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Marseille vs Le Havre• Ligue 1, France

#82.0:1.64-3FT25/10 · Orange Vélodrome, Marseille0.8:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.531XBX5.081XB26.50BFRMargin at best0.4%Books9Markets106Rating71 · 29Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.535.086.051.6%
Betano1.534.906.002.4%
Pinnacle1.494.986.243.2%
Dafabet1.485.006.203.7%
Marathonbet1.494.955.904.3%
Betfair1.444.756.505.9%
BetVictor1.444.756.505.9%
Bet3651.484.755.756.0%
William Hill1.444.505.509.8%
Best of all books1.535.086.500.4%
Average1.484.856.074.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarseilleLe Havre
Last 10#8Table position#181.50Points per game0.256Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.871Attack rating2953Defence rating4786Form rating14100H2H rating067Goals model3371Overall rating29

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 19:50 UTC

Marseille

3W 0D 7L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

22 OctASturm Graz0-1L
18 OctAAngers5-2W
15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1L
11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0W
20 SepHParis Saint Germain1-2L
17 SepABeşiktaş1-4L
11 SepARennes0-1L
6 SepHParis FC2-3L
30 AugAMonaco0-2L
21 AugHStrasbourg4-0W

Le Havre

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

18 OctHAuxerre1-3L
10 OctALille0-1L
2 OctHBoulogne6-1W
19 SepAToulouse2-3L
12 SepHAngers0-0D
5 SepHStade Brestois 291-2L
29 AugALyon1-1D
23 AugHMonaco0-1L
15 AugALe Mans1-0W
8 AugAOviedo2-3L

Head to head

7Marseille wins
0draws
0Le Havre wins

7 meetings · goals 23:6 · last 7: 7W 0D 0L for Marseille

10 May 2026Ligue 1Ligue 1Le Havre0-1Marseille
18 Oct 2025Ligue 1Ligue 1Marseille6-2Le Havre
10 May 2025Ligue 1Ligue 1Le Havre1-3Marseille
5 Jan 2025Ligue 1Ligue 1Marseille5-1Le Havre
19 May 2024Ligue 1Ligue 1Le Havre1-2Marseille
8 Oct 2023Ligue 1Ligue 1Marseille3-0Le Havre
22 Jan 2012Coupe de FranceCoupe de FranceMarseille3-1Le Havre

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 25 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Marseille sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, while Le Havre are 18th with 2 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rennes851218:14+416
2Lille843111:6+515
3Monaco843111:7+415
4Lyon742113:5+814
5Paris Saint Germain742114:9+514
6Paris FC842213:9+414
7Lens841316:12+413
8Marseille840418:13+512
9Lorient83327:6+112
10Nice83238:10-211
11Toulouse824212:11+110
12Auxerre831412:18-610
13Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29
14Angers82249:15-68
15Le Mans814311:16-57
16Strasbourg821512:18-67
17Estac Troyes81255:16-115
18Le Havre80268:15-72

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.48X20%4.88216%6.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 12:401 1.48X 4.852 6.07
11.57 → 1.48 -5.7%X4.42 → 4.85 +9.7%25.20 → 6.07 +16.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.693.0%
Betano1.532.603.8%
Bet3651.502.624.8%
1xBet1.492.615.4%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Marathonbet1.442.539.0%
BetVictor1.472.449.0%
Best of all books1.532.692.5%
Average1.492.595.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.602.306.0%
Betano1.652.157.1%
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.592.247.5%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.592.218.1%
Best of all books1.652.304.1%
Average1.602.247.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marseille 45%Draw 45%Le Havre 10%

The statistical model rated Marseille at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Le Havre at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.88 | 6.08, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Marseille win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Marseille are 8th (12 pts, 18-13 goals), Le Havre 18th (2 pts, 8-15).

