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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes• Ligue 1, France

#13.0:0.820:05Tomorrow · Parc des Princes, Paris0.6:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.151XBX11.9PIN221.0B365Margin at best0.1%Books6Markets97Rating77 · 23Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.1510.421.01.3%
Pinnacle1.1211.918.03.2%
Marathonbet1.1310.020.53.4%
Bet3651.119.5021.05.4%
William Hill1.1110.017.06.0%
BetVictor1.089.0018.09.3%
Best of all books1.1511.921.00.1%
Average1.1210.119.34.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
Last 10#1Table position#162.22Points per game0.8915Form pts · last 553.0Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 51.483Attack rating1764Defence rating3679Form rating2193H2H rating780Goals model2077Overall rating23

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Paris Saint Germain

10W 0D 0L · goals 36:9 · per match 3.6 for, 0.9 against

3 NovAVillarreal6-0W
30 OctALe Havre5-1W
26 OctHLyon2-0W
20 OctHBarcelona4-2W
17 OctAStrasbourg3-1W
14 OctAManchester City4-2W
10 OctHLe Mans3-1W
20 SepAMarseille2-1W
13 SepAStade Brestois 291-0W
9 SepHSlovan Bratislava6-1W

Estac Troyes

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:18 · per match 0.9 for, 1.8 against

31 OctHLe Mans2-0W
25 OctAToulouse0-0D
17 OctHLens1-3L
11 OctHMarseille0-2L
2 OctADijon2-2D
19 SepAAngers0-2L
13 SepALille0-2L
6 SepHStrasbourg2-6L
29 AugALorient2-1W
22 AugHParis FC0-0D

Head to head

9Paris Saint Germain wins
1draws
0Estac Troyes wins

10 meetings · goals 33:8 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for Paris Saint Germain

7 May 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes1-3Paris Saint Germain
29 Oct 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain4-3Estac Troyes
8 May 2022Ligue 1Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain2-2Estac Troyes
7 Aug 2021Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes1-2Paris Saint Germain
3 Mar 2018Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes0-2Paris Saint Germain
29 Nov 2017Ligue 1Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain2-0Estac Troyes
13 Mar 2016Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes0-9Paris Saint Germain
28 Nov 2015Ligue 1Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain4-1Estac Troyes
13 Apr 2013Ligue 1Ligue 1Estac Troyes0-1Paris Saint Germain
24 Nov 2012Ligue 1Ligue 1Paris Saint Germain4-0Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Paris Saint Germain sit 1st with 20 points from 9 games, while Estac Troyes are 16th with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain962121:10+1120
2Lille953112:6+618
3Lyon952215:7+817
4Paris FC952216:10+617
5Rennes951320:19+116
6Marseille950420:13+715
7Monaco943212:10+215
8Nice942313:12+114
9Lens941416:13+313
10Stade Brestois 29933316:12+412
11Lorient93337:8-112
12Toulouse924312:13-110
13Strasbourg931517:19-210
14Auxerre931513:23-1010
15Angers92259:17-88
16Estac Troyes92257:16-98
17Le Mans914411:18-77
18Le Havre90279:20-112

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg186%1.12X9%10.125%19.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:016 Nov 11:001 1.12X 10.12 19.3
11.14 → 1.12 -1.8%X8.77 → 10.1 +15.5%215.8 → 19.3 +22.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.283.754.8%
1xBet1.263.785.8%
Marathonbet1.243.727.5%
BetVictor1.223.907.6%
Best of all books1.283.903.8%
Average1.253.796.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.951.835.9%
Bet3652.001.757.1%
1xBet1.891.837.6%
Marathonbet1.891.818.2%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Best of all books2.001.834.6%
Average1.941.797.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paris Saint Germain 50%Draw 50%Estac Troyes 0%

The statistical model rates Paris Saint Germain at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Estac Troyes at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.12 | 10.13 | 19.26, which imply roughly 89.3% for a Paris Saint Germain win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Paris Saint Germain are 1st (20 pts, 21-10 goals), Estac Troyes 16th (8 pts, 7-16).

Over their last five matches, Paris Saint Germain averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Estac Troyes averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Paris Saint Germain.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.1210.119.3

Double chance

1XX212
1.016.501.07

Draw no bet

12
1.0214.7

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.79

1st half

1X2
1.393.5511.7

2nd half

1X2
1.294.3311.4

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4126.772.7
HT X4.2314.535.0
HT 219.731.333.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1735.04.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0118.8
1.51.058.38
2.51.253.79
3.51.692.19
4.52.471.51
5.54.181.20
6.57.451.08
7.511.81.04
8.517.91.02
9.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.057.63
21.067.26
2.251.154.81
2.751.293.40
31.353.09
3.251.522.50
3.751.831.99
42.031.77
4.252.241.62
4.752.821.38
53.451.28
5.253.671.23
66.301.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-3.252.671.44
-32.411.55
-2.752.081.73
-2.51.891.94
-2.251.702.15
-21.502.52
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-5.510.21.01
-58.271.03
-4.54.881.15
-4.254.621.16
-44.321.19
-3.753.391.28
-3.52.911.38
-1.751.412.79
-1.51.343.11
-1.251.243.73
-11.145.11
-0.751.126.25
-0.51.116.60
-0.251.047.95
01.0111.6

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.333.15
21.532.46
2.52.011.75
32.761.43
3.53.341.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.5–9.20
5.51.085.65
6.51.213.58
7.51.452.44
8.51.821.88
9.52.261.53
10.53.141.27
11.54.601.13
12.56.601.05
13.58.001.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.243.34
7.251.362.75
7.751.502.34
81.582.11
8.251.712.02
8.751.921.75
91.931.71
9.252.201.56
9.752.561.41
10.253.041.29

Next Ligue 1 matches

6 NovToulouse – Strasbourg
7 NovAuxerre – Paris FC
8 NovRennes – Lille
8 NovAngers – Nice
8 NovStade Brestois 29 – Lyon
8 NovLe Havre – Lorient

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

2 NovLorient 0-2 Stade Brestois 29
1 NovMarseille 2-0 Toulouse
1 NovLyon 2-0 Angers
1 NovParis FC 3-1 Monaco
1 NovStrasbourg 5-1 Auxerre
31 OctEstac Troyes 2-0 Le Mans