Lens vs Marseille• Ligue 1, France

#91.6:1.219:45Today · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens2.8:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.341XBX3.861XB23.21PINMargin5.3%Books10Markets91Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.34	3.86	3.04	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.26	3.61	3.21	3.1%
Marathonbet	2.30	3.80	2.99	3.2%
Dafabet	2.29	3.60	3.05	4.2%
Betfair	2.30	3.50	3.10	4.3%
Betano	2.30	3.50	3.05	4.8%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	3.00	5.6%
BetVictor	2.25	3.60	3.00	5.6%
William Hill	2.15	3.50	2.90	9.6%
SBO	2.26	3.39	2.54	13.1%
Best of all books	2.34	3.86	3.21	-0.2%
Average	2.27	3.60	2.99	5.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LensMarseille

Last 10#9Table position#61.44Points per game1.676Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 52.81.2Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6454Defence rating4643Form rating5740H2H rating6050Goals model5044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:11 UTC

Lens

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:22 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against

4 Nov	H	Como	1-9	L
30 Oct	A	Lille	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Paris FC	2-1	W
21 Oct	A	Club Brugge KV	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	3-1	W
13 Oct	H	Sporting CP	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Lyon	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Standard Liege	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Monaco	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Le Mans	2-2	D

Marseille

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

5 Nov	A	Bayer Leverkusen	1-0	W
1 Nov	H	Toulouse	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Le Havre	4-3	W
22 Oct	A	Sturm Graz	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Angers	5-2	W
15 Oct	H	Olympiakos Piraeus	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Estac Troyes	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Paris Saint Germain	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Beşiktaş	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Rennes	0-1	L

Head to head

7Lens wins

2draws

8Marseille wins

17 meetings · goals 18:28 · last 10: 6W 0D 4L for Lens

24 Jan 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille3-1Lens
25 Oct 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens2-1Marseille
8 Mar 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille0-1Lens
23 Nov 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens1-3Marseille
28 Apr 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille2-1Lens
12 Nov 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens1-0Marseille
6 May 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens2-1Marseille
22 Oct 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille0-1Lens
22 Jan 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lens0-2Marseille
26 Sep 2021Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Marseille2-3Lens

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 8 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Lens sit 9th with 13 points from 9 games, while Marseille are 6th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	22:10	+12	23
2	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	17:10	+7	20
3	Lille	9	5	3	1	12:6	+6	18
4	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15:7	+8	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20:19	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	20:13	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	12:10	+2	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13:12	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	16:13	+3	13
10	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
11	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16:12	+4	12
12	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7:8	-1	12
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	18:22	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13:24	-11	10
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8
16	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	7:17	-10	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11:18	-7	7
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9:20	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.27X26%3.60232%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.07 → 2.27 +9.7%X3.90 → 3.60 -7.7%23.15 → 2.99 -5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.71	2.32	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.74	2.16	3.8%
Betano	1.72	2.18	4.0%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.19	7.4%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.74	2.32	0.6%
Average	1.68	2.20	5.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.57	2.32	6.8%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.52	2.40	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.36	8.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Average	1.54	2.35	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lens 10%Draw 45%Marseille 45%

The statistical model rates Lens at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Marseille at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.27 | 3.60 | 2.99, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Lens are 9th (13 pts, 16-13 goals), Marseille 6th (15 pts, 20-13).

Over their last five matches, Lens averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Marseille averaged 2.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.27	3.60	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.62	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.31	3.38

2nd half

1	X	2
2.54	2.65	3.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.53	13.3	27.1
HT X	5.88	5.94	7.03
HT 2	23.4	13.4	4.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	15.9	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.5
1.5	1.20	4.37
2.5	1.68	2.20
3.5	2.61	1.49
4.5	4.85	1.17
5.5	9.17	1.05
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	20.9	1.01
8.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.07	6.21
1.75	1.23	3.79
2	1.30	3.38
2.25	1.48	2.56
2.75	1.84	1.95
3	2.05	1.79
3.25	2.31	1.63
3.75	3.11	1.35
4	3.70	1.27
4.25	3.86	1.25
4.75	5.99	1.09
5	8.55	1.04
5.25	7.93	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.59	1.48
-0.5	2.23	1.65
-0.25	1.97	1.87
0	1.66	2.23
+0.25	1.49	2.58
+0.5	1.39	3.00

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	9.75	1.04
-2	7.78	1.06
-1.75	5.44	1.12
-1.5	4.28	1.20
-1.25	3.80	1.24
-1	3.41	1.31
+0.75	1.26	3.67
+1	1.15	5.22
+1.25	1.12	5.62
+1.5	1.10	6.04
+1.75	1.06	7.68
+2.5	1.02	11.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.0
1.5	1.12	5.70
2.5	1.32	3.26
3.5	1.79	1.98
4.5	2.59	1.48
5.5	3.60	1.26
6.5	5.40	1.13
7.5	7.80	1.06
8.5	10.5	1.03
9.5	11.5	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.43	2.80
4	2.05	1.78
5	3.31	1.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.05	7.02
6.5	1.15	4.55
7.5	1.32	3.04
8.5	1.61	2.21
9.5	2.02	1.77
10.5	2.55	1.46
11.5	3.50	1.24
12.5	4.90	1.13
13.5	6.90	1.06
14.5	7.93	1.04
15.5	10.5	1.03
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.54	2.19
8	1.45	2.62
8.25	1.61	2.10
8.75	1.69	2.02
9	1.88	1.93
9.25	1.95	1.80
9.75	2.20	1.59
10	2.40	1.53
10.25	2.56	1.42
10.75	2.97	1.31
11.25	3.50	1.22

Next Ligue 1 matches

8 Nov	Stade Brestois 29 – Lyon
8 Nov	Le Havre – Lorient
8 Nov	Angers – Nice
8 Nov	Le Mans – Monaco

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

7 Nov	Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Estac Troyes
7 Nov	Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC
6 Nov	Toulouse 3-1 Strasbourg
2 Nov	Lorient 0-2 Stade Brestois 29
1 Nov	Marseille 2-0 Toulouse
1 Nov	Paris FC 3-1 Monaco