all books4.103.302.082.8%
Average3.923.202.026.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
Last 10#10Table position#21.40Points per game2.3010Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5646Defence rating5450Form rating5050H2H rating5016Goals model8442Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 03:10 UTC

Shimizu S-pulse

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

17 OctHGamba Osaka2-2D
14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos1-2L
11 OctAMito Hollyhock2-1W
7 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-1W
29 SepAKanazawa2-0W
19 SepHJEF United Chiba2-1W
12 SepHAvispa Fukuoka1-0W
6 SepAKawasaki Frontale1-3L
2 SepHFC Tokyo1-1D
29 AugHKashiwa Reysol0-1L

Machida Zelvia

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

18 OctHAvispa Fukuoka3-0W
15 OctATampines Rovers1-0W
10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0W
3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0D
23 SepHTochigi City2-1W
20 SepHKashiwa Reysol2-4L
17 SepHSvay Rieng2-0W
12 SepHYokohama F. Marinos1-1D
6 SepANagoya Grampus3-1W
2 SepHKawasaki Frontale2-1W

Head to head

3Shimizu S-pulse wins
1draws
2Machida Zelvia wins

6 meetings · goals 10:10 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Shimizu S-pulse

5 Jul 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueMachida Zelvia3-0Shimizu S-pulse
11 May 2025J1 LeagueJ1 LeagueShimizu S-pulse2-2Machida Zelvia
19 Aug 2023J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueShimizu S-pulse3-2Machida Zelvia
21 May 2023J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueMachida Zelvia2-1Shimizu S-pulse
8 Oct 2016J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueShimizu S-pulse2-0Machida Zelvia
8 Jun 2016J2 LeagueJ2 LeagueMachida Zelvia1-2Shimizu S-pulse

J1 League tableJ-Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the J1 League table, Shimizu S-pulse sit 10th with 14 points from 10 games, while Machida Zelvia are 2nd with 23 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125:6+1923
2Machida Zelvia1072125:10+1523
3FC Tokyo1072121:8+1323
4Vissel Kobe1071217:9+822
5Kashiwa Reysol1070322:17+521
6Kashima1061321:16+519
7Kawasaki Frontale1044221:16+516
8Yokohama F. Marinos1044213:9+416
9Urawa1050517:21-415
10Shimizu S-pulse1042410:11-114
11Fagiano Okayama1041512:15-313
12Nagoya Grampus1040612:16-412
13Cerezo Osaka103349:16-712
14Mito Hollyhock1023512:14-29
15V-varen Nagasaki1023511:18-79
16Kyoto Sanga1022611:19-88
17Avispa Fukuoka1021711:16-57
18Gamba Osaka1014510:18-87
19JEF United Chiba101368:19-116
20Tokyo Verdy100464:18-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.92X29%3.20247%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19 Oct 03:1021 Oct 09:401 3.92X 3.202 2.02
13.35 → 3.92 +17.0%X3.33 → 3.20 -3.9%22.11 → 2.02 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.601.533.8%
1xBet2.501.544.9%
SBO2.381.585.3%
Betano2.121.706.0%
Bet3652.351.576.2%
Marathonbet2.451.517.0%
Betfair2.401.508.3%
BetVictor2.391.499.0%
Best of all books2.601.70-2.7%
Average2.401.556.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.001.757.1%
William Hill2.101.677.5%
Betfair2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.101.667.9%
Betano1.871.838.1%
BetVictor2.151.628.2%
Marathonbet2.101.648.6%
Best of all books2.151.831.2%
Average2.051.707.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shimizu S-pulse 10%Draw 45%Machida Zelvia 45%

The statistical model rated Shimizu S-pulse at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Machida Zelvia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.92 | 3.20 | 2.02, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the J1 League table: Shimizu S-pulse are 10th (14 pts, 10-11 goals), Machida Zelvia 2nd (23 pts, 25-10).

Over their last five matches, Shimizu S-pulse averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Machida Zelvia averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Machida Zelvia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Shimizu S-pulse

4-1-4-1

Coach: T. Yoshida

Goalkeeper

  • 16T. Umeda

Defence

  • 24H. Sugai
  • 4S. Hasukawa
  • 15Y. Honda
  • 25Mateus Brunetti

Midfield

  • 17M. Yumiba
  • 21K. Matsuzaki
  • 37K. Koizumi
  • 47Y. Shimamoto
  • 7Capixaba

Attack

  • 9Oh Se-Hun
Substitutes (9)
  • 13R. Germain
  • 1Y. Oki
  • 14Park Seung-Wook
  • 28Y. Yoshida
  • 18T. Hirato
  • 81K. Kozuka
  • 19K. Kinoshita
  • 8K. Inoue
  • 50T. Fujii

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Kuroda

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Tani

Defence

  • 3G. Shōji
  • 50D. Okamura
  • 2T. Ouwejan

Midfield

  • 6H. Mochizuki
  • 16H. Mae
  • 31N. Lavi
  • 33T. Akimoto
  • 9Koki Ogawa
  • 7Y. Soma

Attack

  • 99T. Yengi
Substitutes (9)
  • 15M. Duke
  • 13T. Morita
  • 20T. Nishimura
  • 8K. Sento
  • 18H. Shimoda
  • 23R. Shirasaki
  • 34Futa Tokumura
  • 5I. Drešević
  • 88H. Nakamura

Match Statistics

Shimizu S-pulseMachida Zelvia
195Passes accurate483
1Shots insidebox18
5Shots outsidebox6
1Blocked Shots4
11Free Kicks17
2Shots on Goal12
7Goalkeeper Saves2
3Shots off Goal8
2Offsides1
273Total passes546
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots24
1Yellow Cards0
4Corner Kicks5
18Fouls12
33%Ball Possession67%
0.21Expected Goals3.47

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.923.202.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.761.241.32

Draw no bet

12
2.701.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.051.70

1st half

1X2
4.402.002.71

2nd half

1X2
3.942.262.43

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.3515.028.0
HT X7.824.564.84
HT 242.414.53.23

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.447.801.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.48
1.51.442.61
2.52.401.55
3.54.641.17
4.58.951.04
5.516.61.02
6.546.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.40
11.085.60
1.251.283.13
1.751.602.19
21.781.99
2.252.151.68
2.752.871.37
33.681.22
3.254.331.14
3.756.391.06
47.851.03
4.258.181.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.261.32
02.761.43
+0.252.081.70
+0.51.802.01
+0.751.562.33
+11.333.09
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.759.001.01
-1.58.931.04
-1.258.271.06
-17.931.04
-0.754.891.15
-0.53.851.27
+1.251.263.57
+1.51.214.03
+1.751.125.20
+21.018.50
+2.251.019.43
+2.51.049.03

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.066.50
6.51.184.10
7.51.362.84
8.51.662.11
9.52.101.66
10.52.681.41
11.53.801.22
12.54.901.11
13.56.801.05
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.094.49
71.233.10
7.751.382.71
81.482.42
8.251.542.28
8.751.721.98
91.931.85
9.251.971.74
9.752.211.53
102.471.46
113.321.20
124.451.10
135.651.04

Latest J1 League results

21 OctUrawa 3-2 JEF United Chiba
21 OctFC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol
21 OctYokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Tokyo Verdy
21 OctKyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima
21 OctKawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe
21 OctFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock