Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa• Ekstraklasa, Poland

#21.4:0.619:30Today · Arena Zabrze, Zabrze1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13PINX3.47PIN23.58PINMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets65Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 08:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.13	3.47	3.58	3.7%
Dafabet	2.11	3.45	3.50	5.0%
Betano	2.10	3.25	3.55	6.6%
Betfair	2.10	3.30	3.40	7.3%
1xBet	2.08	3.28	3.40	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.06	3.28	3.38	8.6%
BetVictor	2.05	3.20	3.40	9.4%
William Hill	2.05	3.20	3.40	9.4%
Bet365	2.00	3.30	3.40	9.7%
SBO	2.06	2.99	3.02	15.1%
Best of all books	2.13	3.47	3.58	3.7%
Average	2.07	3.27	3.40	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gornik ZabrzeLegia Warszawa

Last 10#2Table position#42.25Points per game1.926Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.047Attack rating5363Defence rating3853Form rating4738H2H rating6238Goals model6248Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 22:40 UTC

Gornik Zabrze

5W 4D 1L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

27 Oct	A	Piast Gliwice	0-0	D
23 Oct	A	Widzew Łódź	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Piast Gliwice	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Jagiellonia	3-1	W
2 Oct	H	Odra Opole	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Motor Lublin	0-0	D
15 Sep	A	Korona Kielce	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Lech Poznan	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Cracovia Krakow	1-0	W
3 Sep	A	Raków Częstochowa	2-1	W

Legia Warszawa

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Lech Poznan	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Cracovia Krakow	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Wisla Krakow	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	Korona Kielce	5-1	W
26 Sep	A	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Jagiellonia	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Widzew Łódź	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Motor Lublin	3-2	W
1 Sep	A	Motor Lublin	0-3	L
28 Aug	H	Slask Wroclaw	1-1	D

Head to head

4Gornik Zabrze wins

3draws

9Legia Warszawa wins

16 meetings · goals 24:34 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Gornik Zabrze

11 Apr 2026Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa1-1Gornik Zabrze
5 Oct 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze3-1Legia Warszawa
6 Apr 2025Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze1-2Legia Warszawa
28 Sep 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa1-1Gornik Zabrze
1 Apr 2024Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze1-3Legia Warszawa
24 Sep 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa2-1Gornik Zabrze
4 Mar 2023Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze0-1Legia Warszawa
19 Aug 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa2-2Gornik Zabrze
6 May 2022Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Legia Warszawa5-3Gornik Zabrze
21 Nov 2021Ekstraklasa	Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze3-2Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa tableEkstraklasaupdated 30 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Ekstraklasa table, Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, while Legia Warszawa are 4th with 23 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	9	1	1	29:10	+19	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21:11	+10	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19:9	+10	24
4	Legia Warszawa	12	6	5	1	23:11	+12	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	6	3	3	19:15	+4	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22:18	+4	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	5	4	3	15:15	0	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22:17	+5	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14:18	-4	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	5	0	6	14:17	-3	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	4	2	5	10:16	-6	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17:21	-4	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	3	3	6	14:19	-5	12
14	Widzew Łódź	12	1	8	3	15:16	-1	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	3	7	16:22	-6	9
16	Wieczysta Kraków	12	2	2	8	16:23	-7	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	2	2	8	12:28	-16	8
18	Raków Częstochowa	12	2	0	10	16:28	-12	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.07X28%3.27227%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.07 -2.4%X3.39 → 3.27 -3.5%23.26 → 3.40 +4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	1.74	3.8%
SBO	1.98	1.84	4.9%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
1xBet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.68	7.4%
BetVictor	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.85	0.4%
Average	2.07	1.73	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.83	1.88	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gornik Zabrze 10%Draw 45%Legia Warszawa 45%

The statistical model rates Gornik Zabrze at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Legia Warszawa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.27 | 3.40, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ekstraklasa table: Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (27 pts, 21-11 goals), Legia Warszawa 4th (23 pts, 23-11).

Over their last five matches, Gornik Zabrze averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Legia Warszawa averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Legia Warszawa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.07	3.27	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.69	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.09	3.99

2nd half

1	X	2
2.43	2.36	3.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.31	13.8	35.0
HT X	5.00	4.89	7.49
HT 2	25.2	14.3	5.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	8.85	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.38
1.5	1.33	3.08
2.5	2.07	1.73
3.5	3.70	1.25
4.5	7.07	1.07
5.5	14.2	1.02
6.5	23.5	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.19	3.83
1.75	1.43	2.60
2	1.57	2.26
2.25	1.81	1.92
2.75	2.42	1.51
3	2.74	1.41
3.25	3.30	1.26
3.75	4.52	1.13
4	6.25	1.06
4.25	6.60	1.05
5	9.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.08	1.33
-0.75	2.39	1.52
-0.5	2.07	1.74
-0.25	1.78	1.98
0	1.50	2.48
+0.25	1.37	2.91

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2.25	7.80	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.75	4.97	1.13
-1.5	3.86	1.22
-1.25	3.51	1.27
+0.5	1.31	3.49
+0.75	1.19	4.27
+1	1.08	6.30
+1.25	1.06	6.83
+1.5	1.03	7.20
+1.75	1.01	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	7.10
6.5	1.14	4.50
7.5	1.30	3.13
8.5	1.56	2.27
9.5	1.97	1.78
10.5	2.53	1.46
11.5	3.39	1.26
12.5	4.50	1.14
13.5	6.30	1.06

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.44	2.43
8.75	1.60	2.10
9	1.76	2.03
9.25	1.82	1.84
9.75	2.09	1.66
10	2.29	1.60
10.25	2.40	1.48

Next Ekstraklasa matches

30 Oct	Cracovia Krakow – Motor Lublin
31 Oct	Wisla Plock – Piast Gliwice
31 Oct	Wieczysta Kraków – Jagiellonia
31 Oct	Lech Poznan – Wisla Krakow
31 Oct	GKS Katowice – Widzew Łódź
2 Nov	Radomiak Radom – Slask Wroclaw

All Ekstraklasa fixtures and the table

Latest Ekstraklasa results

25 Oct	Legia Warszawa 1-2 Lech Poznan
25 Oct	Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla Plock
25 Oct	Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków
24 Oct	Wisla Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa
24 Oct	Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom
24 Oct	Korona Kielce 1-0 GKS Katowice