Over their last five matches, Marseille averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Le Havre averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Marseille.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Marseille

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. de Lange

Defence

  • 33Emerson
  • 4C. Egan-Riley
  • 21N. Aguerd

Midfield

  • 8H. Abdelli
  • 6T. Nnadi
  • 23P. Højbjerg
  • 77A. Harit
  • 22T. Weah

Attack

  • 14Igor Paixão
  • 9A. Gouiri
Substitutes (9)
  • 48K. Abdallah
  • 74K. Bezahaf
  • 25U. Garcia
  • 7A. Gomes
  • 42Nouhoum Kamissoko
  • 19G. Kondogbia
  • 11N. Maupay
  • 18B. Meité
  • 92T. Vermot

Le Havre

Coach: D. Digard

Goalkeeper

  • 93G. Gallon

Defence

  • 15A. Seko
  • 5A. Touba

Midfield

  • 26S. Ebonog
  • 6J. Mwanga
  • 14R. Ndiaye
  • 7A. Richardson

Attack

  • 38R. Fofana
  • 20D. Ouziad
  • 25M. Samatta
  • 27E. Koffi Vinette
Substitutes (9)
  • 33Hakim Dongopandji
  • 9J. Maja
  • 17K. Mizuta
  • 78D. Mosengo
  • 97Mouhamed N'Diaye
  • 30S. Nakamura
  • 23V. Sasso
  • 24G. Zohouri
  • 16A. Bodart

Match Statistics

MarseilleLe Havre
1.63Expected Goals3.1
418Passes accurate337
7Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox8
2Blocked Shots4
10Free Kicks13
5Shots on Goal7
3Goalkeeper Saves1
4Shots off Goal10
3Offsides1
481Total passes410
11Total Shots21
1Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks3
15Fouls11
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.484.856.07

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.641.17

Draw no bet

12
1.174.56

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.24

1st half

1X2
1.922.615.44

2nd half

1X2
1.772.985.03

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0816.344.4
HT X4.477.7813.4
HT 219.017.49.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4221.52.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.5
1.51.135.46
2.51.492.59
3.52.251.66
4.53.801.25
5.57.041.08
6.511.51.03
7.517.31.02
8.531.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.95
1.751.134.85
21.194.32
2.251.333.11
2.751.592.31
31.772.05
3.252.011.81
3.752.561.49
43.141.36
4.253.321.29
4.754.691.15
56.411.08
5.256.661.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.591.47
-1.52.251.64
-1.251.991.82
-11.742.10
-0.751.572.41
-0.51.462.70
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.801.04
-37.061.07
-2.754.881.14
-2.53.891.22
-2.253.601.27
-23.271.32
-0.251.323.32
01.184.65
+0.251.164.87
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.067.21
+1.51.0211.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.50
1.51.174.55
2.51.472.59
3.52.151.68
4.53.261.32
5.54.701.17
6.57.101.08
7.510.01.03
8.512.01.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.194.40
31.702.14
42.921.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0310.5
5.51.078.25
6.51.115.07
7.51.223.49
8.51.452.55
9.51.801.94
10.52.261.58
11.52.941.33
12.53.931.18
13.55.351.09
14.56.811.05
15.510.31.03
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.055.97
71.114.29
7.251.124.51
7.751.223.50
81.243.02
8.251.322.91
8.751.432.48
91.552.29
9.251.592.13
9.751.801.86
102.001.78
10.252.031.65
10.752.301.50
112.531.45
11.252.691.36
11.753.081.29
123.121.22
12.253.681.19
12.754.431.12
134.151.12
13.255.511.06
145.301.05

Next Ligue 1 matches

26 OctParis Saint Germain – Lyon

All Ligue 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 1 results

25 OctRennes 3-0 Strasbourg
25 OctAuxerre 1-1 Le Mans
25 OctToulouse 0-0 Estac Troyes
25 OctAngers 0-0 Lorient
25 OctMonaco 1-1 Lille
24 OctLens 2-1 Paris FC