Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon• Ligue 1, France

#52.0:1.019:30Today · Parc des Princes, Paris2.0:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.421XBX6.00BFR27.70BTNMargin at best0.1%Books10Markets106Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.42	5.63	7.41	1.7%
Betano	1.39	5.70	7.80	2.3%
Marathonbet	1.40	5.55	7.30	3.1%
Dafabet	1.37	5.80	7.20	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.36	5.87	7.37	4.1%
Betfair	1.33	6.00	7.50	5.2%
Bet365	1.36	5.75	7.00	5.2%
William Hill	1.36	5.00	6.50	8.9%
BetVictor	1.33	5.00	7.00	9.5%
SBO	1.32	4.94	6.18	12.2%
Best of all books	1.42	6.00	7.80	-0.1%
Average	1.36	5.52	7.13	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Paris Saint GermainLyon

Last 10#5Table position#42.00Points per game2.0015Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5044Defence rating5655Form rating4580H2H rating2044Goals model5656Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Paris Saint Germain

7W 2D 1L · goals 28:14 · per match 2.8 for, 1.4 against

20 Oct	H	Barcelona	4-2	W
17 Oct	A	Strasbourg	3-1	W
14 Oct	A	Manchester City	4-2	W
10 Oct	H	Le Mans	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Marseille	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Stade Brestois 29	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Slovan Bratislava	6-1	W
4 Sep	H	Monaco	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Lille	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Rennes	2-2	D

Lyon

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

22 Oct	A	1899 Hoffenheim	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Nice	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Crystal Palace	3-2	W
9 Oct	A	Lens	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Rennes	4-0	W
16 Sep	A	Anderlecht	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Paris FC	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Auxerre	3-1	W
29 Aug	H	Le Havre	1-1	D
26 Aug	H	Fenerbahçe	1-2	L

Head to head

27Paris Saint Germain wins

6draws

8Lyon wins

41 meetings · goals 88:43 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Paris Saint Germain

19 Apr 2026Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain1-2Lyon
9 Nov 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon2-3Paris Saint Germain
23 Feb 2025Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon2-3Paris Saint Germain
15 Dec 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain3-1Lyon
25 May 2024Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Lyon1-2Paris Saint Germain
21 Apr 2024Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain4-1Lyon
3 Sep 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon1-4Paris Saint Germain
2 Apr 2023Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Paris Saint Germain0-1Lyon
18 Sep 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon0-1Paris Saint Germain
9 Jan 2022Ligue 1	Ligue 1	Lyon1-1Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 tableLigue 1updated 25 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Ligue 1 table, Paris Saint Germain sit 5th with 14 points from 7 games, while Lyon are 4th with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	+4	16
2	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	+5	15
3	Monaco	8	4	3	1	11:7	+4	15
4	Lyon	7	4	2	1	13:5	+8	14
5	Paris Saint Germain	7	4	2	1	14:9	+5	14
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	+4	14
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	+4	13
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	+5	12
9	Lorient	8	3	3	2	7:6	+1	12
10	Nice	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
11	Toulouse	8	2	4	2	12:11	+1	10
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	2	3	3	14:12	+2	9
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
15	Le Mans	8	1	4	3	11:16	-5	7
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	1	2	5	5:16	-11	5
18	Le Havre	8	0	2	6	8:15	-7	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.37X17%5.51213%7.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.37 -3.5%X5.10 → 5.51 +8.0%26.40 → 7.08 +10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.20	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.36	3.17	5.1%
Betano	1.38	3.05	5.3%
1xBet	1.38	3.04	5.4%
Betfair	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.95	8.5%
BetVictor	1.35	2.84	9.3%
Best of all books	1.38	3.20	3.7%
Average	1.36	3.05	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
1xBet	1.55	2.32	7.6%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.29	8.2%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.56	2.31	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paris Saint Germain 45%Draw 45%Lyon 10%

The statistical model rates Paris Saint Germain at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lyon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 5.51 | 7.08, which imply roughly 73% for a Paris Saint Germain win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 1 table: Paris Saint Germain are 5th (14 pts, 14-9 goals), Lyon 4th (14 pts, 13-5).

Over their last five matches, Paris Saint Germain averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lyon averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	5.52	7.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	3.07	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.31

1st half

1	X	2
1.80	2.78	5.71

2nd half

1	X	2
1.63	3.25	5.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.89	17.6	46.2
HT X	4.39	9.05	15.7
HT 2	16.9	18.1	11.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	27.0	3.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.4
1.5	1.10	6.41
2.5	1.36	3.05
3.5	1.94	1.89
4.5	3.04	1.37
5.5	5.39	1.14
6.5	9.32	1.05
7.5	14.8	1.02
8.5	22.8	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.09	5.65
2	1.12	5.33
2.25	1.23	3.72
2.75	1.43	2.71
3	1.54	2.46
3.25	1.75	2.09
3.75	2.14	1.69
4	2.49	1.53
4.25	2.72	1.42
4.75	3.46	1.26
5	4.48	1.17
5.25	4.69	1.13
6	8.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.58	1.50
-1.75	2.19	1.68
-1.5	1.93	1.89
-1.25	1.72	2.10
-1	1.52	2.50
-0.75	1.42	2.78

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.48	1.02
-3.5	5.53	1.12
-3.25	5.26	1.13
-3	4.91	1.15
-2.75	3.73	1.24
-2.5	3.14	1.34
-2.25	2.86	1.40
-0.5	1.36	3.14
-0.25	1.24	3.79
0	1.12	5.42
+0.25	1.12	6.00
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.04	7.93
+1.5	1.02	11.8

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.0
1.5	1.12	5.70
2.5	1.33	3.17
3.5	1.75	2.03
4.5	2.44	1.53
5.5	3.70	1.25
6.5	5.60	1.12
7.5	8.00	1.06
8.5	10.8	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.44	2.75
4	2.29	1.61
5	3.89	1.23

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.5
5.5	1.03	8.30
6.5	1.10	5.48
7.5	1.23	3.62
8.5	1.45	2.57
9.5	1.76	2.01
10.5	2.23	1.59
11.5	2.87	1.35
12.5	3.97	1.20
13.5	5.50	1.10
14.5	7.15	1.06
15.5	9.25	1.04
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
7.75	1.27	3.13
8	1.31	2.97
8.25	1.36	2.75
8.75	1.50	2.38
9	1.63	2.19
9.25	1.70	2.08
9.75	1.88	1.82
10	2.01	1.79
10.25	2.13	1.60
10.75	2.44	1.45
11	2.85	1.34
11.25	2.83	1.33
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03
14	5.45	1.05

Latest Ligue 1 results

25 Oct	Toulouse 0-0 Estac Troyes
25 Oct	Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
25 Oct	Angers 0-0 Lorient
25 Oct	Auxerre 1-1 Le Mans
25 Oct	Marseille 4-3 Le Havre
25 Oct	Monaco 1-1 Lille