Nantes vs Dunkerque• Ligue 2, France

#141.2:1.02-3FT17/10 · Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes0.6:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.671XBX4.14PIN25.30PINMargin at best2.9%Books6Markets79Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.62	4.19	5.29	4.5%
1xBet	1.63	4.05	4.79	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.61	4.05	4.85	7.4%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	4.80	8.9%
BetVictor	1.60	3.80	4.80	9.6%
Bet365	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Best of all books	1.63	4.19	5.29	4.1%
Average	1.61	3.90	4.92	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NantesDunkerque

Last 10#14Table position#100.89Points per game1.227Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3358Defence rating4267Form rating33100H2H rating051Goals model4962Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Nantes

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Dunkerque	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Reims	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Boulogne	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sochaux	0-1	L
7 Sep	H	Nancy	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Guingamp	3-3	D
22 Aug	H	Rodez	2-5	L
14 Aug	A	Laval	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	RED Star FC 93	0-1	L
31 Jul	H	Al Wakrah	5-1	W

Dunkerque

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	A	Nantes	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Annecy	0-1	L
2 Oct	H	RAAL La Louvière	0-4	L
18 Sep	A	PAU	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Saint Etienne	2-1	W
4 Sep	H	Clermont Foot	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Nancy	0-2	L
21 Aug	H	Montpellier	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Reims	3-3	D
8 Aug	H	Grenoble	4-2	W

Head to head

1Nantes wins

0draws

0Dunkerque wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Nantes

27 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Nantes2-1Dunkerque

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Nantes sit 14th with 8 points from 9 games, while Dunkerque are 10th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	9	7	1	1	22:8	+14	22
2	Montpellier	9	5	3	1	11:5	+6	18
3	Reims	9	4	5	0	19:11	+8	17
4	RED Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12:10	+2	17
5	Nancy	9	5	1	3	11:8	+3	16
6	PAU	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
7	Metz	9	3	4	2	15:13	+2	13
8	Annecy	9	4	1	4	11:11	0	13
9	Dijon	9	3	3	3	16:16	0	12
10	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	13:15	-2	11
11	Sochaux	9	2	5	2	7:9	-2	11
12	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6:6	0	9
13	Guingamp	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8
14	Nantes	9	2	2	5	11:16	-5	8
15	Grenoble	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
16	Clermont Foot	9	0	7	2	9:12	-3	7
17	Rodez	9	2	1	6	14:21	-7	7
18	Laval	9	1	3	5	13:20	-7	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.61X24%3.90219%4.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.63 -1.2%X3.82 → 3.85 +0.8%24.87 → 4.88 +0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.72	2.19	3.8%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.69	2.09	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.09	7.0%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.72	2.19	3.8%
Average	1.69	2.11	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nantes 45%Draw 45%Dunkerque 10%

The statistical model rated Nantes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dunkerque at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.90 | 4.92, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Nantes win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Nantes are 14th (8 pts, 11-16 goals), Dunkerque 10th (11 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Nantes averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Dunkerque averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nantes or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nantes

3-4-3

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Goalkeeper

30P. Carlgren

Defence

4S. Sow
5L. Perrin
98K. Amian

Midfield

13F. Doucouré
8J. Lepenant
28I. Sissoko
26R. Hachem

Attack

23W. Younoussa
27T. Robinet
12K. Corredor

Substitutes (9)

18F. Centonze
75A. Cherni
1M. Dupé
24F. Guilbert
7A. Joujou
37I. Ganago
19Louis Leroux
44B. Pierret
17D. Assoumani

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1

Coach: Albert Sánchez

Goalkeeper

73Moha Airam

Defence

27A. Linguet
26Opa Sanganté
2O. Touré
30Abner

Midfield

6J. Morel
18Théna Massock
9G. Robail
10A. Lebeau
11E. Prutsev

Attack

19S. Keita

Substitutes (9)

15S. Nzonzi
99M. Niang
23A. Nade
21L. Loussilaho
93A. Daho
35Firas Belabdelli
7K. Ayari
25Franck Atoen
16M. Prévot

Match Statistics

NantesDunkerque

1.7Expected Goals1.52

388Passes accurate247

15Shots insidebox11

4Shots outsidebox1

8Blocked Shots4

12Free Kicks21

4Shots on Goal4

1Goalkeeper Saves2

7Shots off Goal4

5Offsides1

466Total passes324

19Total Shots12

3Yellow Cards3

8Corner Kicks7

22Fouls13

0Red Cards0

60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.90	4.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.17	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.36	5.05

2nd half

1	X	2
1.97	2.64	4.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.39	15.7	38.7
HT X	4.50	6.17	11.0
HT 2	21.7	16.7	8.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	13.3	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.1
1.5	1.20	4.10
2.5	1.69	2.11
3.5	2.68	1.41
4.5	4.98	1.14
5.5	9.38	1.03
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.30
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.23	3.49
2	1.28	3.12
2.25	1.51	2.44
2.75	1.87	1.87
3	2.13	1.64
3.25	2.39	1.50
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	4.00	1.17
4.25	4.33	1.14
4.75	5.75	1.07
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.62	1.44
-1.25	2.35	1.55
-1	2.05	1.73
-0.75	1.77	1.97
-0.5	1.60	2.28
-0.25	1.41	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.75	6.23	1.08
-2.5	4.83	1.14
-2.25	4.43	1.16
-2	4.08	1.18
-1.75	3.17	1.31
0	1.24	3.72
+0.25	1.19	4.25
+0.5	1.17	5.00
+0.75	1.08	6.03
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.83
6.5	1.16	3.90
7.5	1.35	2.77
8.5	1.65	2.11
9.5	2.09	1.66
10.5	2.68	1.36
11.5	3.58	1.19
12.5	4.32	1.10
13.5	5.32	1.05

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.77
7	1.20	3.32
7.25	1.25	3.18
7.75	1.37	2.62
8	1.45	2.50
8.25	1.53	2.27
8.75	1.72	1.96
9	1.88	1.90
9.25	1.96	1.72
9.75	2.19	1.52
10	2.42	1.48
10.25	2.58	1.38
11	3.07	1.23
12	4.12	1.12
13	5.32	1.05

Next Ligue 2 matches

23 Oct	Clermont Foot – Guingamp
23 Oct	Dunkerque – Metz
23 Oct	Nancy – Laval
23 Oct	Sochaux – Annecy
23 Oct	PAU – Grenoble
24 Oct	Montpellier – RED Star FC 93

All Ligue 2 fixtures and the table

Latest Ligue 2 results

19 Oct	Rodez 0-3 Montpellier
17 Oct	RED Star FC 93 0-1 Saint Etienne
17 Oct	Metz 3-2 Sochaux
16 Oct	Guingamp 1-2 PAU
16 Oct	Reims 4-2 Dijon
16 Oct	Grenoble 0-2 Boulogne