Auxerre vs Paris FC• Ligue 1, France

#141.6:2.418:00Tomorrow · Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre2.0:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50BFRX4.07PIN21.871XBMargin at best0.3%Books10Markets92Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 12:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.30	4.04	1.87	1.5%
Pinnacle	4.34	4.07	1.79	3.5%
Dafabet	4.30	4.00	1.79	4.1%
Marathonbet	4.20	3.94	1.82	4.1%
Betfair	4.50	3.90	1.75	5.0%
Betano	4.25	3.95	1.78	5.0%
Bet365	4.33	4.00	1.75	5.2%
BetVictor	4.20	3.70	1.73	8.6%
William Hill	4.00	3.75	1.75	8.8%
SBO	3.87	3.44	1.73	12.7%
Best of all books	4.50	4.07	1.87	0.3%
Average	4.23	3.88	1.78	5.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AuxerreParis FC

Last 10#14Table position#41.11Points per game1.897Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5640Defence rating6044Form rating5675H2H rating2549Goals model5156Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

Auxerre

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:26 · per match 1.7 for, 2.6 against

1 Nov	A	Strasbourg	1-5	L
25 Oct	H	Le Mans	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Le Havre	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Rennes	1-4	L
2 Oct	H	Clermont Foot	4-3	W
20 Sep	H	Stade Brestois 29	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Nice	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Lyon	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Angers	1-3	L
22 Aug	A	Lens	2-5	L

Paris FC

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

1 Nov	H	Monaco	3-1	W
24 Oct	A	Lens	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Rennes	4-3	W
10 Oct	A	Lorient	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Strasbourg	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Lyon	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marseille	3-2	W
30 Aug	H	Nice	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Estac Troyes	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Angers	2-3	L

Head to head

4Auxerre wins

6draws

5Paris FC wins

15 meetings · goals 16:16 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Auxerre

8 Feb 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Auxerre0-0Paris FC
29 Nov 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris FC1-1Auxerre
4 May 2024Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Auxerre2-0Paris FC
7 Oct 2023Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC0-2Auxerre
1 Feb 2022Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Auxerre1-2Paris FC
16 Aug 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC1-1Auxerre
13 Mar 2021Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Auxerre0-0Paris FC
21 Nov 2020Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC0-3Auxerre
22 Nov 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC2-0Auxerre
29 Mar 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Paris FC3-0Auxerre

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Auxerre sit 14th with 10 points from 9 games, while Paris FC are 4th with 17 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	9	6	2	1	21:10	+11	20
2	Lille	9	5	3	1	12:6	+6	18
3	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15:7	+8	17
4	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20:19	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	20:13	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	12:10	+2	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13:12	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	16:13	+3	13
10	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16:12	+4	12
11	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7:8	-1	12
12	Toulouse	9	2	4	3	12:13	-1	10
13	Strasbourg	9	3	1	5	17:19	-2	10
14	Auxerre	9	3	1	5	13:23	-10	10
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8
16	Estac Troyes	9	2	2	5	7:16	-9	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11:18	-7	7
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9:20	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.23X24%3.88253%1.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.19 → 4.23 +1.0%X3.85 → 3.88 +0.8%21.78 → 1.78 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.77	2.22	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.75	2.17	3.2%
Betano	1.75	2.15	3.7%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.15	4.7%
SBO	1.71	2.14	5.2%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.77	2.22	1.5%
Average	1.72	2.14	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.64	2.15	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.12	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.65	2.14	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Auxerre 45%Draw 45%Paris FC 10%

The statistical model rates Auxerre at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Paris FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.23 | 3.88 | 1.78, which imply roughly 23.6% for a Auxerre win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Auxerre are 14th (10 pts, 13-23 goals), Paris FC 4th (17 pts, 16-10).

Over their last five matches, Auxerre averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Paris FC averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Auxerre or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.88	1.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.01	1.22	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
3.14	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
4.35	2.31	2.33

2nd half

1	X	2
4.04	2.65	2.11

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.91	14.8	21.6
HT X	9.32	6.05	4.75
HT 2	37.2	14.4	2.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.48	13.9	1.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.0
1.5	1.21	4.15
2.5	1.72	2.14
3.5	2.72	1.44
4.5	5.04	1.15
5.5	9.33	1.04
6.5	14.9	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.11	5.47
1.75	1.26	3.63
2	1.34	3.23
2.25	1.52	2.49
2.75	1.90	1.91
3	2.18	1.68
3.25	2.44	1.54
3.75	3.16	1.33
4	4.13	1.20
4.25	4.36	1.17
4.75	5.80	1.08
5	8.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.40	1.55
+0.5	2.08	1.75
+0.75	1.84	1.99
+1	1.59	2.37
+1.25	1.45	2.69
+1.5	1.36	3.04

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.55	1.03
-1	7.43	1.06
-0.75	5.11	1.14
-0.5	4.19	1.24
-0.25	3.54	1.27
0	3.21	1.34
+1.75	1.25	3.65
+2	1.14	5.17
+2.25	1.12	5.54
+2.5	1.11	5.85
+2.75	1.05	7.26
+3.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.0
1.5	1.11	5.90
2.5	1.31	3.25
3.5	1.64	2.18
4.5	2.17	1.65
5.5	3.40	1.29
6.5	5.10	1.14
7.5	7.40	1.07
8.5	10.0	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.34	3.07
4	1.98	1.82
5	3.15	1.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.04	7.70
6.5	1.12	4.98
7.5	1.27	3.31
8.5	1.52	2.38
9.5	1.90	1.87
10.5	2.41	1.51
11.5	3.20	1.29
12.5	4.43	1.15
13.5	6.15	1.08
14.5	8.25	1.05
15.5	10.3	1.03
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.27	3.14
8.25	1.40	2.60
8.75	1.55	2.23
9	1.71	2.11
9.25	1.74	1.95
9.75	2.00	1.76
10	2.19	1.65
10.25	2.26	1.55
10.75	2.60	1.40
11.25	3.05	1.28

Next Ligue 1 matches

6 Nov	Toulouse – Strasbourg
7 Nov	Paris Saint Germain – Estac Troyes
8 Nov	Rennes – Lille
8 Nov	Angers – Nice
8 Nov	Stade Brestois 29 – Lyon
8 Nov	Le Havre – Lorient

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

2 Nov	Lorient 0-2 Stade Brestois 29
1 Nov	Marseille 2-0 Toulouse
1 Nov	Lyon 2-0 Angers
1 Nov	Paris FC 3-1 Monaco
1 Nov	Strasbourg 5-1 Auxerre
31 Oct	Estac Troyes 2-0 Le Mans