Estac Troyes vs Le Mans• Ligue 1, France

#170.2:1.819:45Tomorrow · Stade de l'Aube, Troyes1.2:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.391XBX3.60BFR23.131XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets90Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 03:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.39	3.60	3.13	1.6%
Pinnacle	2.37	3.51	3.06	3.4%
Marathonbet	2.33	3.50	3.05	4.3%
Dafabet	2.39	3.50	2.95	4.3%
Betano	2.40	3.45	2.92	4.9%
Bet365	2.38	3.50	2.90	5.1%
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.90	5.7%
BetVictor	2.25	3.40	2.88	8.6%
William Hill	2.25	3.30	2.90	9.2%
SBO	2.30	3.08	2.70	13.0%
Best of all books	2.40	3.60	3.13	1.4%
Average	2.34	3.44	2.94	5.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estac TroyesLe Mans

Last 10#17Table position#150.63Points per game0.882Form pts · last 540.2Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 52.014Attack rating8653Defence rating4717Form rating8362H2H rating3827Goals model7337Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Estac Troyes

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	A	Toulouse	0-0	D
17 Oct	H	Lens	1-3	L
11 Oct	H	Marseille	0-2	L
2 Oct	A	Dijon	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Angers	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Lille	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Strasbourg	2-6	L
29 Aug	A	Lorient	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Paris FC	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Panetolikos	1-1	D

Le Mans

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	A	Auxerre	1-1	D
16 Oct	H	Toulouse	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Paris Saint Germain	1-3	L
2 Oct	A	Guingamp	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Lorient	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Lens	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Nice	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Rennes	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Le Havre	0-1	L

Head to head

2Estac Troyes wins

2draws

3Le Mans wins

7 meetings · goals 7:9 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Estac Troyes

31 Jan 2026Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Estac Troyes0-2Le Mans
3 Oct 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Le Mans2-2Estac Troyes
18 Oct 2019Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Estac Troyes2-1Le Mans
24 Feb 2012Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Estac Troyes2-1Le Mans
26 Sep 2011Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Le Mans1-1Estac Troyes
10 May 2011Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Estac Troyes0-1Le Mans
6 Dec 2010Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Le Mans1-0Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Estac Troyes sit 17th with 5 points from 8 games, while Le Mans are 15th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	8	5	2	1	16:9	+7	17
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	+4	16
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	+5	15
4	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	+4	15
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	+6	14
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	+4	14
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	+4	13
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	+5	12
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	+1	12
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12:11	+1	10
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	2	3	3	14:12	+2	9
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	1	2	5	5:16	-11	5
18	Le Havre	8	0	2	6	8:15	-7	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.33X27%3.44232%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.33 +4.0%X3.45 → 3.44 -0.3%23.08 → 2.94 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.89	2.06	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.85	2.02	3.6%
Betano	1.83	2.02	4.1%
SBO	1.86	1.98	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	2.00	4.6%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.89	2.06	1.5%
Average	1.83	2.00	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Betano	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.64	2.16	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estac Troyes 10%Draw 45%Le Mans 45%

The statistical model rates Estac Troyes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Le Mans at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 3.44 | 2.94, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Estac Troyes are 17th (5 pts, 5-16 goals), Le Mans 15th (7 pts, 11-16).

Over their last five matches, Estac Troyes averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Le Mans averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Le Mans.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.44	2.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.60	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
2.85	2.21	3.46

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.51	3.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.67	13.4	28.0
HT X	5.78	5.37	6.86
HT 2	25.0	13.6	4.74

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	10.6	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.6
1.5	1.25	3.75
2.5	1.83	2.00
3.5	3.01	1.38
4.5	5.63	1.12
5.5	10.3	1.05
6.5	15.9	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.2
1	1.03	8.38
1.25	1.13	4.94
1.75	1.31	3.28
2	1.40	2.93
2.25	1.61	2.29
2.75	2.05	1.78
3	2.38	1.58
3.25	2.67	1.45
3.75	3.56	1.27
4	4.64	1.16
4.25	4.85	1.13
5	8.93	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.45
-0.5	2.31	1.61
-0.25	2.00	1.83
0	1.69	2.19
+0.25	1.50	2.54
+0.5	1.41	2.89

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.75	1.03
-2	7.70	1.05
-1.75	5.52	1.11
-1.5	4.35	1.19
-1.25	3.93	1.23
-1	3.56	1.28
+0.75	1.27	3.61
+1	1.15	5.18
+1.25	1.12	5.60
+1.5	1.10	5.94
+1.75	1.05	7.53
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.13	5.40
2.5	1.37	2.95
3.5	1.70	2.11
4.5	2.55	1.49
5.5	3.90	1.23
6.5	5.90	1.11
7.5	8.50	1.05
8.5	11.0	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.59	2.44
4	2.10	1.74
5	3.36	1.29

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	12.0
4.5	1.04	9.25
5.5	1.07	6.23
6.5	1.19	3.97
7.5	1.39	2.73
8.5	1.73	2.04
9.5	2.18	1.61
10.5	2.92	1.33
11.5	4.13	1.17
12.5	5.83	1.09
13.5	8.27	1.03
14.5	10.0	1.03
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.09	4.52
6.75	1.19	3.75
7	1.23	3.12
7.25	1.30	3.03
7.75	1.42	2.56
8	1.50	2.38
8.25	1.60	2.15
8.75	1.81	1.89
9	1.97	1.82
9.25	2.05	1.65
9.75	2.36	1.48
10	2.51	1.44
10.25	2.74	1.35
11	3.27	1.20
12	4.40	1.10
13	5.60	1.04

Next Ligue 1 matches

30 Oct	Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain
30 Oct	Nice – Rennes
30 Oct	Lille – Lens
1 Nov	Strasbourg – Auxerre
1 Nov	Lyon – Angers
1 Nov	Paris FC – Monaco

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

26 Oct	Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon
25 Oct	Toulouse 0-0 Estac Troyes
25 Oct	Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
25 Oct	Angers 0-0 Lorient
25 Oct	Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans
25 Oct	Marseille 4-3 Le Havre